FinalWin Prob.pScore
2037%110
105
1063%114
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.010098.0
LAL logo LAL
106.9101104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot105
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound105
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot105
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0HeatHeat offensive rebound105
8.3%
108
91.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0HeatLonzo Ball blocks Rodney McGruder's two point layup105
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
8.4%
108
91.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
10.2%
107
89.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Take) (LeBron James draws the foul)105
12.7%
106
87.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersLeBron James defensive rebound105
15.6%
106
84.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot105
20.4%
106
79.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0LakersJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)105
34.8%
106
65.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0LakersJosh Hart offensive rebound105
16.4%
106
83.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0LakersLeBron James misses two point step back jump shot105
28.2%
106
71.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0LakersTyson Chandler defensive rebound105
21.9%
106
78.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot105
25.9%
106
74.1%
Q4 - 1:20HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound105
36.0%
106
64.0%
Q4 - 1:23LakersLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot105
31.7%
106
68.3%
Q4 - 1:38HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
24.3%
106
75.7%
Q4 - 1:38HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
23.0%
106
77.0%
Q4 - 1:38LakersLonzo Ball shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)103
21.5%
106
78.5%
Q4 - 1:55HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound103
17.6%
106
82.4%
Q4 - 1:58LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 2103
16.5%
106
83.5%
Q4 - 1:58LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
12.8%
106
87.2%
Q4 - 1:58HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)103
14.4%
105
85.6%
Q4 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)103
15.9%
105
84.1%
Q4 - 2:36LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)103
27.5%
105
72.5%
Q4 - 2:53HeatJosh Richardson makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)103
34.0%
103
66.0%
Q4 - 3:03HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound100
20.1%
103
79.9%
Q4 - 3:09LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot100
17.3%
103
82.7%
Q4 - 3:13LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound100
12.1%
103
87.9%
Q4 - 3:20LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot100
17.2%
103
82.8%
Q4 - 3:44HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)100
15.6%
103
84.4%
Q4 - 3:55LakersLance Stephenson makes regular free throw 2 of 298
11.5%
103
88.5%
Q4 - 3:55LakersLance Stephenson makes regular free throw 1 of 298
12.5%
102
87.5%
Q4 - 3:55HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Lance Stephenson draws the foul)98
13.7%
101
86.3%
Q4 - 4:01LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound98
15.4%
101
84.6%
Q4 - 4:04HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving jump shot98
17.0%
101
83.0%
Q4 - 4:21LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot98
21.2%
101
78.8%
Q4 - 4:36HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)98
35.7%
98
64.3%
Q4 - 5:01LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)96
28.7%
98
71.3%
Q4 - 5:17LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound96
43.4%
95
56.6%
Q4 - 5:20HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot96
46.0%
95
54.0%
Q4 - 5:37LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk96
52.2%
95
47.8%
Q4 - 5:49LakersLeBron James defensive rebound96
60.0%
93
40.0%
Q4 - 5:51HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot96
62.5%
93
37.5%
Q4 - 6:00HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound96
68.1%
93
31.9%
Q4 - 6:04HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot96
59.2%
93
40.8%
Q4 - 6:24LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)96
65.0%
93
35.0%
Q4 - 6:31LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound96
76.4%
90
23.6%
Q4 - 6:34HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot96
78.3%
90
21.7%
Q4 - 6:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound96
82.1%
90
17.9%
Q4 - 6:51LakersLeBron James misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
80.5%
90
19.5%
Q4 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)96
73.7%
90
26.3%
Q4 - 7:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound93
62.7%
90
37.3%
Q4 - 7:36LakersJosh Hart misses two point driving layup93
60.5%
90
39.5%
Q4 - 7:46HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)93
55.2%
90
44.8%
Q4 - 7:57LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point putback layup93
62.8%
90
37.2%
Q4 - 7:57LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound93
68.2%
88
31.8%
Q4 - 8:02LakersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot93
69.8%
88
30.2%
Q4 - 8:15HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)93
66.0%
88
34.0%
Q4 - 8:32HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound90
54.1%
88
45.9%
Q4 - 8:35LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 290
53.3%
88
46.7%
Q4 - 8:35LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 290
49.4%
88
50.6%
Q4 - 8:35HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)90
44.8%
88
55.2%
Q4 - 8:52LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound90
47.7%
88
52.3%
Q4 - 8:55HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving jump shot90
49.7%
88
50.3%
Q4 - 9:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound90
52.9%
88
47.1%
Q4 - 9:11LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot90
50.9%
88
49.1%
Q4 - 9:20HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 290
46.5%
88
53.5%
Q4 - 9:20HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 289
45.2%
88
54.8%
Q4 - 9:20LakersLance Stephenson shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)89
49.6%
88
50.4%
Q4 - 9:27LakersLance Stephenson turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)89
46.9%
88
53.1%
Q4 - 9:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback dunk89
40.7%
88
59.3%
Q4 - 9:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound87
35.4%
88
64.6%
Q4 - 9:43HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot87
31.5%
88
68.5%
Q4 - 9:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound87
35.4%
88
64.6%
Q4 - 9:48HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot87
