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All Games Wednesday, December 19, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Pelicans
38%116
115
8
Bucks
62%121
123
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
110.6104103.6
MIL logo MIL
117.1105105.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
0%
123
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.14 56.9%
MIL
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
13
28
46%
MIL
24
40
60%
Midrange
NOP
11
22
50%
MIL
6
12
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
19
28.5
42
45%
68%
MIL
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
NOP
10
15
67%
MIL
24
30
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis2764%13.5 / 21
J. Holiday2563%12.5 / 20
D. Miller2071%10.0 / 14
J. Okafor1794%8.5 / 9
F. Jackson8100%4.0 / 4
E. Moore758%3.5 / 6
S. Hill338%1.5 / 4
T. Frazier225%1.0 / 4
W. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
K. Williams233%1.0 / 3
C. Diallo2100%1.0 / 1
A. Harrison0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2574%12.5 / 17
M. Brogdon1657%8.0 / 14
K. Middleton1447%7.0 / 15
T. Snell13108%6.5 / 6
G. Hill11110%5.5 / 5
B. Lopez1056%5.0 / 9
E. Bledsoe945%4.5 / 10
D. Wilson945%4.5 / 10
S. Brown990%4.5 / 5
T. Maker7117%3.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
89
+10
-15
99
MIL
91
+10
-14
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.14 56.9%
MIL
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.9
NOP 110.6
MIL 117.1 +6.6
Pace
103.4
103.2
NOP 103.6
MIL 105.4 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
13.9
NOP 13.9
MIL 13.7 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
55.0%
NOP 57.1%
MIL 58.2% +1.1%
TO %
14.0%
12.8%
NOP 13.2%
MIL 12.5% +0.7%
ORB %
24.1%
20.8%
NOP 15.2%
MIL 20.9% +5.7%
FTrt
25.4
25.5
NOP 16.3
MIL 35.3 +19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
60.1%
NOP 65.1% +4.6%
MIL 60.5%
STL %
7.2%
7.2%
NOP 5.8%
MIL 10.5% +4.7%
BLK %
9.1%
10.4%
NOP 13.5% +7.5%
MIL 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
57.1%
NOP 56.9%
MIL 60.3% +3.4%
Rim FG%
62.1%
64.1%
NOP 46.4%
MIL 60.0% +13.6%
Mid FG%
41.1%
39.4%
NOP 50.0%
MIL 50.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.2%
NOP 45.2% +5.8%
MIL 39.4%
FT %
76.1%
77.2%
NOP 66.7%
MIL 80.0% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
40.2%
NOP 30.4%
MIL 47.1% +16.6%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
17.8%
NOP 23.9%
MIL 14.1% +9.8%
3P Att. %
32.4%
42.0%
NOP 45.7% +6.8%
MIL 38.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPMIL
Possessions104105
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points115123
Rebounds4148
Assists2826
Steals611
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)39 (0)
Field Goals43-9243-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2824-40
Midrange FG11-226-12
2-Point FG24-5030-52
3-Point FG19-4213-33
Free Throws10-1524-30
Fast Break Pts1218
2nd Chance Pts712
Points in Paint3854
Pts off Turnovers1621
Bench Points3849
Biggest Lead712

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 New Orleans Pelicans
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jrue Holiday
#11 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
36.9
25
63%
5
12
2
2
3
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-11
45%
5-9
56%
Darius Miller
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
36.5
20
71%
2
2
1
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
6-11
55%
Solomon Hill
#44 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28
31.9
3
38%
5
3
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
Anthony Davis
#23 · C · 6'10" 253 · 26
29.2
27
64%
11
3
2
3
3
2
0
11
3-6
50%
6-9
67%
4-9
44%
Tim Frazier
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
24.4
2
25%
5
3
0
0
3
5
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 30
24.4
7
58%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
Frank Jackson
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 21
18.1
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
Jahlil Okafor
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
13.1
17
94%
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
1
5-7
71%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
#33 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
8.8
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Kenrich Williams
#34 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
6.5
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Cheick Diallo
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
5.8
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Andrew Harrison
#1 · PG · 6'6" 213 · 24
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
Nikola Mirotic
#3 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle
Julius Randle
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
Trevon Bluiett
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Elfrid Payton
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Fractured Left Finger
Ian Clark
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
57%
41
28
6
7
15
22
7
34
10-15
67%
24-50
48%
19-42
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.