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All Games Saturday, December 8, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Nuggets
71%118
98
28
Hawks
29%110
106
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
95.1103113.4
ATL logo ATL
102.910394.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
106
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.4%
ATL
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
31
52%
ATL
21
37
57%
Midrange
DEN
11
30
37%
ATL
4
14
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
36
25%
38%
ATL
15
22.5
42
36%
54%
Free Throws
DEN
17
21
81%
ATL
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2467%12.0 / 18
M. Beasley1956%9.5 / 17
J. Hernangomez1761%8.5 / 14
M. Morris1036%5.0 / 14
T. Lyles930%4.5 / 15
T. Craig938%4.5 / 12
M. Plumlee660%3.0 / 5
J. Murray422%2.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Collins3075%15.0 / 20
D. Bembry1882%9.0 / 11
V. Carter1372%6.5 / 9
T. Young938%4.5 / 12
K. Huerter857%4.0 / 7
K. Bazemore732%3.5 / 11
T. Dorsey750%3.5 / 7
D. Dedmon650%3.0 / 6
A. Len633%3.0 / 9
J. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+19
-15
107
ATL
85
+17
-18
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.4%
ATL
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
108.1
DEN 95.1 +7.8
ATL 102.9
Pace
98.0
103.9
DEN 113.4 +19.0
ATL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.6
DEN 12.7 +2.6
ATL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.2%
DEN 41.8%
ATL 51.1% +9.3%
TO %
13.1%
15.8%
DEN 12.4% +2.8%
ATL 15.2%
ORB %
26.6%
24.8%
DEN 20.8% +1.2%
ATL 19.6%
FTrt
23.2
25.5
DEN 21.6 +4.4
ATL 17.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
62.4%
DEN 77.8%
ATL 82.5% +4.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
DEN 10.7% +2.0%
ATL 8.7%
BLK %
8.2%
9.2%
DEN 7.8%
ATL 18.0% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.6%
DEN 45.4%
ATL 52.5% +7.1%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.0%
DEN 51.6%
ATL 56.8% +5.2%
Mid FG%
43.3%
37.9%
DEN 36.7% +8.1%
ATL 28.6%
3P %
35.1%
35.2%
DEN 25.0%
ATL 35.7% +10.7%
FT %
75.5%
75.2%
DEN 81.0% +12.2%
ATL 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
39.2%
DEN 32.0%
ATL 39.8% +7.8%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
20.4%
DEN 30.9%
ATL 15.1% +15.9%
3P Att. %
34.8%
40.3%
DEN 37.1%
ATL 45.2% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points98106
Rebounds4851
Assists2833
Steals119
Blocks411
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (0)
Fouls1623
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (8)9 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)42 (1)
Field Goals36-9740-93
At-the-Rim FG16-3121-37
Midrange FG11-304-14
2-Point FG27-6125-51
3-Point FG9-3615-42
Free Throws17-2111-16
Fast Break Pts1024
2nd Chance Pts1911
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers1417
Bench Points3546
Biggest Lead1517

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
40.1
17
61%
10
1
0
1
0
2
2
8
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
38.5
9
30%
10
2
1
1
1
3
1
9
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
1-7
14%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
32.6
24
67%
11
7
2
0
1
1
4
7
6-7
86%
9-15
60%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
31.9
9
38%
5
3
0
2
3
4
0
5
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
24.0
4
22%
6
3
0
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
30.4
10
36%
2
7
5
0
3
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-7
29%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
23.1
19
56%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
3-9
33%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
19.4
6
60%
3
5
1
0
5
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back surgery
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip & Core Muscle Surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Big Toe fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
45%
48
28
11
4
15
16
11
37
17-21
81%
27-61
44%
9-36
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.