31.5%
88
68.5%
Q4 - 10:11LakersLance Stephenson makes two point finger roll layup (Tyson Chandler assists)87
35.4%
88
64.6%
Q4 - 10:12LakersTyson Chandler offensive rebound87
40.4%
86
59.6%
Q4 - 10:14LakersJosh Hart misses two point turnaround jump shot87
44.5%
86
55.5%
Q4 - 10:41HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving hook shot87
40.4%
86
59.6%
Q4 - 10:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound85
35.4%
86
64.6%
Q4 - 10:49LakersSvi Mykhailiuk misses two point jump shot85
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q4 - 10:59HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Svi Mykhailiuk draws the foul)85
30.1%
86
69.9%
Q4 - 11:03HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Take) (Lance Stephenson draws the foul)85
30.6%
86
69.4%
Q4 - 11:03HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Lance Stephenson steals)85
30.6%
86
69.4%
Q4 - 11:10HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound85
35.4%
86
64.6%
Q4 - 11:13LakersDwyane Wade blocks Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's two point driving layup85
33.9%
86
66.1%
Q4 - 11:32HeatDwyane Wade makes two point finger roll layup85
30.6%
86
69.4%
Q4 - 11:47LakersLance Stephenson makes two point floating jump shot83
26.2%
86
73.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
30.6%
84
69.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound83
30.9%
84
69.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point turnaround jump shot83
32.2%
84
67.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
35.3%
84
64.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0LakersLonzo Ball misses two point putback dunk83
33.9%
84
66.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound83
30.9%
84
69.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot83
33.9%
84
66.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)83
30.9%
84
69.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0LakersLonzo Ball makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)83
35.3%
84
64.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 283
45.2%
81
54.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 282
44.1%
81
55.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0LakersTyson Chandler shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)81
42.8%
81
57.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Tyson Chandler assists)81
40.1%
81
59.9%
Q3 - 1:14HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)81
49.3%
78
50.7%
Q3 - 1:20LakersLonzo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)78
39.8%
78
60.2%
Q3 - 1:25HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (Lonzo Ball steals)78
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q3 - 1:31LakersLance Stephenson turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)78
39.8%
78
60.2%
Q3 - 1:34LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound78
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q3 - 1:36LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot78
38.4%
78
61.6%
Q3 - 1:51HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)78
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q3 - 1:57HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound75
26.9%
78
73.1%
Q3 - 1:59LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point layup75
25.8%
78
74.2%
Q3 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 2:29LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving jump shot75
27.0%
78
73.0%
Q3 - 2:46HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)75
30.6%
76
69.4%
Q3 - 3:04LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)73
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q3 - 3:18HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot73
34.6%
73
65.4%
Q3 - 3:42LakersLonzo Ball makes two point dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)71
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q3 - 3:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Lonzo Ball steals)71
34.6%
71
65.4%
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
38.6%
71
61.4%
Q3 - 4:08LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot71
37.2%
71
62.8%
Q3 - 4:13LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound71
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q3 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot71
35.5%
71
64.5%
Q3 - 4:29HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound71
38.7%
71
61.3%
Q3 - 4:31LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot71
37.3%
71
62.7%
Q3 - 4:53HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot71
34.2%
71
65.8%
Q3 - 4:59HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound69
31.0%
71
69.0%
Q3 - 5:03LakersLeBron James misses two point jump shot69
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q3 - 5:17HeatJustise Winslow makes two point putback layup69
27.4%
71
72.6%
Q3 - 5:17HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound67
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q3 - 5:24HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot67
22.3%
71
77.7%
Q3 - 5:40LakersJaVale McGee makes regular free throw 2 of 267
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q3 - 5:40LakersJaVale McGee misses regular free throw 1 of 267
25.4%
70
74.6%
Q3 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)67
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 5:43LakersLeBron James defensive rebound67
24.3%
70
75.7%
Q3 - 5:46HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot67
25.3%
70
74.7%
Q3 - 5:57LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot67
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 6:06HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Lonzo Ball draws the foul)67
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup67
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
31.0%
67
69.0%
Q3 - 6:15HeatJosh Richardson misses two point layup65
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 6:29LakersLonzo Ball makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)65
31.0%
67
69.0%
Q3 - 6:34LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound65
34.2%
65
65.8%
Q3 - 6:37HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot65
35.3%
65
64.7%
Q3 - 6:56LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 265
38.1%
65
61.9%
Q3 - 6:56LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 265
39.0%
64
61.0%
Q3 - 6:56HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)65
40.1%
63
59.9%
Q3 - 7:06LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound65
40.8%
63
59.2%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot65
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 7:14HeatHeat offensive rebound65
