FinalWin Prob.pScore
1932%110
92
868%117
115
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
84.4109104.1
MIL logo MIL
106.5108113.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
115
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.87 43.4%
MIL
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
20
41
49%
MIL
24
35
69%
Midrange
DET
6
16
38%
MIL
6
0%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
38
24%
36%
MIL
14
21.0
41
34%
51%
Free Throws
DET
13
19
68%
MIL
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3162%15.5 / 25
R. Jackson1554%7.5 / 14
A. Drummond1042%5.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia880%4.0 / 5
S. Johnson722%3.5 / 16
J. Leuer675%3.0 / 4
L. Galloway563%2.5 / 4
B. Brown375%1.5 / 2
K. Thomas350%1.5 / 3
G. Robinson III250%1.0 / 2
L. Kennard217%1.0 / 6
I. Smith0-0.0 / 3
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Bledsoe2775%13.5 / 18
G. Antetokounmpo1558%7.5 / 13
M. Brogdon1464%7.0 / 11
T. Snell1179%5.5 / 7
T. Maker1155%5.5 / 10
S. Brown1192%5.5 / 6
D. Wilson7117%3.5 / 3
B. Lopez660%3.0 / 5
C. Wood6100%3.0 / 3
D. DiVincenzo330%1.5 / 5
M. Dellavedova233%1.0 / 3
J. Morris250%1.0 / 2
P. Connaughton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
89
+16
-20
105
MIL
93
+4
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.87 43.4%
MIL
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
113.9
DET 84.4 +22.1
MIL 106.5
Pace
97.3
103.2
DET 104.1
MIL 113.4 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
13.9
DET 13.8
MIL 12.7 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
55.0%
DET 41.6%
MIL 54.9% +13.3%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
DET 16.2%
MIL 14.4% +1.8%
ORB %
24.9%
20.8%
DET 22.2% +12.9%
MIL 9.3%
FTrt
26.1
25.5
DET 20.0
MIL 36.6 +16.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
60.1%
DET 54.3%
MIL 65.8% +11.5%
STL %
7.1%
7.2%
DET 5.5%
MIL 12.0% +6.5%
BLK %
7.1%
10.4%
DET 2.4%
MIL 7.0% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
57.1%
DET 43.4%
MIL 58.7% +15.3%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.1%
DET 48.8%
MIL 68.6% +19.8%
Mid FG%
38.4%
39.4%
DET 37.5% +37.5%
MIL 0.0%
3P %
34.8%
35.2%
DET 23.7%
MIL 34.1% +10.4%
FT %
74.7%
77.2%
DET 68.4%
MIL 83.3% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
40.2%
DET 43.2% +0.5%
MIL 42.7%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
17.8%
DET 16.8%
MIL 7.3% +9.5%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.0%
DET 40.0%
MIL 50.0% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions109108
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points92115
Rebounds5146
Assists1925
Steals613
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)15 (1)
Fouls2621
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (3)42 (4)
Field Goals35-9538-82
At-the-Rim FG20-4124-35
Midrange FG6-160-6
2-Point FG26-5724-41
3-Point FG9-3814-41
Free Throws13-1925-30
Fast Break Pts929
2nd Chance Pts114
Points in Paint4848
Pts off Turnovers419
Bench Points2942
Biggest Lead228

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
30.5
10
42%
8
1
1
0
3
5
2
6
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
30.3
31
62%
7
4
0
1
7
2
0
7
5-6
83%
7-11
64%
4-11
36%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
24.3
15
54%
7
5
1
0
1
4
1
6
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
1-5
20%
#9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27
22.7
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
9.0
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
26.8
7
22%
9
0
2
0
4
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-8
13%
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
26.4
3
75%
5
3
0
0
2
5
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
17.5
8
80%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
13.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
10.5
3
50%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
7.4
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22
6.8
2
17%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle sprain
#12 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
43%
51
19
6
1
20
26
12
39
13-19
68%
26-57
46%
9-38
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.