FinalWin Prob.pScore
171%123
130
2029%115
125
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
112.1116122.7
SAC logo SAC
108.7115109.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.130
100%
125
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.13 56.5%
SAC
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
20
28
71%
SAC
18
25
72%
Midrange
GSW
9
28
32%
SAC
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
15
22.5
40
38%
56%
SAC
15
22.5
44
34%
51%
Free Throws
GSW
27
36
75%
SAC
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3567%17.5 / 26
K. Durant3372%16.5 / 23
K. Thompson2754%13.5 / 25
K. Looney10100%5.0 / 5
J. Jerebko857%4.0 / 7
Q. Cook563%2.5 / 4
D. Lee5125%2.5 / 2
A. McKinnie325%1.5 / 6
D. Green250%1.0 / 2
J. Bell250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2768%13.5 / 20
D. Fox2557%12.5 / 22
W. Cauley-Stein2269%11.0 / 16
N. Bjelica18100%9.0 / 9
B. Bogdanović1243%6.0 / 14
J. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
I. Shumpert531%2.5 / 8
M. Bagley4200%2.0 / 1
Y. Ferrell325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
98
+17
-18
115
SAC
102
+7
-13
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.13 56.5%
SAC
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
110.0
GSW 112.1 +3.4
SAC 108.7
Pace
101.3
103.5
GSW 122.7 +13.7
SAC 109.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
13.3
GSW 11.7 +1.5
SAC 13.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
52.4%
GSW 53.6%
SAC 54.7% +1.1%
TO %
13.5%
12.4%
GSW 13.9%
SAC 10.8% +3.1%
ORB %
22.5%
23.1%
GSW 30.0% +16.5%
SAC 13.5%
FTrt
22.7
24.4
GSW 37.5 +11.5
SAC 26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
58.8%
GSW 72.7%
SAC 73.3% +0.6%
STL %
7.4%
8.0%
GSW 4.3%
SAC 5.2% +0.9%
BLK %
11.3%
7.9%
GSW 0.0%
SAC 5.4% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
54.1%
GSW 56.5%
SAC 57.3% +0.8%
Rim FG%
66.3%
60.3%
GSW 71.4%
SAC 72.0% +0.6%
Mid FG%
45.8%
38.8%
GSW 32.1%
SAC 44.4% +12.3%
3P %
38.5%
37.8%
GSW 37.5% +3.4%
SAC 34.1%
FT %
80.1%
72.6%
GSW 75.0%
SAC 80.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
36.7%
GSW 29.2% +3.1%
SAC 26.0%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
31.1%
GSW 29.2%
SAC 28.1% +1.0%
3P Att. %
38.4%
32.2%
GSW 41.7%
SAC 45.8% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWSAC
Possessions116115
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points130125
Rebounds6042
Assists3233
Steals56
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2328
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)45 (1)35 (3)
Field Goals44-9645-96
At-the-Rim FG20-2818-25
Midrange FG9-2812-27
2-Point FG29-5630-52
3-Point FG15-4015-44
Free Throws27-3620-25
Fast Break Pts2031
2nd Chance Pts189
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers1525
Bench Points2328
Biggest Lead1610

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
37.7
27
54%
9
3
1
0
0
2
1
8
3-4
75%
6-15
40%
4-12
33%
#35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 30
36.6
33
72%
8
8
0
0
4
1
2
6
11-12
92%
5-12
42%
4-8
50%
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
36.0
35
67%
7
6
3
0
1
2
1
6
8-8
100%
6-9
67%
5-14
36%
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
31.4
2
50%
14
10
1
0
5
3
1
13
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
28.1
10
100%
8
3
0
0
0
5
5
3
0-2
0%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
24.1
8
57%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
15.5
3
25%
8
1
0
0
2
2
4
4
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
12.0
5
63%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
9.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
8.7
5
125%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Pelvic contusion
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pectoral muscle tear
#9 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip soreness
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Rest | Left Achillies rehab
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
130
56%
60
32
5
0
18
23
15
45
27-36
75%
29-56
52%
15-40
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.