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 7:15HeatJaVale McGee blocks Bam Adebayo's two point putback layup65
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup65
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow misses two point turnaround jump shot65
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 7:30HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound65
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 7:33LakersJaVale McGee misses two point jump shot65
43.8%
63
56.2%
Q3 - 7:42HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)65
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 7:47HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 8:07LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot62
34.2%
63
65.8%
Q3 - 8:30HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)62
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
34.2%
61
65.8%
Q3 - 8:41LakersLonzo Ball misses two point turnaround jump shot60
33.0%
61
67.0%
Q3 - 8:59LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound60
30.5%
61
69.5%
Q3 - 9:03HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot60
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q3 - 9:13LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround jump shot60
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (JaVale McGee draws the foul)60
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 9:37LakersLakers defensive rebound60
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 9:38HeatJosh Richardson misses two point layup60
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q3 - 9:39HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound60
33.7%
61
66.3%
Q3 - 9:42LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot60
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 9:56LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound60
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot60
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound60
33.7%
61
66.3%
Q3 - 10:04HeatJaVale McGee blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup60
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 10:26HeatHeat defensive rebound60
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q3 - 10:26LakersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot60
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 10:30LakersLeBron James defensive rebound60
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 10:33HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot60
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 10:49LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)60
33.5%
61
66.5%
Q3 - 11:01HeatRodney McGruder makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)60
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q3 - 11:06LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)58
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 11:17HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)58
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q3 - 11:28LakersLeBron James makes three point step back jump shot58
36.4%
58
63.6%
Q3 - 11:44LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound58
42.7%
55
57.3%
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 258
43.2%
55
56.8%
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 258
45.2%
55
54.8%
Q3 - 11:46LakersJaVale McGee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.58
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound58
46.3%
55
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatLonzo Ball blocks Goran Dragic's three point jump shot58
43.8%
55
56.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point finger roll layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)58
45.2%
55
54.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)58
49.3%
53
50.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)56
45.2%
53
54.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0LakersLonzo Ball defensive rebound56
42.8%
53
57.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot56
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q2 - 1:10LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)56
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q2 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)56
49.2%
51
50.8%
Q2 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
51.0%
51
49.0%
Q2 - 1:19LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround hook shot56
50.5%
51
49.5%
Q2 - 1:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)56
49.2%
51
50.8%
Q2 - 1:48HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q2 - 1:51LakersLonzo Ball misses regular free throw 2 of 254
44.4%
51
55.6%
Q2 - 1:51LakersLonzo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 254
43.0%
51
57.0%
Q2 - 1:51HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Lonzo Ball draws the foul)54
44.6%
50
55.4%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)54
44.7%
50
55.3%
Q2 - 2:15LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 151
38.9%
50
61.1%
Q2 - 2:15HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)51
39.6%
49
60.4%
Q2 - 2:21LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound51
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q2 - 2:23HeatGoran Dragic misses two point step back jump shot51
45.8%
47
54.2%
Q2 - 2:37LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point floating jump shot51
48.0%
47
52.0%
Q2 - 2:49HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot51
51.1%
45
48.9%
Q2 - 3:12HeatHeat defensive rebound49
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q2 - 3:12LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot49
46.2%
45
53.8%
Q2 - 3:18HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)49
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 3:24HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Lonzo Ball steals)49
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 3:39LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)49
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 4:01HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)49
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 4:16LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)46
43.4%
43
56.6%
Q2 - 4:33LakersLeBron James defensive rebound46
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 4:37HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot46
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 4:49LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 5:04HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)46
48.4%
40
51.6%
Q2 - 5:25LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)44
46.1%
40
53.9%
Q2 - 5:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (traveling)44
51.2%
37
48.8%
