FinalWin Prob.pScore
329%112
113
171%119
93
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
111.910196.8
GSW logo GSW
93.0100104.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORGSW
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
93
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.11 55.4%
GSW
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
20
28
71%
GSW
13
24
54%
Midrange
TOR
15
35
43%
GSW
20
32
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
GSW
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
Free Throws
TOR
16
19
84%
GSW
9
13
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2364%11.5 / 18
S. Ibaka2059%10.0 / 17
D. Green1568%7.5 / 11
P. Siakam1359%6.5 / 11
F. VanVleet1063%5.0 / 8
C. Miles880%4.0 / 5
D. Wright660%3.0 / 5
J. Valančiūnas6100%3.0 / 3
G. Monroe583%2.5 / 3
O. Anunoby429%2.0 / 7
M. Richardson350%1.5 / 3
L. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3065%15.0 / 23
K. Thompson1444%7.0 / 16
Q. Cook1372%6.5 / 9
S. Curry1038%5.0 / 13
A. McKinnie788%3.5 / 4
J. Bell5250%2.5 / 1
K. Looney440%2.0 / 5
J. Jerebko3150%1.5 / 1
D. Green220%1.0 / 5
D. Lee2100%1.0 / 1
J. Evans250%1.0 / 2
S. Livingston125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
90
+12
-11
102
GSW
81
+8
-19
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.11 55.4%
GSW
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
115.5
TOR 111.9
GSW 93.0 +18.9
Pace
100.2
101.3
TOR 96.8
GSW 104.5 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.9
TOR 14.9
GSW 13.8 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
56.4%
TOR 53.3% +2.1%
GSW 51.2%
TO %
13.2%
13.5%
TOR 10.0% +7.8%
GSW 17.8%
ORB %
21.8%
22.5%
TOR 22.2% +10.6%
GSW 11.6%
FTrt
24.7
22.7
TOR 20.9 +5.0
GSW 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
66.8%
TOR 61.4%
GSW 71.8% +10.4%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
TOR 11.9% +6.9%
GSW 5.0%
BLK %
9.1%
11.3%
TOR 5.4%
GSW 17.5% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
58.3%
TOR 55.4% +2.6%
GSW 52.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
66.3%
TOR 71.4% +17.2%
GSW 54.2%
Mid FG%
43.1%
45.8%
TOR 42.9%
GSW 62.5% +19.6%
3P %
36.6%
38.5%
TOR 32.1% +9.0%
GSW 23.1%
FT %
80.4%
80.1%
TOR 84.2% +15.0%
GSW 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
29.6%
TOR 30.8% +1.5%
GSW 29.3%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
32.0%
TOR 38.5% +0.6%
GSW 39.0%
3P Att. %
37.9%
38.4%
TOR 30.8%
GSW 31.7% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsTORGSW
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points11393
Rebounds4840
Assists2728
Steals125
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)19 (0)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)35 (1)
Field Goals44-9139-82
At-the-Rim FG20-2813-24
Midrange FG15-3520-32
2-Point FG35-6333-56
3-Point FG9-286-26
Free Throws16-199-13
Fast Break Pts2512
2nd Chance Pts116
Points in Paint5840
Pts off Turnovers1717
Bench Points3233
Biggest Lead263

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 33
38.1
23
64%
5
12
3
0
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
7-11
64%
2-7
29%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
34.8
13
59%
3
3
2
1
5
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
#14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 31
31.5
15
68%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
28.7
20
59%
12
1
1
2
1
0
2
10
6-6
100%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
27.6
10
63%
3
2
3
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
20.7
6
60%
5
3
1
0
2
3
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 21
19.1
4
29%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
15.6
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
7.8
6
100%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
7.5
5
83%
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'5" 189 · 28
4.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
4.0
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder Subluxation
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bruised Right Hip
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
48
27
12
3
11
17
10
38
16-19
84%
35-63
56%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.