FinalWin Prob.pScore
1643%112
86
1357%115
98
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
93.59289.3
CHA logo CHA
105.49395.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.86
0%
98
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.92 46.2%
CHA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
20
37
54%
CHA
17
33
52%
Midrange
DET
4
11
36%
CHA
4
18
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
34
24%
35%
CHA
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
14
22
64%
CHA
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin2361%11.5 / 19
A. Drummond1747%8.5 / 18
R. Jackson1250%6.0 / 12
R. Bullock1169%5.5 / 8
B. Brown788%3.5 / 4
J. Calderon675%3.0 / 4
J. Leuer583%2.5 / 3
S. Johnson325%1.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia225%1.0 / 4
L. Kennard0-0.0 / 3
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2480%12.0 / 15
K. Walker2269%11.0 / 16
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1275%6.0 / 8
J. Lamb1142%5.5 / 13
W. Hernangomez1169%5.5 / 8
M. Bridges770%3.5 / 5
T. Parker627%3.0 / 11
C. Zeller375%1.5 / 2
N. Batum220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+15
-14
93
CHA
77
+14
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.92 46.2%
CHA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
111.3
DET 93.5 +11.9
CHA 105.4
Pace
97.3
98.7
DET 89.3
CHA 95.9 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.6
DET 16.1
CHA 15.0 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.4%
DET 43.9%
CHA 52.0% +8.1%
TO %
13.2%
11.7%
DET 14.9% +2.2%
CHA 17.1%
ORB %
24.9%
21.9%
DET 27.3%
CHA 27.5% +0.2%
FTrt
26.1
25.7
DET 26.8
CHA 37.3 +10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
57.8%
DET 65.6% +8.0%
CHA 57.6%
STL %
7.1%
7.2%
DET 8.7% +1.2%
CHA 7.5%
BLK %
7.1%
8.9%
DET 9.8%
CHA 10.4% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
54.2%
DET 46.2%
CHA 53.3% +7.1%
Rim FG%
57.5%
56.9%
DET 54.1% +2.6%
CHA 51.5%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.7%
DET 36.4% +14.2%
CHA 22.2%
3P %
34.8%
35.1%
DET 23.5%
CHA 50.0% +26.5%
FT %
74.7%
79.7%
DET 63.6%
CHA 71.4% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.6%
DET 45.1% +1.1%
CHA 44.0%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
25.7%
DET 13.4% +10.6%
CHA 24.0%
3P Att. %
39.4%
37.8%
DET 41.5% +9.5%
CHA 32.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETCHA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points8698
Rebounds4143
Assists2119
Steals87
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)16 (2)
Fouls2223
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)32 (7)
Field Goals32-8233-75
At-the-Rim FG20-3717-33
Midrange FG4-114-18
2-Point FG24-4821-51
3-Point FG8-3412-24
Free Throws14-2220-28
Fast Break Pts410
2nd Chance Pts77
Points in Paint4640
Pts off Turnovers717
Bench Points2336
Biggest Lead215

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
37.8
17
47%
16
0
3
1
4
4
8
8
1-4
25%
8-16
50%
0-2
0%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
36.8
23
61%
7
5
0
1
2
4
1
6
7-9
78%
8-12
67%
0-4
0%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28
36.6
11
69%
2
3
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
27.8
12
50%
6
4
1
0
2
2
2
4
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22
18.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
21.9
3
25%
2
2
2
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
20.3
6
75%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
15.3
7
88%
1
3
0
3
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
5.5
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
4.7
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
#12 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left ankle sprain
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left ankle sprain
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right adductor tear
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
46%
41
21
8
5
14
22
12
29
14-22
64%
24-48
50%
8-34
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.