Q2 - 5:53HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound44
54.4%
37
45.6%
Q2 - 5:56LakersLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot44
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 6:19HeatJustise Winslow makes three point step back jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)44
50.5%
37
49.5%
Q2 - 6:30HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound41
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 6:34HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot41
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 6:45LakersJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)41
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 6:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 141
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 6:54LakersJosh Hart shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)40
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 7:05LakersSvi Mykhailiuk turnover (out of bounds step)38
44.9%
34
55.1%
Q2 - 7:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 238
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 7:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 237
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 7:12LakersLance Stephenson shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)36
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 7:13HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound36
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 7:17LakersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot36
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 7:23LakersLance Stephenson defensive rebound36
37.3%
34
62.7%
Q2 - 7:27HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot36
38.0%
34
62.0%
Q2 - 7:35LakersJaVale McGee turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)36
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 7:52HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving jump shot36
37.2%
34
62.8%
Q2 - 8:01LakersJosh Hart makes two point layup (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)34
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 8:06HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)34
37.1%
32
62.9%
Q2 - 8:17LakersSvi Mykhailiuk personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)34
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 8:29LakersSvi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Lance Stephenson assists)34
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 8:35LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound34
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 8:38HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot34
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 8:43HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound34
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 8:46LakersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks JaVale McGee's two point hook shot34
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 8:47LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound34
44.6%
29
55.4%
Q2 - 8:50LakersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Lance Stephenson's two point driving layup34
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 9:11HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)34
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 9:20HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound32
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 9:23LakersJaVale McGee misses two point floating jump shot32
41.0%
29
59.0%
Q2 - 9:39HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)32
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q2 - 10:02HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound29
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 10:05LakersLance Stephenson misses three point jump shot29
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 10:18HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback layup29
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 10:18HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound27
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 10:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point putback layup27
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 10:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound27
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 10:24HeatJustise Winslow misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 10:30HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound27
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 10:34LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot27
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q2 - 10:36LakersTyson Chandler offensive rebound27
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 10:38LakersSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot27
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q2 - 10:48HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)27
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 10:56HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound27
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 10:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot27
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q2 - 11:09HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot27
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 11:25LakersTyson Chandler makes two point putback layup25
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 11:25LakersTyson Chandler offensive rebound25
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q2 - 11:28LakersTyson Chandler misses two point reverse layup25
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q2 - 11:47HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup25
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
26.1%
27
73.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0LakersLakers offensive rebound23
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0LakersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup23
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0LakersLance Stephenson defensive rebound23
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot23
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound23
26.0%
27
74.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0LakersSvi Mykhailiuk misses two point jump shot23
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 223
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 222
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0LakersLance Stephenson shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)21
