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All Games Wednesday, December 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Hornets
37%113
104
9
Timberwolves
63%118
121
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
105.199104.7
MIN logo MIN
121.010094.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
121
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.00 50.0%
MIN
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
19
39
49%
MIN
18
26
69%
Midrange
CHA
9
26
35%
MIN
18
39
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
MIN
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
Free Throws
CHA
12
15
80%
MIN
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Batum1853%9.0 / 17
J. Lamb1847%9.0 / 19
K. Walker1547%7.5 / 16
F. Kaminsky1071%5.0 / 7
M. Bridges1063%5.0 / 8
M. Monk1063%5.0 / 8
C. Zeller964%4.5 / 7
M. Kidd-Gilchrist945%4.5 / 10
W. Hernangomez4100%2.0 / 2
B. Biyombo150%0.5 / 1
T. Parker0-0.0 / 4
D. Bacon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Towns3583%17.5 / 21
A. Wiggins2668%13.0 / 19
R. Covington1785%8.5 / 10
D. Rose1653%8.0 / 15
T. Gibson1192%5.5 / 6
D. Šarić850%4.0 / 8
G. Dieng563%2.5 / 4
J. Teague325%1.5 / 6
T. Jones0-0.0 / 2
J. Nunnally0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
89
+15
-10
104
MIN
85
+16
-15
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.00 50.0%
MIN
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
111.4
CHA 105.1
MIN 121.0 +15.9
Pace
98.7
100.2
CHA 104.7 +9.9
MIN 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.5
CHA 13.7 +1.4
MIN 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.1%
CHA 46.9%
MIN 60.7% +13.8%
TO %
11.7%
12.5%
CHA 8.7% +4.6%
MIN 13.3%
ORB %
21.9%
24.7%
CHA 24.5%
MIN 27.0% +2.5%
FTrt
25.7
26.6
CHA 15.3
MIN 22.5 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
59.1%
CHA 67.5%
MIN 70.8% +3.3%
STL %
7.2%
8.3%
CHA 7.1% +1.1%
MIN 6.0%
BLK %
8.9%
8.9%
CHA 1.5%
MIN 16.9% +15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
53.9%
CHA 50.0%
MIN 60.5% +10.5%
Rim FG%
56.9%
60.0%
CHA 48.7%
MIN 69.2% +20.5%
Mid FG%
41.7%
39.7%
CHA 34.6%
MIN 46.2% +11.6%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
CHA 36.4%
MIN 50.0% +13.6%
FT %
79.7%
78.7%
CHA 80.0% +15.0%
MIN 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
36.2%
CHA 39.8% +10.6%
MIN 29.2%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
32.3%
CHA 26.5% +17.3%
MIN 43.8%
3P Att. %
37.8%
31.5%
CHA 33.7% +6.7%
MIN 27.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIN
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points104121
Rebounds4050
Assists2734
Steals76
Blocks111
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)15 (0)
Fouls1515
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)40 (1)
Field Goals40-9848-89
At-the-Rim FG19-3918-26
Midrange FG9-2618-39
2-Point FG28-6536-65
3-Point FG12-3312-24
Free Throws12-1513-20
Fast Break Pts1113
2nd Chance Pts1714
Points in Paint4652
Pts off Turnovers2410
Bench Points3529
Biggest Lead1519

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
36.6
18
53%
7
8
1
0
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
3-6
50%
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
33.0
9
64%
6
3
2
0
1
4
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
30.3
15
47%
2
5
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
30.2
18
47%
11
2
1
0
0
2
2
9
4-5
80%
4-13
31%
2-5
40%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · PF · 6'7" 232 · 25
23.3
9
45%
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
21.6
10
71%
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
20.9
10
63%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Malik Monk
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 21
17.8
10
63%
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
15.3
0
0%
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
3.8
1
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
2.4
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Player
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Strain
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Player
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
50%
40
27
7
1
10
15
13
27
12-15
80%
28-65
43%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.