for complete access.
All Games Friday, December 14, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Thunder
49%111
98
8
Nuggets
51%112
109
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
102.196101.3
DEN logo DEN
114.79590.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
109
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.94 47.1%
DEN
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
23
49
47%
DEN
22
33
67%
Midrange
OKC
7
22
32%
DEN
9
16
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
DEN
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
Free Throws
OKC
17
29
59%
DEN
14
15
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George3267%16.0 / 24
S. Adams2659%13.0 / 22
R. Westbrook1341%6.5 / 16
J. Grant1350%6.5 / 13
D. Schröder1134%5.5 / 16
P. Patterson350%1.5 / 3
T. Ferguson0-0.0 / 1
A. Abrines0-0.0 / 1
N. Noel0-0.0 / 1
H. Diallo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2471%12.0 / 17
J. Murray1963%9.5 / 15
J. Hernangomez1673%8.0 / 11
T. Craig15107%7.5 / 7
M. Morris1464%7.0 / 11
T. Lyles945%4.5 / 10
M. Plumlee643%3.0 / 7
N. Young6100%3.0 / 3
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
83
+22
-13
105
DEN
75
+15
-20
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.94 47.1%
DEN
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
112.6
OKC 102.1
DEN 114.7 +12.7
Pace
102.9
98.0
OKC 101.3 +11.0
DEN 90.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
14.7
OKC 14.2 +1.7
DEN 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
52.7%
OKC 45.0%
DEN 57.2% +12.2%
TO %
13.2%
13.1%
OKC 11.2% +7.0%
DEN 18.2%
ORB %
26.0%
26.6%
OKC 34.5% +1.2%
DEN 33.3%
FTrt
26.6
23.2
OKC 32.2 +14.1
DEN 18.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
65.3%
OKC 37.8%
DEN 69.0% +31.2%
STL %
9.0%
7.9%
OKC 9.4% +1.0%
DEN 8.4%
BLK %
9.1%
8.2%
OKC 8.2%
DEN 8.5% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
54.5%
OKC 47.1%
DEN 59.9% +12.8%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.6%
OKC 46.9%
DEN 66.7% +19.8%
Mid FG%
38.6%
43.3%
OKC 31.8%
DEN 56.3% +24.5%
3P %
34.8%
35.1%
OKC 36.8% +4.4%
DEN 32.4%
FT %
71.3%
75.5%
OKC 58.6%
DEN 93.3% +34.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
37.5%
OKC 54.4% +14.7%
DEN 39.8%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
27.7%
OKC 24.4%
DEN 19.3% +5.2%
3P Att. %
34.7%
34.8%
OKC 21.1%
DEN 41.0% +19.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCDEN
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points98109
Rebounds4348
Assists1429
Steals98
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)20 (0)
Fouls1724
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)36 (2)
Field Goals37-9042-83
At-the-Rim FG23-4922-33
Midrange FG7-229-16
2-Point FG30-7131-49
3-Point FG7-1911-34
Free Throws17-2914-15
Fast Break Pts56
2nd Chance Pts1218
Points in Paint5252
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points1429
Biggest Lead412

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
4 Oklahoma City Thunder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Paul George
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
39.8
32
67%
5
2
1
0
3
2
3
2
5-6
83%
9-18
50%
3-6
50%
Steven Adams
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 25
37.1
26
59%
14
2
1
2
1
4
11
3
2-6
33%
12-20
60%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
36.3
13
41%
14
8
4
1
4
3
1
13
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
1-3
33%
Jerami Grant
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
34.9
13
50%
2
0
2
0
1
2
2
0
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
Terrance Ferguson
#23 · SG · 6'7" 184 · 21
23.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25
28.2
11
34%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
4-7
57%
2-11
18%
1-2
50%
Alex Abrines
#8 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25
18.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Nerlens Noel
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
10.9
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
5.5
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Hamidou Diallo
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 20
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
#7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Davis
#34 · C · 6'10" 266 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Andre Roberson
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar Tendon
Deonte Burton
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
47%
43
14
9
4
13
17
19
24
17-29
59%
30-71
42%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.