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0HeatHeat offensive rebound21
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround jump shot21
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 1:03HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound21
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q1 - 1:05LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot21
22.2%
27
77.8%
Q1 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)21
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 1:45LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point hook shot19
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q1 - 2:06HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)19
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 2:19HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound17
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 2:22LakersLeBron James misses two point floating jump shot17
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 2:38LakersSvi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound17
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 2:42HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot17
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 2:44HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound17
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 2:47LakersBam Adebayo blocks LeBron James's two point layup17
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 2:53HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Tyson Chandler steals)17
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 3:19LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk17
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 3:34HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot17
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound15
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 3:41LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot15
19.6%
23
80.4%
Q1 - 3:47LakersTyson Chandler defensive rebound15
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 3:51HeatRodney McGruder misses two point driving jump shot15
19.0%
23
81.0%
Q1 - 4:03LakersTyson Chandler personal foul (Take) (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)15
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 4:04LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)15
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 4:13LakersLonzo Ball defensive rebound15
18.7%
23
81.3%
Q1 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot15
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 4:31LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot15
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)15
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 4:56LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point turnaround hook shot (LeBron James assists)13
20.3%
21
79.7%
Q1 - 5:08HeatJames Johnson turnover (offensive foul)13
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q1 - 5:08HeatJames Johnson offensive foul (Tyson Chandler draws the foul)13
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 5:23LakersTyson Chandler makes two point dunk (LeBron James assists)13
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 5:29LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound13
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 5:31HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot13
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 5:43LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point floating jump shot (LeBron James assists)13
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 5:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)13
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 6:12LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 111
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 6:12HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)11
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 6:12LakersLeBron James defensive rebound11
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 6:15HeatJaVale McGee blocks Goran Dragic's two point layup11
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 6:27LakersJaVale McGee makes regular free throw 2 of 211
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 6:27LakersJaVale McGee misses regular free throw 1 of 211
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 6:27HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)11
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)11
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 6:49LakersLonzo Ball makes two point layup (LeBron James assists)9
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 6:52LakersLeBron James defensive rebound9
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 6:54HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot9
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 7:06LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point floating jump shot9
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 7:19HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)9
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 7:19LakersLonzo Ball defensive rebound9
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 7:21HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot9
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:27LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)9
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 7:29LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound9
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJaVale McGee blocks James Johnson's two point putback layup9
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound9
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 7:35HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup9
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:38HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound9
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 7:41LakersLeBron James misses two point driving jump shot9
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 7:49LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound9
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 7:51HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot9
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:57HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound9
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 8:01LakersJaVale McGee misses two point reverse dunk9
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:09HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 8:20HeatHeat defensive rebound9
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 8:21LakersJaVale McGee misses two point putback layup9
