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All Games Tuesday, December 18, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Mavericks
34%108
118
9
Nuggets
66%114
126
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
116.8101104.6
DEN logo DEN
124.810197.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.3%
DEN
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
17
31
55%
DEN
24
39
62%
Midrange
DAL
8
18
44%
DEN
14
22
64%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
DEN
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
DAL
23
30
77%
DEN
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes3088%15.0 / 17
L. Dončić2357%11.5 / 20
W. Matthews1454%7.0 / 13
D. Jordan1179%5.5 / 7
J. Barea1042%5.0 / 12
D. Harris975%4.5 / 6
J. Brunson857%4.0 / 7
D. Powell880%4.0 / 5
D. Nowitzki375%1.5 / 2
D. Finney-Smith225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3267%16.0 / 24
J. Murray2261%11.0 / 18
M. Morris16100%8.0 / 8
T. Lyles1689%8.0 / 9
J. Hernangomez1260%6.0 / 10
M. Beasley12100%6.0 / 6
M. Plumlee1161%5.5 / 9
T. Craig550%2.5 / 5
N. Young0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
93
+9
-8
102
DEN
86
+13
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.3%
DEN
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
112.6
DAL 116.8
DEN 124.8 +7.9
Pace
99.1
98.0
DAL 104.6 +7.0
DEN 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
DAL 13.8 +1.0
DEN 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.7%
DAL 55.2%
DEN 62.2% +7.0%
TO %
13.6%
13.1%
DAL 7.5% +6.5%
DEN 14.0%
ORB %
22.6%
26.6%
DAL 14.6%
DEN 30.8% +16.2%
FTrt
29.1
23.2
DAL 34.9 +14.9
DEN 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
65.3%
DAL 65.0%
DEN 66.0% +1.0%
STL %
6.5%
7.9%
DAL 7.9% +1.0%
DEN 6.9%
BLK %
7.6%
8.2%
DAL 1.6%
DEN 6.1% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.5%
DAL 57.3%
DEN 63.6% +6.3%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.6%
DAL 54.8%
DEN 61.5% +6.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
43.3%
DAL 44.4%
DEN 63.6% +19.2%
3P %
34.0%
35.1%
DAL 40.5%
DEN 41.4% +0.9%
FT %
74.2%
75.5%
DAL 76.7%
DEN 77.8% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
37.5%
DAL 36.0%
DEN 43.3% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
27.7%
DAL 20.9% +3.5%
DEN 24.4%
3P Att. %
42.2%
34.8%
DAL 43.0% +10.8%
DEN 32.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points118126
Rebounds3347
Assists2633
Steals87
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)15 (1)
Fouls1728
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)35 (4)
Field Goals40-8650-90
At-the-Rim FG17-3124-39
Midrange FG8-1814-22
2-Point FG25-4938-61
3-Point FG15-3712-29
Free Throws23-3014-18
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts89
Points in Paint4464
Pts off Turnovers178
Bench Points3244
Biggest Lead710

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
17 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
34.5
23
57%
6
12
1
0
1
1
0
6
10-12
83%
2-6
33%
3-9
33%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
34.0
30
88%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
5-8
63%
5-8
63%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 32
31.9
14
54%
2
4
2
0
2
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-7
0%
4-5
80%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
26.8
11
79%
12
1
2
0
2
6
2
10
3-6
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 22
24.6
8
57%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
27.4
2
25%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
20.6
10
42%
4
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
16.9
8
80%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
15.1
9
75%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 40
7.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Great Toe Sprain
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
57%
33
26
8
1
8
17
6
27
23-30
77%
25-49
51%
15-37
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.