FinalWin Prob.pScore
957%114
107
1843%111
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
108.19995.9
DET logo DET
104.0100103.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
104
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.11 55.7%
DET
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
29
38
76%
DET
12
29
41%
Midrange
MIL
6
25
24%
DET
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
DET
14
21.0
35
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIL
10
15
67%
DET
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3284%16.0 / 19
K. Middleton2258%11.0 / 19
E. Bledsoe1750%8.5 / 17
T. Snell1286%6.0 / 7
S. Brown956%4.5 / 8
D. Wilson9113%4.5 / 4
B. Lopez350%1.5 / 3
T. Maker2100%1.0 / 1
G. Hill17%0.5 / 7
D. DiVincenzo0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bullock2486%12.0 / 14
S. Johnson2077%10.0 / 13
B. Griffin1953%9.5 / 18
R. Jackson1155%5.5 / 10
A. Drummond1038%5.0 / 13
J. Leuer8100%4.0 / 4
L. Galloway536%2.5 / 7
J. Calderon450%2.0 / 4
L. Kennard321%1.5 / 7
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
89
+8
-10
97
DET
84
+14
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.11 55.7%
DET
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
109.0
MIL 108.1 +4.1
DET 104.0
Pace
103.2
97.3
MIL 95.9
DET 103.3 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.2
MIL 15.0
DET 13.9 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
50.8%
MIL 55.1% +2.8%
DET 52.3%
TO %
12.8%
13.2%
MIL 10.4% +4.1%
DET 14.5%
ORB %
20.8%
24.9%
MIL 12.5%
DET 23.8% +11.3%
FTrt
25.5
26.1
MIL 17.0
DET 17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
57.9%
MIL 75.0% +10.9%
DET 64.1%
STL %
7.2%
7.1%
MIL 8.1% +5.1%
DET 3.0%
BLK %
10.4%
7.1%
MIL 18.9% +15.7%
DET 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
53.0%
MIL 55.7% +2.6%
DET 53.1%
Rim FG%
64.1%
57.5%
MIL 76.3% +34.9%
DET 41.4%
Mid FG%
39.4%
38.4%
MIL 24.0%
DET 54.2% +30.2%
3P %
35.2%
34.8%
MIL 36.0%
DET 40.0% +4.0%
FT %
77.2%
74.7%
MIL 66.7%
DET 80.0% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
36.7%
MIL 43.2% +10.2%
DET 33.0%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
23.9%
MIL 28.4%
DET 27.3% +1.1%
3P Att. %
42.0%
39.4%
MIL 28.4%
DET 39.8% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points107104
Rebounds3745
Assists3325
Steals83
Blocks102
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (0)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)35 (3)
Field Goals44-8839-88
At-the-Rim FG29-3812-29
Midrange FG6-2513-24
2-Point FG35-6325-53
3-Point FG9-2514-35
Free Throws10-1512-15
Fast Break Pts179
2nd Chance Pts514
Points in Paint6436
Pts off Turnovers2911
Bench Points2137
Biggest Lead158

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 27
36.5
22
58%
2
6
1
0
1
3
0
2
5-6
83%
4-10
40%
3-6
50%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
34.8
17
50%
3
9
2
0
1
2
0
3
2-5
40%
6-14
43%
1-2
50%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
31.2
32
84%
12
5
0
2
6
5
3
9
2-2
100%
15-18
83%
0-3
0%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
29.0
12
86%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
28.8
3
50%
3
4
1
5
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
26.5
9
56%
3
3
3
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
25.7
9
113%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
14.0
1
7%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
6.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Nose Contusion
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Soreness
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | G League Assignment
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
56%
37
33
8
10
10
19
5
32
10-15
67%
35-63
56%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.