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All Games Monday, December 10, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Grizzlies
39%103
99
9
Nuggets
61%107
105
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
110.09089.4
DEN logo DEN
118.08989.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
105
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.18 58.9%
DEN
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
19
31
61%
DEN
21
32
66%
Midrange
MEM
9
16
56%
DEN
9
17
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
DEN
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
MEM
16
17
94%
DEN
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley1963%9.5 / 15
S. Mack1478%7.0 / 9
J. Green1354%6.5 / 12
O. Casspi1275%6.0 / 8
K. Anderson945%4.5 / 10
M. Brooks8133%4.0 / 3
G. Temple770%3.5 / 5
M. Gasol750%3.5 / 7
J. Jackson643%3.0 / 7
J. Noah4200%2.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2775%13.5 / 18
M. Morris2091%10.0 / 11
J. Murray1673%8.0 / 11
M. Plumlee1260%6.0 / 10
T. Lyles938%4.5 / 12
J. Hernangomez758%3.5 / 6
T. Craig739%3.5 / 9
M. Beasley758%3.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
76
+8
-14
84
DEN
76
+13
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.18 58.9%
DEN
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
112.6
MEM 110.0
DEN 118.0 +8.0
Pace
96.6
98.0
MEM 89.4
DEN 89.6 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.7
MEM 16.1
DEN 16.1 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.7%
MEM 56.1%
DEN 56.5% +0.4%
TO %
13.5%
13.1%
MEM 14.7%
DEN 13.8% +0.9%
ORB %
20.1%
26.6%
MEM 17.1%
DEN 28.2% +11.1%
FTrt
27.2
23.2
MEM 23.0
DEN 29.9 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
65.3%
MEM 59.5% +3.1%
DEN 56.4%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
MEM 7.8%
DEN 12.4% +4.6%
BLK %
10.7%
8.2%
MEM 8.2%
DEN 12.8% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.5%
MEM 58.9%
DEN 59.0% +0.1%
Rim FG%
59.9%
59.6%
MEM 61.3%
DEN 65.6% +4.3%
Mid FG%
40.0%
43.3%
MEM 56.3% +3.4%
DEN 52.9%
3P %
34.2%
35.1%
MEM 33.3% +1.2%
DEN 32.1%
FT %
77.2%
75.5%
MEM 94.1% +15.8%
DEN 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
37.5%
MEM 41.9% +0.3%
DEN 41.6%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
27.7%
MEM 21.6% +0.5%
DEN 22.1%
3P Att. %
34.2%
34.8%
MEM 36.5% +0.1%
DEN 36.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMDEN
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points99105
Rebounds3440
Assists2222
Steals711
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1917
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)29 (1)
Field Goals37-7439-77
At-the-Rim FG19-3121-32
Midrange FG9-169-17
2-Point FG28-4730-49
3-Point FG9-279-28
Free Throws16-1718-23
Fast Break Pts49
2nd Chance Pts410
Points in Paint4854
Pts off Turnovers918
Bench Points5136
Biggest Lead78

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 Memphis Grizzlies
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Garrett Temple
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 33
34.2
7
70%
3
2
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
31.7
19
63%
1
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
7-7
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
Marc Gasol
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
31.4
7
50%
2
6
0
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
28.9
9
45%
3
3
2
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 19
20.1
6
43%
3
1
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 28
25.5
13
54%
10
0
0
1
2
0
4
6
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
Shelvin Mack
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
23.6
14
78%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
Omri Casspi
#18 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 30
19.1
12
75%
6
2
0
0
3
1
1
5
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
18.9
4
200%
4
0
1
2
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30
6.5
8
133%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
#7 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Stephens
#20 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jevon Carter
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23
Inactive - Personal | Not With Team
Dillon Brooks
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Sprain
Ivan Rabb
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Yuta Watanabe
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Chandler Parsons
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
59%
34
22
7
4
14
19
6
28
16-17
94%
28-47
60%
9-27
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.