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All Games Sunday, December 16, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Kings
41%114
120
14
Mavericks
59%117
113
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
113.2106115.0
DAL logo DAL
105.610799.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.120
100%
113
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.10 55.0%
DAL
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
23
33
70%
DAL
20
33
61%
Midrange
SAC
14
34
41%
DAL
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
DAL
9
13.5
35
26%
39%
Free Throws
SAC
19
21
90%
DAL
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2864%14.0 / 22
D. Fox2878%14.0 / 18
B. Bogdanović1554%7.5 / 14
N. Bjelica1568%7.5 / 11
W. Cauley-Stein1255%6.0 / 11
K. Koufos880%4.0 / 5
Y. Ferrell840%4.0 / 10
J. Jackson650%3.0 / 6
T. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2874%14.0 / 19
H. Barnes1547%7.5 / 16
W. Matthews1350%6.5 / 13
J. Brunson1246%6.0 / 13
M. Kleber1161%5.5 / 9
D. Jordan867%4.0 / 6
D. Powell880%4.0 / 5
D. Harris735%3.5 / 10
D. Finney-Smith660%3.0 / 5
D. Nowitzki338%1.5 / 4
R. Broekhoff250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
97
+13
-9
110
DAL
93
+19
-14
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.10 55.0%
DAL
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
109.2
SAC 113.2 +7.6
DAL 105.6
Pace
103.5
99.1
SAC 115.0 +15.8
DAL 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.8
SAC 12.5 +2.0
DAL 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.8%
SAC 51.5% +5.1%
DAL 46.4%
TO %
12.4%
13.6%
SAC 7.7% +3.6%
DAL 11.3%
ORB %
23.1%
22.6%
SAC 22.9%
DAL 30.8% +7.9%
FTrt
24.4
29.1
SAC 21.4
DAL 32.3 +10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
60.3%
SAC 43.5%
DAL 55.0% +11.5%
STL %
8.0%
6.5%
SAC 5.7% +0.1%
DAL 5.6%
BLK %
7.9%
7.6%
SAC 11.5% +4.0%
DAL 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
54.2%
SAC 55.0% +4.1%
DAL 50.9%
Rim FG%
60.3%
62.0%
SAC 69.7% +9.1%
DAL 60.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.0%
SAC 41.2% +1.9%
DAL 39.3%
3P %
37.8%
34.0%
SAC 29.0% +3.3%
DAL 25.7%
FT %
72.6%
74.2%
SAC 90.5% +13.1%
DAL 77.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
33.8%
SAC 33.7%
DAL 34.4% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
24.0%
SAC 34.7%
DAL 29.2% +5.5%
3P Att. %
32.2%
42.2%
SAC 31.6%
DAL 36.5% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACDAL
Possessions106107
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points120113
Rebounds4753
Assists2022
Steals66
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2618
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (5)37 (3)
Field Goals46-9840-96
At-the-Rim FG23-3320-33
Midrange FG14-3411-28
2-Point FG37-6731-61
3-Point FG9-319-35
Free Throws19-2124-31
Fast Break Pts3214
2nd Chance Pts1216
Points in Paint6052
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points2237
Biggest Lead127

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
39.2
28
64%
4
2
0
0
2
3
0
4
1-1
100%
9-14
64%
3-9
33%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 26
37.1
15
54%
7
5
0
0
1
3
0
7
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 31
34.6
15
68%
10
1
0
4
1
1
1
9
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
33.4
28
78%
3
5
3
1
2
4
1
2
6-6
100%
11-16
69%
0-3
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
32.2
12
55%
8
3
1
1
1
5
3
5
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
Justin Jackson
#25 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
22.6
6
50%
3
0
1
0
2
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
15.8
8
80%
8
1
1
0
0
3
5
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
14.7
8
40%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-5
0%
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
10.6
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
#9 · SG · 6'5" 212 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben McLemore
#23 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Bone Bruise
Skal Labissiere
#7 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Zach Randolph
#50 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
55%
47
20
6
7
9
26
11
36
19-21
90%
37-67
55%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.