FinalWin Prob.pScore
263%108
105
1537%104
97
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
115.49190.0
MEM logo MEM
106.69192.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
100%
97
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.19 59.7%
MEM
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
28
64%
MEM
26
32
81%
Midrange
HOU
4
8
50%
MEM
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
MEM
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
Free Throws
HOU
22
25
88%
MEM
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden32100%16.0 / 16
C. Capela2687%13.0 / 15
G. Green17121%8.5 / 7
P. Tucker1464%7.0 / 11
C. Paul1050%5.0 / 10
E. Gordon420%2.0 / 10
Nene220%1.0 / 5
D. House0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2265%11.0 / 17
M. Gasol1765%8.5 / 13
J. Green1372%6.5 / 9
J. Carter1169%5.5 / 8
J. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
G. Temple857%4.0 / 7
M. Brooks7117%3.5 / 3
S. Mack450%2.0 / 4
W. Selden338%1.5 / 4
O. Casspi250%1.0 / 2
J. Noah125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
79
+8
-12
87
MEM
77
+7
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.19 59.7%
MEM
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
106.1
HOU 115.4 +8.8
MEM 106.6
Pace
98.0
96.6
HOU 90.0
MEM 92.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.4
HOU 16.0
MEM 15.6 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
50.8%
HOU 56.8% +0.1%
MEM 56.7%
TO %
12.8%
13.5%
HOU 14.3% +1.1%
MEM 15.4%
ORB %
22.8%
20.1%
HOU 17.1% +0.4%
MEM 16.7%
FTrt
27.9
27.2
HOU 34.2 +11.5
MEM 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
63.1%
HOU 65.7% +15.7%
MEM 50.0%
STL %
8.6%
8.5%
HOU 5.5%
MEM 8.8% +3.3%
BLK %
8.7%
10.7%
HOU 3.8%
MEM 16.7% +12.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
53.4%
HOU 59.7% +2.0%
MEM 57.7%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.9%
HOU 64.3%
MEM 81.3% +17.0%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.0%
HOU 50.0% +5.0%
MEM 45.0%
3P %
35.6%
34.2%
HOU 35.1% +13.4%
MEM 21.7%
FT %
79.1%
77.2%
HOU 88.0% +17.4%
MEM 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
34.8%
HOU 38.4%
MEM 42.7% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
31.0%
HOU 11.0% +15.7%
MEM 26.7%
3P Att. %
51.9%
34.2%
HOU 50.7% +20.0%
MEM 30.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUMEM
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points10597
Rebounds3635
Assists2320
Steals58
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)14 (1)
Fouls2222
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals35-7340-75
At-the-Rim FG18-2826-32
Midrange FG4-89-20
2-Point FG22-3635-52
3-Point FG13-375-23
Free Throws22-2512-17
Fast Break Pts1015
2nd Chance Pts98
Points in Paint3862
Pts off Turnovers1010
Bench Points1937
Biggest Lead210

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
40.5
32
100%
12
10
2
0
5
1
0
12
11-13
85%
6-7
86%
3-7
43%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
39.4
14
64%
7
0
1
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
36.2
10
50%
1
10
2
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
34.7
26
87%
10
0
0
2
2
5
3
7
6-7
86%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
#10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 30
31.2
4
20%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-8
0%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
21.6
17
121%
1
0
0
0
1
5
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
19.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
13.3
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 35
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#8 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
#9 · PF · 7'1" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
60%
36
23
5
2
12
22
6
30
22-25
88%
22-36
61%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.