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:22LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound9
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 8:24LakersJaVale McGee misses two point putback layup9
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:24LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound9
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 8:28LakersBam Adebayo blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point driving layup9
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:38HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)9
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 8:53LakersJaVale McGee makes two point alley-oop layup (LeBron James assists)9
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 9:10HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (James Johnson assists)9
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:29LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving hook shot7
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 9:39HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)7
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:53LakersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 25
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 9:53LakersJosh Hart misses regular free throw 1 of 25
34.9%
3
65.1%
Q1 - 9:53HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)5
33.7%
3
66.3%
Q1 - 9:54LakersLeBron James defensive rebound5
34.1%
3
65.9%
Q1 - 9:59HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot5
34.8%
3
65.2%
Q1 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound5
35.9%
3
64.1%
Q1 - 10:03LakersLonzo Ball misses two point putback layup5
35.4%
3
64.6%
Q1 - 10:03LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound5
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 10:07LakersLonzo Ball misses two point layup5
35.4%
3
64.6%
Q1 - 10:10LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound5
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 10:14HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot5
34.6%
3
65.4%
Q1 - 10:24LakersJaVale McGee turnover (out of bounds lost ball)5
36.0%
3
64.0%
Q1 - 10:34HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 10:44LakersJosh Hart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 10:45HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound3
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 10:48HeatJosh Hart blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot3
31.3%
3
68.7%
Q1 - 11:07LakersJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)3
32.3%
3
67.7%
Q1 - 11:18HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)3
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:32HeatHeat defensive rebound0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:32LakersJames Johnson blocks Lonzo Ball's two point driving layup0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. JaVale McGee (Lonzo Ball gains possession)0
30.8%
0
69.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
LAL
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
38
63%
LAL
23
40
57%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
LAL
4
18
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
LAL
14
21.0
32
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIA
10
13
77%
LAL
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2870%14.0 / 20
D. Wade1536%7.5 / 21
K. Olynyk1568%7.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1250%6.0 / 12
J. Richardson1045%5.0 / 11
R. McGruder1063%5.0 / 8
D. Jones880%4.0 / 5
G. Dragic739%3.5 / 9
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma3372%16.5 / 23
L. James2864%14.0 / 22
K. Caldwell-Pope1150%5.5 / 11
L. Ball1042%5.0 / 12
J. Hart945%4.5 / 10
L. Stephenson660%3.0 / 5
J. McGee422%2.0 / 9
T. Chandler467%2.0 / 3
S. Mykhailiuk338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+18
-17
101
LAL
89
+13
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
LAL
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
107.9
MIA 105.0
LAL 106.9 +1.9
Pace
98.1
103.0
MIA 98.0
LAL 104.0 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.7
MIA 14.7
LAL 13.8 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.7%
MIA 50.5%
LAL 53.3% +2.8%
TO %
14.3%
14.7%
MIA 14.6%
LAL 10.8% +3.8%
ORB %
24.8%
22.2%
MIA 29.2% +4.2%
LAL 25.0%
FTrt
24.7
25.7
MIA 13.8
LAL 22.2 +8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
60.0%
MIA 69.0% +10.5%
LAL 58.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.3%
MIA 9.0% +0.1%
LAL 8.9%
BLK %
10.2%
9.2%
MIA 12.1% +0.4%
LAL 11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.5%
MIA 52.0%
LAL 52.9% +0.9%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.0%
MIA 63.2% +5.7%
LAL 57.5%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.8%
MIA 31.8% +9.6%
LAL 22.2%
3P %
34.9%
33.3%
MIA 32.4%
LAL 43.8% +11.4%
FT %
69.5%
69.9%
MIA 76.9% +16.9%
LAL 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
43.6%
MIA 40.4%
LAL 44.4% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
22.2%
MIA 23.4%
LAL 20.0% +3.4%
3P Att. %
36.8%
34.2%
MIA 36.2% +0.6%
LAL 35.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes24.523.3
Points105108
Rebounds5046
Assists2924
Steals99
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1910
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (4)34 (1)
Field Goals42-9441-90
At-the-Rim FG24-3823-40
Midrange FG7-224-18
2-Point FG31-6027-58
3-Point FG11-3414-32
Free Throws10-1312-20
Fast Break Pts914
2nd Chance Pts156
Points in Paint5450
Pts off Turnovers1112
Bench Points6624
Biggest Lead78

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
30.4
10
45%
3
5
1
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
28.7
12
50%
10
5
2
2
4
2
4
6
0-2
0%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
24.0
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
17.6
7
39%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
16.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
37.6
28
70%
7
2
1
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
5-10
50%
6-10
60%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
32.0
15
36%
5
10
1
1
2
3
0
5
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
0-7
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
29.1
8
80%
14
0
3
3
1
1
5
9
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
23.9
15
68%
4
3
1
0
3
2
0
4
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
0-3
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
Inactive - Personal
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle surgery
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
52%
50
29
9
7
17
19
14
36
10-13
77%
31-60
52%
11-34
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.