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All Games Sunday, December 16, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Heat
41%111
102
13
Pelicans
59%114
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.19184.1
NOP logo NOP
105.59199.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOP
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
100%
96
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
NOP
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
31
55%
NOP
19
37
51%
Midrange
MIA
11
25
44%
NOP
3
13
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
NOP
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
16
23
70%
NOP
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2252%11.0 / 21
D. Wade1968%9.5 / 14
H. Whiteside1765%8.5 / 13
T. Johnson1554%7.5 / 14
D. Jones1169%5.5 / 8
K. Olynyk844%4.0 / 9
B. Adebayo583%2.5 / 3
J. Johnson330%1.5 / 5
J. Winslow225%1.0 / 4
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis2771%13.5 / 19
J. Holiday2265%11.0 / 17
J. Randle1761%8.5 / 14
E. Moore1155%5.5 / 10
S. Hill1071%5.0 / 7
A. Harrison638%3.0 / 8
D. Miller317%1.5 / 9
T. Frazier0-0.0 / 2
F. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+30
-18
103
NOP
81
+15
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
NOP
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.3
MIA 112.1 +6.6
NOP 105.5
Pace
98.1
103.4
MIA 84.1
NOP 99.2 +15.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.7
MIA 17.1
NOP 14.5 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.9%
MIA 47.3%
NOP 48.3% +1.0%
TO %
14.3%
14.0%
MIA 15.8%
NOP 10.5% +5.3%
ORB %
24.8%
24.1%
MIA 44.9% +21.0%
NOP 23.9%
FTrt
24.7
25.4
MIA 25.3 +5.5
NOP 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
61.9%
MIA 57.9%
NOP 74.3% +16.4%
STL %
7.8%
7.2%
MIA 6.6%
NOP 13.2% +6.6%
BLK %
10.2%
9.1%
MIA 8.0%
NOP 8.9% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.3%
MIA 50.0% +0.5%
NOP 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.1%
MIA 54.8% +3.4%
NOP 51.4%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.1%
MIA 44.0% +20.9%
NOP 23.1%
3P %
34.9%
34.4%
MIA 28.6%
NOP 36.1% +7.5%
FT %
69.5%
76.1%
MIA 69.6%
NOP 76.5% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
40.2%
MIA 34.1%
NOP 43.0% +9.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
27.4%
MIA 27.5%
NOP 15.1% +12.4%
3P Att. %
36.8%
32.4%
MIA 38.5%
NOP 41.9% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIANOP
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points10296
Rebounds5738
Assists2226
Steals612
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)10 (1)
Fouls2122
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (8)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals38-9135-86
At-the-Rim FG17-3119-37
Midrange FG11-253-13
2-Point FG28-5622-50
3-Point FG10-3513-36
Free Throws16-2313-17
Fast Break Pts1414
2nd Chance Pts2516
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers1928
Bench Points5820
Biggest Lead172

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 25
35.6
22
52%
1
4
3
0
4
3
0
1
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
2-8
25%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 27
23.2
0
0%
8
3
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
22.7
17
65%
12
0
0
3
1
3
6
6
1-3
33%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
15.7
3
30%
5
2
0
0
0
4
0
5
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
14.8
2
25%
2
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
32.3
8
44%
6
1
0
0
1
3
1
5
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-5
0%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
25.9
15
54%
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
3-8
38%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
25.3
5
83%
8
5
0
1
4
5
2
6
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
23.2
19
68%
6
2
0
0
5
0
3
3
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
21.4
11
69%
8
0
2
0
0
1
5
3
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Injury
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
50%
57
22
6
4
18
21
22
35
16-23
70%
28-56
50%
10-35
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.