FinalWin Prob.pScore
2718%106
108
682%119
129
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.0108115.3
BOS logo BOS
118.3109102.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
129
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 52.9%
BOS
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
18
38
47%
BOS
19
34
56%
Midrange
ATL
2
10
20%
BOS
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
16
24.0
38
42%
63%
BOS
19
28.5
39
49%
73%
Free Throws
ATL
20
32
63%
BOS
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Huerter1995%9.5 / 10
K. Bazemore1359%6.5 / 11
A. Len1365%6.5 / 10
V. Carter1267%6.0 / 9
J. Collins1139%5.5 / 14
D. Dedmon945%4.5 / 10
T. Young932%4.5 / 14
J. Lin857%4.0 / 7
T. Dorsey650%3.0 / 6
D. Bembry542%2.5 / 6
D. Hamilton350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2471%12.0 / 17
J. Tatum2285%11.0 / 13
M. Morris2091%10.0 / 11
G. Hayward1995%9.5 / 10
D. Theis1890%9.0 / 10
T. Rozier964%4.5 / 7
A. Baynes563%2.5 / 4
J. Brown417%2.0 / 12
S. Ojeleye440%2.0 / 5
R. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
B. Wanamaker233%1.0 / 3
M. Smart0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+18
-24
102
BOS
88
+19
-21
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 52.9%
BOS
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.8
ATL 100.0
BOS 118.3 +18.3
Pace
103.9
100.0
ATL 115.3 +12.4
BOS 102.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
14.2
ATL 12.5 +1.5
BOS 14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
53.4%
ATL 51.2%
BOS 58.4% +7.2%
TO %
15.8%
12.4%
ATL 19.3%
BOS 17.5% +1.8%
ORB %
24.8%
21.7%
ATL 32.0% +0.3%
BOS 31.7%
FTrt
25.5
21.5
ATL 37.2 +16.1
BOS 21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
62.4%
ATL 75.0% +14.1%
BOS 60.9%
STL %
7.8%
8.5%
ATL 9.3%
BOS 13.8% +4.5%
BLK %
9.2%
9.7%
ATL 8.9%
BOS 18.8% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
55.3%
ATL 52.9%
BOS 60.3% +7.4%
Rim FG%
59.0%
61.6%
ATL 47.4%
BOS 55.9% +8.5%
Mid FG%
37.9%
43.1%
ATL 20.0%
BOS 36.4% +16.4%
3P %
35.2%
36.5%
ATL 42.1%
BOS 48.7% +6.6%
FT %
75.2%
80.2%
ATL 62.5%
BOS 90.0% +27.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
32.1%
ATL 44.2% +8.4%
BOS 35.8%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
29.8%
ATL 11.6% +11.5%
BOS 23.2%
3P Att. %
40.3%
38.1%
ATL 44.2% +3.1%
BOS 41.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions108109
Possession Minutes22.525.4
Points108129
Rebounds4447
Assists2728
Steals1015
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)24 (0)21 (1)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals36-8646-95
At-the-Rim FG18-3819-34
Midrange FG2-108-22
2-Point FG20-4827-56
3-Point FG16-3819-39
Free Throws20-3218-20
Fast Break Pts2418
2nd Chance Pts1614
Points in Paint3842
Pts off Turnovers3444
Bench Points4758
Biggest Lead129

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 198 · 20
31.1
19
95%
2
3
3
1
5
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
29.2
11
39%
14
1
0
1
5
3
7
7
7-12
58%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 29
28.9
13
59%
3
7
2
0
3
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
#14 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29
27.8
9
45%
9
2
4
0
1
3
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 20
22.6
9
32%
3
3
0
1
3
2
3
0
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-6
0%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
20.6
5
42%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
17.1
8
57%
2
4
1
0
2
1
1
1
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
16.2
12
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 25
16.1
13
65%
4
1
0
0
3
2
1
3
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
12.5
6
50%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 23
6.7
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Pain
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Soreness
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
53%
44
27
10
5
24
19
16
28
20-32
63%
20-48
42%
16-38
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.