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All Games Friday, December 7, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Nuggets
56%114
107
14
Hornets
44%112
113
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
107.010094.1
CHA logo CHA
115.398104.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.92 46.1%
CHA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
39
56%
CHA
14
36
39%
Midrange
DEN
9
27
33%
CHA
6
15
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
35
23%
34%
CHA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
21
26
81%
CHA
34
38
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2050%10.0 / 20
N. Jokić1644%8.0 / 18
P. Millsap1667%8.0 / 12
M. Beasley1662%8.0 / 13
J. Hernangomez1583%7.5 / 9
M. Morris1255%6.0 / 11
M. Plumlee770%3.5 / 5
T. Lyles523%2.5 / 11
T. Craig0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2162%10.5 / 17
T. Parker1953%9.5 / 18
M. Monk1662%8.0 / 13
M. Williams1450%7.0 / 14
F. Kaminsky1179%5.5 / 7
C. Zeller844%4.0 / 9
J. Lamb770%3.5 / 5
M. Bridges750%3.5 / 7
M. Kidd-Gilchrist675%3.0 / 4
N. Batum433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
91
+25
-9
116
CHA
89
+18
-9
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.92 46.1%
CHA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.3
DEN 107.0
CHA 115.3 +8.3
Pace
98.0
98.7
DEN 94.1
CHA 104.5 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.6
DEN 15.3
CHA 13.8 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.4%
DEN 42.6%
CHA 45.9% +3.3%
TO %
13.1%
11.7%
DEN 7.4% +1.5%
CHA 8.9%
ORB %
26.6%
21.9%
DEN 36.4% +9.3%
CHA 27.1%
FTrt
23.2
25.7
DEN 25.7
CHA 44.2 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
57.8%
DEN 61.5% +0.9%
CHA 60.6%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
DEN 6.0%
CHA 8.2% +2.2%
BLK %
8.2%
8.9%
DEN 23.5% +9.9%
CHA 13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.2%
DEN 46.1%
CHA 53.3% +7.2%
Rim FG%
59.6%
56.9%
DEN 56.4% +17.5%
CHA 38.9%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.7%
DEN 33.3%
CHA 40.0% +6.7%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
DEN 22.9%
CHA 37.1% +14.2%
FT %
75.5%
79.7%
DEN 80.8%
CHA 89.5% +8.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.6%
DEN 38.6%
CHA 41.9% +3.2%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
25.7%
DEN 26.7%
CHA 17.4% +9.3%
3P Att. %
34.8%
37.8%
DEN 34.7%
CHA 40.7% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENCHA
Possessions10098
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points107113
Rebounds5548
Assists2420
Steals68
Blocks129
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (1)
Fouls2820
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (5)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)35 (5)
Field Goals39-10133-86
At-the-Rim FG22-3914-36
Midrange FG9-276-15
2-Point FG31-6620-51
3-Point FG8-3513-35
Free Throws21-2634-38
Fast Break Pts147
2nd Chance Pts208
Points in Paint5236
Pts off Turnovers1012
Bench Points4059
Biggest Lead516

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
36.7
20
50%
5
7
2
0
1
4
2
3
4-5
80%
8-16
50%
0-4
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
36.5
15
83%
10
2
1
2
0
2
2
8
2-3
67%
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
33.4
16
44%
11
6
1
2
4
5
4
7
4-5
80%
6-12
50%
0-6
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
18.8
16
67%
3
1
1
2
1
4
2
1
8-9
89%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
18.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
6
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
32.8
16
62%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
4-10
40%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
24.5
12
55%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
2-4
50%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
20.1
7
70%
7
2
0
2
1
5
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
18.7
5
23%
5
2
1
3
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-5
20%
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right hip/core muscle surgery
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right hip injury
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right hip surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right foot surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | low back surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
46%
55
24
6
12
9
28
20
35
21-26
81%
31-66
47%
8-35
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.