FinalWin Prob.pScore
1042%112
120
858%114
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
120.010088.8
BOS logo BOS
105.9101115.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.120
100%
107
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.29 64.5%
BOS
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
29
72%
BOS
17
31
55%
Midrange
MIL
4
11
36%
BOS
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
BOS
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIL
22
28
79%
BOS
27
36
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3075%15.0 / 20
K. Middleton2155%10.5 / 19
E. Bledsoe16100%8.0 / 8
T. Snell15188%7.5 / 4
T. Maker12150%6.0 / 4
M. Brogdon1042%5.0 / 12
G. Hill770%3.5 / 5
D. Wilson467%2.0 / 3
B. Lopez330%1.5 / 5
S. Brown220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2162%10.5 / 17
J. Tatum2056%10.0 / 18
K. Irving1538%7.5 / 20
G. Hayward1139%5.5 / 14
S. Ojeleye1071%5.0 / 7
D. Theis975%4.5 / 6
M. Smart840%4.0 / 10
G. Yabusele5125%2.5 / 2
T. Rozier425%2.0 / 8
R. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+13
-20
93
BOS
96
+13
-5
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.29 64.5%
BOS
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
111.8
MIL 120.0 +14.1
BOS 105.9
Pace
103.2
100.0
MIL 88.8
BOS 115.6 +26.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.2
MIL 16.2
BOS 12.5 +3.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
53.4%
MIL 61.3% +17.3%
BOS 44.0%
TO %
12.8%
12.4%
MIL 18.5%
BOS 4.5% +14.0%
ORB %
20.8%
21.7%
MIL 28.9% +11.9%
BOS 17.0%
FTrt
25.5
21.5
MIL 35.0
BOS 39.6 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
62.4%
MIL 63.4% +0.5%
BOS 62.9%
STL %
7.2%
8.5%
MIL 3.0%
BOS 12.9% +9.9%
BLK %
10.4%
9.7%
MIL 10.5% +3.0%
BOS 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
55.3%
MIL 64.5% +15.9%
BOS 48.6%
Rim FG%
64.1%
61.6%
MIL 72.4% +17.6%
BOS 54.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
43.1%
MIL 36.4% +5.6%
BOS 30.8%
3P %
35.2%
36.5%
MIL 40.0% +10.6%
BOS 29.4%
FT %
77.2%
80.2%
MIL 78.6% +3.6%
BOS 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
32.1%
MIL 36.3% +2.2%
BOS 34.1%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
29.8%
MIL 13.8% +14.8%
BOS 28.6%
3P Att. %
42.0%
38.1%
MIL 50.0% +12.6%
BOS 37.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILBOS
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points120107
Rebounds5536
Assists2622
Steals313
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)5 (0)
Fouls3016
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals41-8035-91
At-the-Rim FG21-2917-31
Midrange FG4-118-26
2-Point FG25-4025-57
3-Point FG16-4010-34
Free Throws22-2827-36
Fast Break Pts1421
2nd Chance Pts810
Points in Paint4642
Pts off Turnovers528
Bench Points4043
Biggest Lead269

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 27
33.6
21
55%
9
5
1
0
2
4
3
6
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
4-9
44%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
33.1
30
75%
8
5
0
3
4
3
3
5
13-17
76%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
29.6
16
100%
4
2
1
0
5
4
0
4
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
25.9
10
42%
9
4
0
0
3
2
3
6
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
0-6
0%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
23.5
3
30%
5
1
0
2
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
25.0
2
20%
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
22.9
7
70%
3
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
18.5
15
188%
2
1
0
0
3
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
15.1
12
150%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-5
80%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
12.8
4
67%
5
0
0
1
1
4
2
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | G League Assignment
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | G League Assignment
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Surgery - Broken Nose
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
65%
55
26
3
6
20
30
11
44
22-28
79%
25-40
63%
16-40
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.