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All Games Wednesday, December 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Warriors
80%121
129
29
Cavaliers
20%109
105
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
135.895101.9
CLE logo CLE
110.59589.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWCLE
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.129
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.32 65.8%
CLE
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
16
25
64%
CLE
19
26
73%
Midrange
GSW
11
26
42%
CLE
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
18
27.0
34
53%
79%
CLE
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
Free Throws
GSW
21
24
88%
CLE
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry4284%21.0 / 25
K. Durant2578%12.5 / 16
K. Thompson1650%8.0 / 16
J. Jerebko11110%5.5 / 5
Q. Cook1083%5.0 / 6
K. Looney867%4.0 / 6
S. Livingston675%3.0 / 4
A. McKinnie563%2.5 / 4
A. Iguodala440%2.0 / 5
J. Bell250%1.0 / 2
M. Derrickson0-0.0 / 1
J. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Sexton2166%10.5 / 16
J. Clarkson1753%8.5 / 16
C. Osman1667%8.0 / 12
R. Hood1547%7.5 / 16
T. Thompson1464%7.0 / 11
L. Nance11138%5.5 / 4
A. Burks941%4.5 / 11
J. Jones250%1.0 / 2
G. Hill0-0.0 / 5
J. Blossomgame0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
87
+10
-8
97
CLE
85
+14
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.32 65.8%
CLE
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
107.4
GSW 135.8 +25.3
CLE 110.5
Pace
101.3
96.9
GSW 101.9 +12.9
CLE 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.1
GSW 14.1 +2.0
CLE 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
50.3%
GSW 63.5% +13.5%
CLE 50.0%
TO %
13.5%
13.0%
GSW 8.6% +0.6%
CLE 9.2%
ORB %
22.5%
23.7%
GSW 23.7%
CLE 24.5% +0.8%
FTrt
22.7
23.6
GSW 28.2 +2.4
CLE 25.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
53.2%
GSW 64.4% +20.8%
CLE 43.6%
STL %
7.4%
6.7%
GSW 6.3%
CLE 7.4% +1.1%
BLK %
11.3%
4.3%
GSW 8.8% +4.9%
CLE 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
52.5%
GSW 65.8% +12.8%
CLE 53.0%
Rim FG%
66.3%
57.5%
GSW 64.0%
CLE 73.1% +9.1%
Mid FG%
45.8%
39.5%
GSW 42.3% +13.3%
CLE 29.0%
3P %
38.5%
35.5%
GSW 52.9% +18.5%
CLE 34.4%
FT %
80.1%
79.2%
GSW 87.5% +17.9%
CLE 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
34.5%
GSW 29.4% +0.2%
CLE 29.2%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
32.2%
GSW 30.6% +4.2%
CLE 34.8%
3P Att. %
38.4%
33.2%
GSW 40.0% +4.0%
CLE 36.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWCLE
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points129105
Rebounds4641
Assists2917
Steals67
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)10 (0)
Fouls1719
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals45-8539-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2519-26
Midrange FG11-269-31
2-Point FG27-5128-57
3-Point FG18-3411-32
Free Throws21-2416-23
Fast Break Pts1913
2nd Chance Pts618
Points in Paint3844
Pts off Turnovers1617
Bench Points3439
Biggest Lead2410

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
2 Golden State Warriors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kevin Durant
#35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 30
34.0
25
78%
10
9
1
2
4
1
0
10
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
4-7
57%
Stephen Curry
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
33.8
42
84%
9
7
1
0
2
1
0
9
11-12
92%
2-6
33%
9-14
64%
Klay Thompson
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
31.8
16
50%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-5
80%
3-9
33%
2-6
33%
Kevon Looney
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
25.0
8
67%
6
3
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
#9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 35
21.9
4
40%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
22.0
11
110%
4
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
Jordan Bell
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
17.5
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
16.3
6
75%
2
1
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
15.8
10
83%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
Alfonzo McKinnie
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
13.1
5
63%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
Marcus Derrickson
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Jacob Evans
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 21
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pectoral Muscle Tear
Damion Lee
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
INACTIVE
Draymond Green
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Sprain
DeMarcus Cousins
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Rehab
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
66%
46
29
6
5
8
17
9
37
21-24
88%
27-51
53%
18-34
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.