FinalWin Prob.pScore
2441%107
105
1759%110
90
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
112.99398.8
MIA logo MIA
96.89387.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
100%
90
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.05 52.5%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
31
48%
MIA
23
39
59%
Midrange
ORL
9
27
33%
MIA
3
17
18%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
MIA
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
Free Throws
ORL
15
20
75%
MIA
2
5
40%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Gordon2056%10.0 / 18
N. Vučević1956%9.5 / 17
T. Ross1973%9.5 / 13
E. Fournier1365%6.5 / 10
J. Isaac1286%6.0 / 7
D. Augustin1146%5.5 / 12
J. Grant433%2.0 / 6
M. Bamba440%2.0 / 5
J. Simmons330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1454%7.0 / 13
K. Olynyk1359%6.5 / 11
H. Whiteside1275%6.0 / 8
J. Johnson1169%5.5 / 8
D. Wade1146%5.5 / 12
R. McGruder744%3.5 / 8
J. Richardson621%3.0 / 14
W. Ellington650%3.0 / 6
B. Adebayo643%3.0 / 7
T. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+18
-11
100
MIA
78
+19
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.05 52.5%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
107.5
ORL 112.9
MIA 96.8 +16.1
Pace
98.4
98.1
ORL 98.8 +10.9
MIA 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
ORL 14.6 +1.8
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
51.5%
ORL 52.3% +3.9%
MIA 48.4%
TO %
12.7%
14.3%
ORL 13.7% +1.0%
MIA 14.7%
ORB %
21.9%
24.8%
ORL 26.2%
MIA 33.3% +7.1%
FTrt
21.6
24.7
ORL 23.3 +17.8
MIA 5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
61.2%
ORL 57.9% +7.9%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
6.7%
7.8%
ORL 5.4%
MIA 7.5% +2.1%
BLK %
9.5%
10.2%
ORL 7.1%
MIA 19.0% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.9%
ORL 52.5% +6.6%
MIA 45.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
ORL 48.4%
MIA 59.0% +10.6%
Mid FG%
40.3%
36.8%
ORL 33.3% +15.7%
MIA 17.6%
3P %
35.6%
34.9%
ORL 50.0% +15.7%
MIA 34.3%
FT %
78.2%
69.5%
ORL 75.0% +35.0%
MIA 40.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
37.3%
ORL 36.0%
MIA 42.9% +6.8%
Mid Att. %
32.1%
25.9%
ORL 31.4%
MIA 18.7% +12.7%
3P Att. %
36.0%
36.8%
ORL 32.6%
MIA 38.5% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points10590
Rebounds4347
Assists2219
Steals57
Blocks411
Turnovers (Team)11 (4)15 (1)
Fouls1319
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)31 (1)
Field Goals38-8638-91
At-the-Rim FG15-3123-39
Midrange FG9-273-17
2-Point FG24-5826-56
3-Point FG14-2812-35
Free Throws15-202-5
Fast Break Pts109
2nd Chance Pts1223
Points in Paint3452
Pts off Turnovers2313
Bench Points3948
Biggest Lead158

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 23
34.5
20
56%
13
5
1
1
1
1
3
10
3-4
75%
4-13
31%
3-3
100%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
33.0
19
56%
10
3
1
0
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
28.1
11
46%
2
5
0
0
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
26.9
13
65%
3
0
0
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-4
75%
#17 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 29
21.1
3
30%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
31.5
12
86%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
30.0
19
73%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
5-10
50%
2-3
67%
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
19.9
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 21
15.0
4
40%
2
0
0
1
3
2
2
0
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Right Knee
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
53%
43
22
5
4
11
13
11
32
15-20
75%
24-58
41%
14-28
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.