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All Games Friday, December 14, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Heat
39%100
100
14
Grizzlies
61%104
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.68886.4
MEM logo MEM
110.28889.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.100
100%
97
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
MEM
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
36
53%
MEM
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
2
7
29%
MEM
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
MEM
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
MEM
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson1850%9.0 / 18
K. Olynyk1882%9.0 / 11
T. Johnson1765%8.5 / 13
D. Jones1365%6.5 / 10
J. Johnson1275%6.0 / 8
R. McGruder850%4.0 / 8
H. Whiteside660%3.0 / 5
J. Winslow422%2.0 / 9
B. Adebayo4200%2.0 / 1
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2269%11.0 / 16
G. Temple1575%7.5 / 10
J. Jackson1568%7.5 / 11
M. Gasol1444%7.0 / 16
K. Anderson880%4.0 / 5
S. Mack744%3.5 / 8
J. Green750%3.5 / 7
J. Noah563%2.5 / 4
M. Brooks433%2.0 / 6
W. Selden0-0.0 / 4
O. Casspi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+20
-16
92
MEM
81
+13
-7
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
MEM
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
106.1
MIA 113.6 +3.4
MEM 110.2
Pace
98.1
96.6
MIA 86.4
MEM 89.9 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.4
MIA 16.7
MEM 16.0 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.8%
MIA 53.0% +6.0%
MEM 47.0%
TO %
14.3%
13.5%
MIA 15.9%
MEM 7.8% +8.1%
ORB %
24.8%
20.1%
MIA 36.8% +15.1%
MEM 21.7%
FTrt
24.7
27.2
MIA 22.0
MEM 30.1 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
63.1%
MIA 83.3% +23.3%
MEM 60.0%
STL %
7.8%
8.5%
MIA 3.4%
MEM 10.2% +6.8%
BLK %
10.2%
10.7%
MIA 14.8% +3.2%
MEM 11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.4%
MIA 53.2% +1.6%
MEM 51.6%
Rim FG%
60.8%
59.9%
MIA 52.8% +2.8%
MEM 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
40.0%
MIA 28.6%
MEM 50.0% +21.4%
3P %
34.9%
34.2%
MIA 38.5% +10.9%
MEM 27.6%
FT %
69.5%
77.2%
MIA 72.2%
MEM 76.0% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
34.8%
MIA 43.9% +10.2%
MEM 33.7%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
31.0%
MIA 8.5% +22.8%
MEM 31.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
34.2%
MIA 47.6% +12.6%
MEM 34.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes24.423.5
Points10097
Rebounds5034
Assists3021
Steals39
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)7 (1)
Fouls2018
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)24 (3)
Field Goals36-8235-83
At-the-Rim FG19-3614-28
Midrange FG2-713-26
2-Point FG21-4327-54
3-Point FG15-398-29
Free Throws13-1819-25
Fast Break Pts116
2nd Chance Pts2014
Points in Paint4250
Pts off Turnovers616
Bench Points5223
Biggest Lead118

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
36.6
18
50%
5
7
1
0
1
2
2
3
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
2-7
29%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
24.3
4
22%
4
3
0
0
3
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
1-5
20%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
23.1
8
50%
2
2
0
0
2
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
22.0
12
75%
4
1
0
1
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
22.0
6
60%
7
2
0
2
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
31.3
17
65%
5
4
1
0
2
4
0
5
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
4-7
57%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
26.0
4
200%
9
5
0
2
2
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
26.0
18
82%
5
5
1
1
2
1
1
4
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
23.4
13
65%
8
1
0
2
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
DNP - Injury/Illness | General Soreness
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Surgery
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
50
30
3
8
16
20
14
36
13-18
72%
21-43
49%
15-39
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.