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All Games Wednesday, December 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Nuggets
67%111
124
23
Magic
33%105
118
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
120.410398.4
ORL logo ORL
116.810187.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

MagicNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENORL
OT1 - End of 1st OT.124
100%
118
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.24 62.0%
ORL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
27
70%
ORL
12
18
67%
Midrange
DEN
15
36
42%
ORL
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
19
58%
87%
ORL
20
30.0
49
41%
61%
Free Throws
DEN
23
37
62%
ORL
8
8
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3153%15.5 / 29
P. Millsap1882%9.0 / 11
J. Hernangomez14100%7.0 / 7
M. Morris13108%6.5 / 6
N. Jokić1243%6.0 / 14
T. Lyles1267%6.0 / 9
M. Plumlee1169%5.5 / 8
M. Beasley867%4.0 / 6
T. Craig5250%2.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2681%13.0 / 16
N. Vučević2471%12.0 / 17
A. Gordon1956%9.5 / 17
T. Ross1777%8.5 / 11
J. Isaac1146%5.5 / 12
M. Bamba11110%5.5 / 5
D. Augustin8100%4.0 / 4
J. Simmons217%1.0 / 6
J. Grant0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
93
+7
-10
100
ORL
92
+9
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.24 62.0%
ORL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
108.5
DEN 120.4 +3.6
ORL 116.8
Pace
98.0
98.4
DEN 98.4 +11.4
ORL 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.1
DEN 14.6 +1.9
ORL 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.8%
DEN 61.6% +3.7%
ORL 57.9%
TO %
13.1%
12.7%
DEN 9.2%
ORL 9.2%
ORB %
26.6%
21.9%
DEN 10.5%
ORL 13.3% +2.8%
FTrt
23.2
21.6
DEN 45.1 +36.7
ORL 8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.2%
DEN 75.6% +8.9%
ORL 66.7%
STL %
7.9%
6.7%
DEN 4.9% +0.9%
ORL 4.0%
BLK %
8.2%
9.5%
DEN 4.3%
ORL 6.3% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.8%
DEN 62.0% +4.2%
ORL 57.8%
Rim FG%
59.6%
61.6%
DEN 70.4% +3.7%
ORL 66.7%
Mid FG%
43.3%
40.3%
DEN 41.7%
ORL 46.4% +4.7%
3P %
35.1%
35.6%
DEN 57.9% +17.1%
ORL 40.8%
FT %
75.5%
78.2%
DEN 62.2%
ORL 100.0% +37.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
31.9%
DEN 32.9% +14.0%
ORL 18.9%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
32.1%
DEN 43.9%
ORL 29.5% +14.4%
3P Att. %
34.8%
36.0%
DEN 23.2%
ORL 51.6% +28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENORL
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes25.127.9
Points124118
Rebounds4340
Assists3430
Steals54
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)9 (1)
Fouls1923
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals45-8245-95
At-the-Rim FG19-2712-18
Midrange FG15-3613-28
2-Point FG34-6325-46
3-Point FG11-1920-49
Free Throws23-378-8
Fast Break Pts912
2nd Chance Pts79
Points in Paint5636
Pts off Turnovers1010
Bench Points4439
Biggest Lead126

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
4 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
46.1
31
53%
4
8
1
0
1
3
1
3
9-11
82%
8-22
36%
2-3
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
36.5
14
100%
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
34.6
12
43%
8
13
1
0
1
3
0
8
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
32.7
18
82%
8
2
0
0
2
1
0
8
4-7
57%
4-8
50%
2-2
100%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
25.2
5
250%
4
1
2
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
30.9
8
67%
4
1
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
#11 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 23
20.3
13
108%
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-1
0%
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
19.8
11
69%
7
4
0
1
1
3
1
6
5-10
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
18.8
12
67%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip / Core Muscle Surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Injury
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
124
62%
43
34
5
2
10
19
4
39
23-37
62%
34-63
54%
11-19
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.