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All Games Wednesday, December 12, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Heat
35%103
84
6
Jazz
65%109
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
86.697100.3
UTA logo UTA
115.69693.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.84
0%
111
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
UTA
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
24
38%
UTA
15
21
71%
Midrange
MIA
8
20
40%
UTA
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
UTA
16
24.0
32
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
14
24
58%
UTA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. McGruder1689%8.0 / 9
K. Olynyk1470%7.0 / 10
J. Richardson1146%5.5 / 12
J. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
J. Winslow935%4.5 / 13
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
D. Wade650%3.0 / 6
W. Ellington536%2.5 / 7
B. Adebayo325%1.5 / 6
T. Johnson325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2170%10.5 / 15
D. Favors1785%8.5 / 10
K. Korver16100%8.0 / 8
D. Exum14100%7.0 / 7
R. Gobert1056%5.0 / 9
J. Ingles1045%5.0 / 11
J. Crowder9113%4.5 / 4
R. Rubio542%2.5 / 6
R. O'Neale375%1.5 / 2
G. Allen330%1.5 / 5
G. Niang3150%1.5 / 1
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 2
E. Udoh0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+6
-13
90
UTA
79
+9
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
UTA
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
110.8
MIA 86.6 +29.0
UTA 115.6
Pace
98.1
100.5
MIA 100.3 +7.3
UTA 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.6
MIA 14.4 +1.1
UTA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.8%
MIA 45.5%
UTA 63.2% +17.7%
TO %
14.3%
14.6%
MIA 12.9% +3.7%
UTA 16.6%
ORB %
24.8%
22.9%
MIA 4.3%
UTA 20.0% +15.7%
FTrt
24.7
29.5
MIA 31.2 +3.6
UTA 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
64.4%
MIA 55.2%
UTA 72.5% +17.3%
STL %
7.8%
8.0%
MIA 10.3% +4.0%
UTA 6.3%
BLK %
10.2%
9.7%
MIA 4.5%
UTA 9.1% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.9%
MIA 46.7%
UTA 63.1% +16.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.1%
MIA 37.5%
UTA 71.4% +33.9%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.1%
MIA 40.0% +0.9%
UTA 39.1%
3P %
34.9%
35.6%
MIA 36.4%
UTA 50.0% +13.6%
FT %
69.5%
73.6%
MIA 58.3%
UTA 71.4% +13.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
39.5%
MIA 31.2% +3.5%
UTA 27.6%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
21.1%
MIA 26.0% +4.3%
UTA 30.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
39.4%
MIA 42.9% +0.8%
UTA 42.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points84111
Rebounds3052
Assists1629
Steals106
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls2219
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)45 (0)
Field Goals29-7740-76
At-the-Rim FG9-2415-21
Midrange FG8-209-23
2-Point FG17-4424-44
3-Point FG12-3316-32
Free Throws14-2415-21
Fast Break Pts47
2nd Chance Pts310
Points in Paint2638
Pts off Turnovers1417
Bench Points4256
Biggest Lead042

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
29.1
16
89%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
4-5
80%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
27.4
3
25%
5
3
1
2
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
25.4
11
46%
2
2
0
0
3
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
2-6
33%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · PG · 6'3" 186 · 27
21.6
3
25%
0
2
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
18.1
9
56%
2
1
0
0
3
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.9
9
35%
4
2
1
0
3
2
0
4
0-2
0%
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
27.6
14
70%
8
3
2
0
1
3
2
6
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
26.0
8
57%
4
0
5
0
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
18.9
6
50%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
16.9
5
36%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
DND - Injury/Illness | right knee injury
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left ankle surgery
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
47%
30
16
10
2
13
22
2
28
14-24
58%
17-44
39%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.