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All Games Friday, December 7, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Heat
76%113
115
30
Suns
24%103
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.010096.7
PHX logo PHX
98.0100103.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
98
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
PHX
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
32
72%
PHX
17
28
61%
Midrange
MIA
4
17
24%
PHX
5
17
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
PHX
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
16
18
89%
PHX
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2285%11.0 / 13
J. Winslow20125%10.0 / 8
R. McGruder1478%7.0 / 9
K. Olynyk1372%6.5 / 9
T. Johnson1267%6.0 / 9
G. Dragic1150%5.5 / 11
J. Richardson840%4.0 / 10
J. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
D. Jones583%2.5 / 3
D. Wade214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Daniels1869%9.0 / 13
D. Ayton1680%8.0 / 10
M. Bridges1250%6.0 / 12
D. Melton1267%6.0 / 9
R. Holmes1169%5.5 / 8
T. Ariza1045%5.0 / 11
J. Jackson964%4.5 / 7
J. Crawford633%3.0 / 9
E. Okobo440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+7
-12
95
PHX
80
+8
-20
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
PHX
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
105.9
MIA 115.0
PHX 98.0 +17.0
Pace
98.1
100.5
MIA 96.7
PHX 103.5 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.4
MIA 14.9
PHX 13.9 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.4%
MIA 57.6% +3.2%
PHX 54.4%
TO %
14.3%
15.0%
MIA 11.3% +8.3%
PHX 19.6%
ORB %
24.8%
20.5%
MIA 13.6% +3.1%
PHX 10.5%
FTrt
24.7
25.9
MIA 20.9 +0.6
PHX 20.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
59.5%
MIA 76.2% +1.2%
PHX 75.0%
STL %
7.8%
8.8%
MIA 10.0% +3.0%
PHX 7.0%
BLK %
10.2%
8.8%
MIA 11.1% +2.9%
PHX 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.2%
MIA 59.9% +4.2%
PHX 55.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.0%
MIA 71.9% +11.2%
PHX 60.7%
Mid FG%
36.8%
42.0%
MIA 23.5%
PHX 29.4% +5.9%
3P %
34.9%
32.9%
MIA 40.5%
PHX 41.2% +0.7%
FT %
69.5%
77.9%
MIA 88.9% +13.9%
PHX 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.7%
MIA 37.2% +1.8%
PHX 35.4%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
29.8%
MIA 19.8% +1.8%
PHX 21.5%
3P Att. %
36.8%
33.5%
MIA 43.0%
PHX 43.0% +0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points11598
Rebounds4042
Assists3227
Steals107
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)20 (1)
Fouls1621
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)38 (0)
Field Goals42-8636-79
At-the-Rim FG23-3217-28
Midrange FG4-175-17
2-Point FG27-4922-45
3-Point FG15-3714-34
Free Throws16-1812-16
Fast Break Pts189
2nd Chance Pts116
Points in Paint5236
Pts off Turnovers2916
Bench Points5239
Biggest Lead223

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
15 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
38.5
8
40%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
32.1
22
85%
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
10-11
91%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
28.5
14
78%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
21.3
11
50%
1
10
3
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
16.6
8
50%
3
1
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
31.4
20
125%
8
6
1
1
4
2
1
7
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
4-4
100%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
22.3
13
72%
4
3
1
1
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
1-6
17%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
21.8
12
67%
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
21.1
2
14%
1
2
1
0
3
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
6.5
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
NWT - Personal
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle surgery
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
60%
40
32
10
5
12
16
6
34
16-18
89%
27-49
55%
15-37
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.