FinalWin Prob.pScore
251%121
105
749%120
95
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
102.9102103.5
MIL logo MIL
92.2103101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
100%
95
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.09 54.7%
MIL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
14
21
67%
MIL
24
40
60%
Midrange
GSW
7
22
32%
MIL
5
13
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
19
28.5
46
41%
62%
MIL
7
10.5
39
18%
27%
Free Throws
GSW
6
7
86%
MIL
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry2056%10.0 / 18
K. Thompson2067%10.0 / 15
A. Iguodala1575%7.5 / 10
J. Jerebko1267%6.0 / 9
K. Durant1134%5.5 / 16
A. McKinnie950%4.5 / 9
K. Looney880%4.0 / 5
S. Livingston6100%3.0 / 3
J. Bell467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2273%11.0 / 15
M. Brogdon1554%7.5 / 14
B. Lopez1450%7.0 / 14
E. Bledsoe1458%7.0 / 12
K. Middleton1031%5.0 / 16
P. Connaughton964%4.5 / 7
T. Snell542%2.5 / 6
S. Brown233%1.0 / 3
E. Ilyasova214%1.0 / 7
T. Maker220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
85
+9
-17
94
MIL
85
+19
-18
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.09 54.7%
MIL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
113.9
GSW 102.9
MIL 92.2 +10.7
Pace
101.3
103.2
GSW 103.5 +2.0
MIL 101.5
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
13.9
GSW 13.9 +0.3
MIL 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
55.0%
GSW 55.6% +12.7%
MIL 42.9%
TO %
13.5%
12.8%
GSW 16.4%
MIL 15.7% +0.7%
ORB %
22.5%
20.8%
GSW 13.3%
MIL 28.8% +15.5%
FTrt
22.7
25.5
GSW 7.9
MIL 25.0 +17.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
60.1%
GSW 80.0% +30.0%
MIL 50.0%
STL %
7.4%
7.2%
GSW 6.9%
MIL 9.7% +2.8%
BLK %
11.3%
10.4%
GSW 11.3% +4.3%
MIL 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
57.1%
GSW 54.7% +9.0%
MIL 45.7%
Rim FG%
66.3%
64.1%
GSW 66.7% +6.7%
MIL 60.0%
Mid FG%
45.8%
39.4%
GSW 31.8%
MIL 38.5% +6.7%
3P %
38.5%
35.2%
GSW 41.3% +23.4%
MIL 17.9%
FT %
80.1%
77.2%
GSW 85.7% +16.1%
MIL 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
40.2%
GSW 23.6%
MIL 43.5% +19.9%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
17.8%
GSW 24.7%
MIL 14.1% +10.6%
3P Att. %
38.4%
42.0%
GSW 51.7% +9.3%
MIL 42.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWMIL
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points10595
Rebounds4354
Assists3218
Steals710
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)18 (1)
Fouls2021
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)39 (2)
Field Goals40-8936-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2124-40
Midrange FG7-225-13
2-Point FG21-4329-53
3-Point FG19-467-39
Free Throws6-716-23
Fast Break Pts814
2nd Chance Pts715
Points in Paint3256
Pts off Turnovers1226
Bench Points3120
Biggest Lead122

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 30
37.1
11
34%
8
6
1
0
7
3
0
8
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
1-6
17%
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
35.6
20
56%
4
8
1
0
3
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
4-9
44%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
34.7
20
67%
5
6
4
2
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
4-9
44%
#9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 35
27.9
15
75%
8
2
1
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
27.7
8
80%
7
4
0
0
1
4
3
4
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
24.6
12
67%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-9
44%
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
18.9
6
100%
0
3
0
2
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
17.1
9
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
16.1
4
67%
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles rehab
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right toe sprain
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left pectoral muscle tear
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
43
32
7
6
17
20
6
37
6-7
86%
21-43
49%
19-46
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.