FinalWin Prob.pScore
2825%109
107
1775%118
114
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
105.9101106.5
DAL logo DAL
112.910196.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.07 53.5%
DAL
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
23
42
55%
DAL
16
26
62%
Midrange
ATL
9
19
47%
DAL
7
15
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
DAL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
Free Throws
ATL
10
14
71%
DAL
32
43
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young2475%12.0 / 16
K. Bazemore2279%11.0 / 14
J. Collins2045%10.0 / 22
K. Huerter1986%9.5 / 11
D. Dedmon975%4.5 / 6
A. Len467%2.0 / 3
T. Dorsey440%2.0 / 5
V. Carter330%1.5 / 5
J. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
D. Bembry0-0.0 / 4
J. Adams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes2574%12.5 / 17
L. Dončić2457%12.0 / 21
J. Barea1882%9.0 / 11
D. Jordan1161%5.5 / 9
D. Finney-Smith1161%5.5 / 9
M. Kleber770%3.5 / 5
J. Brunson550%2.5 / 5
D. Powell550%2.5 / 5
W. Matthews433%2.0 / 6
D. Harris440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
80
+19
-21
99
DAL
87
+10
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.07 53.5%
DAL
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.2
ATL 105.9
DAL 112.9 +6.9
Pace
103.9
99.1
ATL 106.5 +10.4
DAL 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
14.8
ATL 13.5 +1.5
DAL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
51.8%
ATL 51.6%
DAL 54.7% +3.1%
TO %
15.8%
13.6%
ATL 17.3%
DAL 13.0% +4.3%
ORB %
24.8%
22.6%
ATL 33.3% +20.8%
DAL 12.5%
FTrt
25.5
29.1
ATL 14.9
DAL 57.3 +42.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
60.3%
ATL 48.8%
DAL 62.9% +14.1%
STL %
7.8%
6.5%
ATL 6.9%
DAL 12.9% +6.0%
BLK %
9.2%
7.6%
ATL 4.9%
DAL 9.8% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
54.2%
ATL 53.5%
DAL 58.2% +4.7%
Rim FG%
59.0%
62.0%
ATL 54.8%
DAL 61.5% +6.7%
Mid FG%
37.9%
39.0%
ATL 47.4% +0.7%
DAL 46.7%
3P %
35.2%
34.0%
ATL 33.3%
DAL 35.3% +2.0%
FT %
75.2%
74.2%
ATL 71.4%
DAL 74.4% +3.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
33.8%
ATL 44.7% +10.0%
DAL 34.7%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
24.0%
ATL 20.2%
DAL 20.0% +0.2%
3P Att. %
40.3%
42.2%
ATL 35.1%
DAL 45.3% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDAL
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points107114
Rebounds4436
Assists2122
Steals713
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)14 (0)
Fouls3016
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)4 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)32 (2)
Field Goals43-9435-75
At-the-Rim FG23-4216-26
Midrange FG9-197-15
2-Point FG32-6123-41
3-Point FG11-3312-34
Free Throws10-1432-43
Fast Break Pts2314
2nd Chance Pts219
Points in Paint5638
Pts off Turnovers1523
Bench Points1345
Biggest Lead615

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 198 · 20
36.5
19
86%
1
1
1
1
4
4
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
4-6
67%
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
35.9
20
45%
17
1
0
1
5
5
9
8
0-1
0%
10-19
53%
0-3
0%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 20
35.2
24
75%
0
10
2
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
9-13
69%
2-6
33%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 29
32.4
22
79%
5
1
2
0
3
5
0
5
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
3-5
60%
#14 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29
31.9
9
75%
6
0
0
0
1
4
3
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
17.9
0
0%
5
3
0
0
4
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
14.4
3
30%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 25
13.5
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
11.8
4
40%
4
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
8.0
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Soreness
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#7 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Strain
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Pain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
54%
44
21
7
2
21
30
16
28
10-14
71%
32-61
52%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.