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All Games Sunday, December 9, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Jazz
59%112
97
24
Spurs
41%109
110
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
102.19599.5
SAS logo SAS
114.69691.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTASAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
110
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
17
28
61%
SAS
14
21
67%
Midrange
UTA
11
28
39%
SAS
28
54
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
SAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
UTA
14
19
74%
SAS
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2754%13.5 / 25
R. Rubio2657%13.0 / 23
R. Gobert1267%6.0 / 9
T. Sefolosha9150%4.5 / 3
J. Ingles542%2.5 / 6
R. O'Neale536%2.5 / 7
K. Korver542%2.5 / 6
R. Neto4100%2.0 / 2
D. Favors250%1.0 / 2
J. Crowder217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2650%13.0 / 26
R. Gay2377%11.5 / 15
L. Aldridge2067%10.0 / 15
B. Forbes1583%7.5 / 9
M. Belinelli1056%5.0 / 9
P. Mills844%4.0 / 9
D. White650%3.0 / 6
J. Poeltl233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
81
+14
-14
95
SAS
85
+11
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
112.6
UTA 102.1
SAS 114.6 +12.5
Pace
100.5
98.6
UTA 99.5 +7.6
SAS 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.0
UTA 14.5 +1.2
SAS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
53.4%
UTA 48.8%
SAS 55.6% +6.8%
TO %
14.6%
11.9%
UTA 14.6%
SAS 10.4% +4.2%
ORB %
22.9%
20.9%
UTA 20.0%
SAS 25.6% +5.6%
FTrt
29.5
23.7
UTA 22.4 +8.9
SAS 13.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
58.0%
UTA 62.2% +6.9%
SAS 55.3%
STL %
8.0%
6.2%
UTA 8.4% +1.1%
SAS 7.3%
BLK %
9.7%
8.3%
UTA 5.3%
SAS 12.5% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
56.0%
UTA 50.5%
SAS 57.3% +6.8%
Rim FG%
62.1%
62.7%
UTA 60.7%
SAS 66.7% +6.0%
Mid FG%
39.1%
44.0%
UTA 39.3%
SAS 51.9% +12.6%
3P %
35.6%
39.2%
UTA 31.0%
SAS 35.7% +4.7%
FT %
73.6%
81.8%
UTA 73.7%
SAS 91.7% +18.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
27.8%
UTA 32.9% +9.3%
SAS 23.6%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
43.7%
UTA 32.9% +27.7%
SAS 60.7%
3P Att. %
39.4%
28.6%
UTA 34.1% +18.4%
SAS 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsUTASAS
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points97110
Rebounds3846
Assists2326
Steals87
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)11 (0)
Fouls1515
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)36 (2)
Field Goals37-8547-89
At-the-Rim FG17-2814-21
Midrange FG11-2828-54
2-Point FG28-5642-75
3-Point FG9-295-14
Free Throws14-1911-12
Fast Break Pts134
2nd Chance Pts911
Points in Paint3852
Pts off Turnovers1915
Bench Points2520
Biggest Lead521

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Utah Jazz
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Ricky Rubio
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 28
35.5
26
57%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
8-15
53%
3-8
38%
Donovan Mitchell
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 22
35.5
27
54%
5
1
2
1
2
3
1
4
8-10
80%
5-13
38%
3-8
38%
Rudy Gobert
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 26
33.9
12
67%
8
7
1
1
2
0
3
5
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
#2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 31
28.3
5
42%
5
5
0
0
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 27
24.5
2
50%
8
1
2
2
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Royce O'Neale
#23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 26
25.2
5
36%
5
2
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 28
18.7
2
17%
3
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
Kyle Korver
#26 · SG · 6'7" 212 · 38
15.0
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
#22 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 35
14.3
9
150%
1
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
Raul Neto
#25 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 27
5.6
4
100%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Dante Exum
#11 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 23
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
#33 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Grayson Allen
#24 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 23
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tony Bradley
#13 · C · 6'11" 248 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Georges Niang
#31 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cavanaugh
#34 · PF · 6'9" 238 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Naz Mitrou-Long
#30 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
38
23
8
4
14
15
9
29
14-19
74%
28-56
50%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.