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All Games Tuesday, December 4, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Spurs
30%105
105
6
Jazz
70%112
139
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
101.0104104.4
UTA logo UTA
133.7104103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASUTA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
139
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.09 54.7%
UTA
1.45 72.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
20
75%
UTA
23
31
74%
Midrange
SAS
22
48
46%
UTA
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
UTA
20
30.0
33
61%
91%
Free Throws
SAS
10
11
91%
UTA
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Poeltl20100%10.0 / 10
D. DeRozan1657%8.0 / 14
L. Aldridge1689%8.0 / 9
D. White1045%5.0 / 11
C. Metu1056%5.0 / 9
B. Forbes950%4.5 / 9
D. Bertans880%4.0 / 5
P. Mills850%4.0 / 8
M. Belinelli542%2.5 / 6
D. Cunningham338%1.5 / 4
R. Gay0-0.0 / 3
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2077%10.0 / 13
R. Gobert1875%9.0 / 12
K. Korver1594%7.5 / 8
D. Favors1478%7.0 / 9
J. Ingles1381%6.5 / 8
R. Rubio1267%6.0 / 9
R. O'Neale1161%5.5 / 9
J. Crowder8100%4.0 / 4
T. Sefolosha788%3.5 / 4
R. Neto788%3.5 / 4
D. Exum788%3.5 / 4
G. Niang583%2.5 / 3
E. Udoh2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
88
+9
-16
97
UTA
87
+9
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.09 54.7%
UTA
1.45 72.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.8
SAS 101.0
UTA 133.7 +32.7
Pace
98.6
100.5
SAS 104.4 +0.9
UTA 103.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.6
SAS 13.8 +0.1
UTA 13.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
53.8%
SAS 52.8%
UTA 72.6% +19.8%
TO %
11.9%
14.6%
SAS 14.4% +1.8%
UTA 16.2%
ORB %
20.9%
22.9%
SAS 15.9%
UTA 16.7% +0.8%
FTrt
23.7
29.5
SAS 12.2
UTA 23.8 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
64.4%
SAS 56.8%
UTA 74.5% +17.7%
STL %
6.2%
8.0%
SAS 6.7%
UTA 11.5% +4.8%
BLK %
8.3%
9.7%
SAS 9.8% +2.4%
UTA 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.9%
SAS 54.7%
UTA 72.4% +17.7%
Rim FG%
62.7%
62.1%
SAS 75.0% +0.8%
UTA 74.2%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.1%
SAS 45.8% +5.8%
UTA 40.0%
3P %
39.2%
35.6%
SAS 31.8%
UTA 60.6% +28.8%
FT %
81.8%
73.6%
SAS 90.9% +5.9%
UTA 85.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
39.5%
SAS 22.2%
UTA 36.9% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
21.1%
SAS 53.3%
UTA 23.8% +29.5%
3P Att. %
28.6%
39.4%
SAS 24.4%
UTA 39.3% +14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASUTA
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points105139
Rebounds3242
Assists2538
Steals712
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals44-9051-84
At-the-Rim FG15-2023-31
Midrange FG22-488-20
2-Point FG37-6831-51
3-Point FG7-2220-33
Free Throws10-1117-20
Fast Break Pts213
2nd Chance Pts410
Points in Paint5252
Pts off Turnovers2126
Bench Points5662
Biggest Lead237

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
23 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
24.9
8
80%
6
0
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
24.3
16
57%
2
7
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-3
67%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
21.7
16
89%
3
2
1
1
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
19.6
9
50%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
18.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
23.1
5
42%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
21.4
3
38%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
21.3
10
45%
5
2
1
0
3
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
19.5
20
100%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
17.4
8
50%
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
15.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
12.9
10
56%
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | G League
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left foot soreness
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | torn right anterior cruciate ligament
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
32
25
7
5
16
19
7
25
10-11
91%
37-68
54%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.