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All Games Wednesday, December 12, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Celtics
63%114
130
25
Wizards
37%109
125
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
118.211092.4
WAS logo WAS
112.6111109.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSWAS
OT1 - End of 1st OT.130
100%
125
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.09 54.6%
WAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
26
34
76%
WAS
28
35
80%
Midrange
BOS
10
32
31%
WAS
6
23
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
WAS
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
BOS
25
25
100%
WAS
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving3859%19.0 / 32
M. Morris2764%13.5 / 21
M. Smart1860%9.0 / 15
J. Tatum1240%6.0 / 15
T. Rozier1050%5.0 / 10
D. Theis8100%4.0 / 4
R. Williams675%3.0 / 4
S. Ojeleye531%2.5 / 8
A. Baynes3150%1.5 / 1
B. Wanamaker3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wall3468%17.0 / 25
J. Green2285%11.0 / 13
B. Beal2269%11.0 / 16
K. Oubre2071%10.0 / 14
M. Morris1155%5.5 / 10
T. Bryant8100%4.0 / 4
T. Satoransky758%3.5 / 6
A. Rivers110%0.5 / 5
S. Dekker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
97
+22
-13
119
WAS
96
+11
-15
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.09 54.6%
WAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
110.7
BOS 118.2 +5.6
WAS 112.6
Pace
100.0
101.7
BOS 92.4
WAS 109.0 +16.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
13.8
BOS 15.6
WAS 13.2 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
53.1%
BOS 50.5%
WAS 57.1% +6.6%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
BOS 10.9% +1.7%
WAS 12.6%
ORB %
21.7%
21.2%
BOS 29.8% +11.6%
WAS 18.2%
FTrt
21.5
26.6
BOS 24.0
WAS 31.9 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
62.3%
BOS 42.6%
WAS 54.3% +11.7%
STL %
8.5%
8.1%
BOS 5.5%
WAS 6.3% +0.8%
BLK %
9.7%
8.0%
BOS 3.4%
WAS 6.1% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
55.6%
BOS 54.6%
WAS 58.4% +3.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
64.0%
BOS 76.5%
WAS 80.0% +3.5%
Mid FG%
43.1%
40.0%
BOS 31.3% +5.2%
WAS 26.1%
3P %
36.5%
34.0%
BOS 28.9%
WAS 36.4% +7.5%
FT %
80.2%
76.8%
BOS 100.0% +27.6%
WAS 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
37.3%
BOS 32.7%
WAS 38.5% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
25.7%
BOS 30.8%
WAS 25.3% +5.5%
3P Att. %
38.1%
37.0%
BOS 36.5% +0.3%
WAS 36.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSWAS
Possessions110111
Possession Minutes28.624.4
Points130125
Rebounds5041
Assists2025
Steals67
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)15 (0)
Fouls1927
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (8)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals47-10446-91
At-the-Rim FG26-3428-35
Midrange FG10-326-23
2-Point FG36-6634-58
3-Point FG11-3812-33
Free Throws25-2521-29
Fast Break Pts419
2nd Chance Pts248
Points in Paint5660
Pts off Turnovers1114
Bench Points3232
Biggest Lead711

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyrie Irving
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
40.1
38
59%
3
7
1
0
4
1
0
3
10-10
100%
8-17
47%
4-11
36%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
39.8
12
40%
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
12
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-4
0%
Marcus Morris
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
39.7
27
64%
9
2
0
0
0
2
3
6
4-4
100%
10-16
63%
1-4
25%
Marcus Smart
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
39.2
18
60%
5
3
3
0
1
4
2
3
7-7
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
Aron Baynes
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
16.0
3
150%
5
2
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Terry Rozier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
34.8
10
50%
1
4
1
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
16.6
5
31%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-7
14%
Daniel Theis
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
14.4
8
100%
6
1
0
0
2
6
3
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
14.1
6
75%
6
0
0
2
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
10.2
3
150%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
DND - Injury/Illness | Illness
PJ Dozier
#35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Bird
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Personal
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Patellofemoral Pin Sundrome, Left Knee
Guerschon Yabusele
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
Gordon Hayward
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
130
55%
50
20
6
2
13
19
14
36
25-25
100%
36-66
55%
11-38
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.