FinalWin Prob.pScore
454%114
104
1646%112
107
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
113.09293.3
DAL logo DAL
118.99088.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
107
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
19
26
73%
DAL
22
34
65%
Midrange
HOU
5
13
38%
DAL
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
15
22.5
47
32%
48%
DAL
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
11
13
85%
DAL
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3580%17.5 / 22
C. Paul2364%11.5 / 18
C. Capela1286%6.0 / 7
E. Gordon1250%6.0 / 12
J. Ennis III1063%5.0 / 8
P. Tucker531%2.5 / 8
Nene467%2.0 / 3
G. Green330%1.5 / 5
D. House0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2158%10.5 / 18
W. Matthews2166%10.5 / 16
H. Barnes1450%7.0 / 14
J. Brunson1488%7.0 / 8
D. Finney-Smith1488%7.0 / 8
D. Jordan1267%6.0 / 9
J. Barea956%4.5 / 8
D. Powell225%1.0 / 4
D. Harris0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+14
-12
94
DAL
75
+18
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
109.2
HOU 113.0
DAL 118.9 +5.8
Pace
98.0
99.1
HOU 93.3 +4.5
DAL 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
HOU 15.4 +0.8
DAL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
51.8%
HOU 54.1%
DAL 56.6% +2.5%
TO %
12.8%
13.6%
HOU 11.6% +4.3%
DAL 15.9%
ORB %
22.8%
22.6%
HOU 25.0%
DAL 35.0% +10.0%
FTrt
27.9
29.1
HOU 15.1
DAL 19.3 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.3%
HOU 51.3% +0.1%
DAL 51.2%
STL %
8.6%
6.5%
HOU 5.4%
DAL 10.0% +4.6%
BLK %
8.7%
7.6%
HOU 5.7%
DAL 7.7% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
54.2%
HOU 54.7%
DAL 58.2% +3.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.0%
HOU 73.1% +8.4%
DAL 64.7%
Mid FG%
41.8%
39.0%
HOU 38.5% +1.7%
DAL 36.8%
3P %
35.6%
34.0%
HOU 31.9%
DAL 40.0% +8.1%
FT %
79.1%
74.2%
HOU 84.6% +3.3%
DAL 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
33.8%
HOU 30.2%
DAL 41.0% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
24.0%
HOU 15.1% +7.8%
DAL 22.9%
3P Att. %
51.9%
42.2%
HOU 54.7% +18.5%
DAL 36.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUDAL
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points104107
Rebounds3644
Assists2021
Steals59
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)15 (2)
Fouls1914
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals39-8641-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2622-34
Midrange FG5-137-19
2-Point FG24-3929-53
3-Point FG15-4712-30
Free Throws11-1313-16
Fast Break Pts1020
2nd Chance Pts1320
Points in Paint4250
Pts off Turnovers1919
Bench Points1925
Biggest Lead88

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
39.2
5
31%
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
37.7
23
64%
2
8
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-2
0%
7-13
54%
3-7
43%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
36.6
35
80%
4
8
1
1
6
5
0
4
7-7
100%
5-6
83%
6-16
38%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
30.5
12
86%
13
1
0
0
1
1
4
9
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28
23.8
10
63%
4
0
1
2
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
#10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 30
32.5
12
50%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
17.5
4
67%
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
13.4
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
8.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#9 · PF · 7'1" 210 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Injury
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 35
 | NWT
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
36
20
5
3
12
19
10
26
11-13
85%
24-39
62%
15-47
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.