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All Games Saturday, December 15, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Lakers
49%116
128
13
Hornets
51%117
100
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
120.8106107.9
CHA logo CHA
93.5107105.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
100
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.23 61.5%
CHA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
33
48
69%
CHA
15
33
45%
Midrange
LAL
2
10
20%
CHA
17
30
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
CHA
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
Free Throws
LAL
16
24
67%
CHA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2460%12.0 / 20
J. McGee1986%9.5 / 11
L. Ball16100%8.0 / 8
K. Kuzma1470%7.0 / 10
S. Mykhailiuk1255%6.0 / 11
L. Stephenson1169%5.5 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope1161%5.5 / 9
I. Zubac675%3.0 / 4
J. Hart528%2.5 / 9
M. Wagner563%2.5 / 4
T. Chandler375%1.5 / 2
I. Bonga233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Monk1968%9.5 / 14
M. Bridges1761%8.5 / 14
J. Lamb1275%6.0 / 8
W. Hernangomez1155%5.5 / 10
D. Bacon9113%4.5 / 4
C. Zeller857%4.0 / 7
N. Batum750%3.5 / 7
D. Graham542%2.5 / 6
K. Walker415%2.0 / 13
T. Parker467%2.0 / 3
M. Kidd-Gilchrist225%1.0 / 4
F. Kaminsky250%1.0 / 2
M. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
91
+13
-15
104
CHA
89
+12
-18
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.23 61.5%
CHA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
111.3
LAL 120.8
CHA 93.5 +27.3
Pace
103.0
98.7
LAL 107.9 +2.7
CHA 105.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.6
LAL 13.3 +0.3
CHA 13.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.4%
LAL 60.9% +14.7%
CHA 46.2%
TO %
14.7%
11.7%
LAL 13.5% +1.8%
CHA 15.3%
ORB %
22.2%
21.9%
LAL 25.6% +8.0%
CHA 17.6%
FTrt
25.7
25.7
LAL 26.1 +6.5
CHA 19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
57.8%
LAL 69.4% +13.0%
CHA 56.4%
STL %
7.3%
7.2%
LAL 11.3% +8.5%
CHA 2.8%
BLK %
9.2%
8.9%
LAL 9.5%
CHA 10.3% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.2%
LAL 61.5% +12.0%
CHA 49.5%
Rim FG%
62.0%
56.9%
LAL 68.8% +23.3%
CHA 45.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.7%
LAL 20.0%
CHA 56.7% +36.7%
3P %
33.3%
35.1%
LAL 41.2% +17.1%
CHA 24.1%
FT %
69.9%
79.7%
LAL 66.7%
CHA 83.3% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.6%
36.6%
LAL 52.2% +16.3%
CHA 35.9%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
25.7%
LAL 10.9% +21.7%
CHA 32.6%
3P Att. %
34.2%
37.8%
LAL 37.0% +5.4%
CHA 31.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsLALCHA
Possessions106107
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points128100
Rebounds5238
Assists3422
Steals123
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)18 (0)
Fouls2019
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals49-9239-92
At-the-Rim FG33-4815-33
Midrange FG2-1017-30
2-Point FG35-5832-63
3-Point FG14-347-29
Free Throws16-2415-18
Fast Break Pts259
2nd Chance Pts1714
Points in Paint6642
Pts off Turnovers2019
Bench Points5069
Biggest Lead362

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
12 Los Angeles Lakers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Lonzo Ball
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 21
34.9
16
100%
10
10
5
1
2
1
3
7
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
LeBron James
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 34
30.2
24
60%
12
11
1
0
3
0
1
11
8-12
67%
5-9
56%
2-6
33%
Kyle Kuzma
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 23
27.7
14
70%
3
3
0
1
4
4
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Josh Hart
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24
26.1
5
28%
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31
17.8
19
86%
6
0
1
3
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
9-10
90%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
#6 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28
22.9
11
69%
5
4
2
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
21.2
11
61%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
Svi Mykhailiuk
#10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
17.8
12
55%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
Tyson Chandler
#5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 36
16.5
3
75%
5
0
0
1
1
5
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Ivica Zubac
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22
11.6
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Moritz Wagner
#15 · C · 6'11" 245 · 22
6.9
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Isaac Bonga
#17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 19
6.4
2
33%
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
#11 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 30
NWT - Personal | personal reasons
Johnathan Williams
#19 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Rajon Rondo
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right hand surgery
Brandon Ingram
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | sprained left ankle
Alex Caruso
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
62%
52
34
12
6
15
20
10
42
16-24
67%
35-58
60%
14-34
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.