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All Games Wednesday, December 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Mavericks
36%114
106
11
Pelicans
64%119
132
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
100.0106104.9
NOP logo NOP
123.4107108.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALNOP
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
132
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.05 52.5%
NOP
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
20
32
63%
NOP
24
38
63%
Midrange
DAL
5
13
38%
NOP
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
14
21.0
46
30%
46%
NOP
17
25.5
29
59%
88%
Free Throws
DAL
14
21
67%
NOP
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes1653%8.0 / 15
W. Matthews1568%7.5 / 11
J. Barea1470%7.0 / 10
D. Finney-Smith1260%6.0 / 10
D. Powell1275%6.0 / 8
J. Brunson1169%5.5 / 8
R. Broekhoff964%4.5 / 7
L. Dončić840%4.0 / 10
M. Kleber521%2.5 / 12
D. Jordan250%1.0 / 2
D. Harris225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Randle2775%13.5 / 18
A. Davis2761%13.5 / 22
J. Holiday1765%8.5 / 13
E. Moore1761%8.5 / 14
D. Miller12120%6.0 / 5
C. Diallo10100%5.0 / 5
T. Frazier8100%4.0 / 4
I. Clark6150%3.0 / 2
S. Hill338%1.5 / 4
W. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
J. Okafor250%1.0 / 2
A. Harrison0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
88
+13
-18
101
NOP
96
+8
-11
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.05 52.5%
NOP
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
111.3
DAL 100.0
NOP 123.4 +23.4
Pace
99.1
103.4
DAL 104.9
NOP 108.1 +3.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.7
DAL 13.7
NOP 13.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.9%
DAL 50.5%
NOP 64.7% +14.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.0%
DAL 15.2%
NOP 10.6% +4.6%
ORB %
22.6%
24.1%
DAL 21.2% +8.4%
NOP 12.8%
FTrt
29.1
25.4
DAL 23.1 +1.4
NOP 21.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
61.9%
DAL 66.7%
NOP 70.6% +3.9%
STL %
6.5%
7.2%
DAL 6.6%
NOP 11.2% +4.6%
BLK %
7.6%
9.1%
DAL 6.3%
NOP 13.3% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.3%
DAL 52.5%
NOP 63.5% +11.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.1%
DAL 62.5%
NOP 63.2% +0.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.1%
DAL 38.5%
NOP 40.0% +1.5%
3P %
34.0%
34.4%
DAL 30.4%
NOP 58.6% +28.2%
FT %
74.2%
76.1%
DAL 66.7% +1.7%
NOP 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
40.2%
DAL 35.2%
NOP 41.3% +6.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
27.4%
DAL 14.3% +12.9%
NOP 27.2%
3P Att. %
42.2%
32.4%
DAL 50.5% +19.0%
NOP 31.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALNOP
Possessions106107
Possession Minutes24.323.8
Points106132
Rebounds4546
Assists2636
Steals712
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1715
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)41 (1)
Field Goals39-9151-92
At-the-Rim FG20-3224-38
Midrange FG5-1310-25
2-Point FG25-4534-63
3-Point FG14-4617-29
Free Throws14-2113-20
Fast Break Pts1429
2nd Chance Pts114
Points in Paint4860
Pts off Turnovers1625
Bench Points5350
Biggest Lead729

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
14 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
28.6
12
60%
5
3
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 32
24.6
15
68%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
24.4
2
50%
8
0
0
0
4
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 27
23.6
16
53%
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
3-9
33%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 20
22.0
8
40%
4
6
0
0
2
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
25.1
11
69%
2
7
2
0
0
4
0
2
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
24.4
5
21%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-8
13%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
23.6
12
75%
10
0
0
2
2
2
3
7
4-5
80%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
18.3
14
70%
2
4
2
0
4
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
16.2
9
64%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
9.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist Sprain
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 32
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Coach's Decision
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 40
 | Left Ankle Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
45
26
7
4
18
17
11
34
14-21
67%
25-45
56%
14-46
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.