FinalWin Prob.pScore
255%110
99
1745%108
101
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
107.69299.1
MIA logo MIA
109.89285.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
101
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.01 50.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
7
24
29%
MIA
18
33
55%
Midrange
HOU
4
4
100%
MIA
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
18
27.0
54
33%
50%
MIA
9
13.5
39
23%
35%
Free Throws
HOU
23
30
77%
MIA
20
34
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3558%17.5 / 30
E. Gordon2053%10.0 / 19
P. Tucker1450%7.0 / 14
D. House10100%5.0 / 5
C. Capela643%3.0 / 7
G. Green536%2.5 / 7
C. Paul450%2.0 / 4
B. Knight338%1.5 / 4
Nene250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2258%11.0 / 19
T. Johnson1979%9.5 / 12
D. Jones1558%7.5 / 13
J. Johnson1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wade1031%5.0 / 16
H. Whiteside945%4.5 / 10
K. Olynyk744%3.5 / 8
R. McGruder542%2.5 / 6
B. Adebayo325%1.5 / 6
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
84
+12
-8
96
MIA
83
+27
-9
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.01 50.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
107.5
HOU 107.6
MIA 109.8 +2.2
Pace
98.0
98.1
HOU 99.1 +13.2
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
HOU 14.5 +2.2
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
51.5%
HOU 46.3% +2.8%
MIA 43.5%
TO %
12.8%
14.3%
HOU 7.8%
MIA 7.7% +0.1%
ORB %
22.8%
24.8%
HOU 16.3%
MIA 37.7% +21.4%
FTrt
27.9
24.7
HOU 36.6
MIA 36.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
61.2%
HOU 69.0% +7.9%
MIA 61.1%
STL %
8.6%
7.8%
HOU 6.5%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
8.7%
10.2%
HOU 5.6%
MIA 14.3% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
52.9%
HOU 50.5% +5.0%
MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
60.8%
HOU 29.2%
MIA 54.5% +25.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
36.8%
HOU 100.0% +57.1%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
35.6%
34.9%
HOU 33.3% +10.2%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
79.1%
69.5%
HOU 76.7% +17.9%
MIA 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
37.3%
HOU 29.3%
MIA 35.5% +6.2%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
25.9%
HOU 4.9% +17.7%
MIA 22.6%
3P Att. %
51.9%
36.8%
HOU 65.9% +23.9%
MIA 41.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points99101
Rebounds4161
Assists2022
Steals66
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)20 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)41 (3)
Field Goals29-8236-93
At-the-Rim FG7-2418-33
Midrange FG4-49-21
2-Point FG11-2827-54
3-Point FG18-549-39
Free Throws23-3020-34
Fast Break Pts97
2nd Chance Pts928
Points in Paint2052
Pts off Turnovers147
Bench Points2035
Biggest Lead1611

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
42.8
35
58%
6
12
2
0
3
4
1
5
15-18
83%
1-9
11%
6-14
43%
#10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 30
38.3
20
53%
3
3
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
5-13
38%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
37.8
14
50%
7
0
1
0
0
5
2
5
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
3-11
27%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
29.3
6
43%
14
1
1
1
0
2
5
9
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
12.1
4
50%
1
4
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
25.0
5
36%
6
0
1
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
18.7
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
18.4
10
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
17.7
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 35
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#8 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Leg
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
51%
41
20
6
3
8
23
8
33
23-30
77%
11-28
39%
18-54
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.