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All Games Monday, December 3, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Warriors
81%126
128
28
Hawks
19%113
111
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
119.6107103.2
ATL logo ATL
103.7107111.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
111
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.35 67.4%
ATL
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
21
26
81%
ATL
32
45
71%
Midrange
GSW
14
32
44%
ATL
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
ATL
5
7.5
26
19%
29%
Free Throws
GSW
19
22
86%
ATL
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3079%15.0 / 19
K. Durant2888%14.0 / 16
K. Thompson2764%13.5 / 21
K. Looney1488%7.0 / 8
J. Jerebko12120%6.0 / 5
J. Bell675%3.0 / 4
Q. Cook440%2.0 / 5
M. Derrickson350%1.5 / 3
A. Iguodala250%1.0 / 2
S. Livingston250%1.0 / 2
D. Lee0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Collins2486%12.0 / 14
T. Young2043%10.0 / 23
T. Prince1488%7.0 / 8
J. Lin1478%7.0 / 9
D. Bembry1192%5.5 / 6
K. Huerter1071%5.0 / 7
D. Dedmon643%3.0 / 7
V. Carter429%2.0 / 7
J. Anderson467%2.0 / 3
K. Bazemore325%1.5 / 6
M. Plumlee150%0.5 / 1
O. Spellman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
87
+9
-20
96
ATL
89
+13
-18
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.35 67.4%
ATL
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
108.1
GSW 119.6 +15.9
ATL 103.7
Pace
101.3
103.9
GSW 103.2
ATL 111.1 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
13.6
GSW 14.0
ATL 13.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
52.2%
GSW 66.5% +14.8%
ATL 51.7%
TO %
13.5%
15.8%
GSW 17.9%
ATL 15.9% +2.0%
ORB %
22.5%
24.8%
GSW 18.8%
ATL 21.4% +2.6%
FTrt
22.7
25.5
GSW 26.8 +0.1
ATL 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
62.4%
GSW 68.8% +16.5%
ATL 52.3%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
GSW 9.3%
ATL 9.3%
BLK %
11.3%
9.2%
GSW 12.5% +5.6%
ATL 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
54.6%
GSW 67.4% +13.0%
ATL 54.4%
Rim FG%
66.3%
59.0%
GSW 80.8% +9.7%
ATL 71.1%
Mid FG%
45.8%
37.9%
GSW 43.8% +7.0%
ATL 36.8%
3P %
38.5%
35.2%
GSW 54.2% +35.0%
ATL 19.2%
FT %
80.1%
75.2%
GSW 86.4% +11.4%
ATL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
39.2%
GSW 31.7%
ATL 50.0% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
20.4%
GSW 39.0%
ATL 21.1% +17.9%
3P Att. %
38.4%
40.3%
GSW 29.3% +0.4%
ATL 28.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWATL
Possessions107107
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points128111
Rebounds3935
Assists3323
Steals1010
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)18 (1)
Fouls2421
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)26 (2)
Field Goals48-8244-90
At-the-Rim FG21-2632-45
Midrange FG14-327-19
2-Point FG35-5839-64
3-Point FG13-245-26
Free Throws19-2218-24
Fast Break Pts1617
2nd Chance Pts917
Points in Paint4670
Pts off Turnovers2631
Bench Points2737
Biggest Lead240

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
2 Golden State Warriors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kevin Durant
#35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 30
33.5
28
88%
5
8
2
0
5
2
0
5
7-8
88%
9-10
90%
1-3
33%
Klay Thompson
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
32.0
27
64%
8
2
1
0
2
0
0
8
4-4
100%
7-15
47%
3-5
60%
Stephen Curry
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
29.1
30
79%
3
2
1
1
3
4
0
3
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
6-10
60%
Kevon Looney
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
28.8
14
88%
4
5
2
2
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
#9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 35
21.6
2
50%
2
5
1
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
23.8
12
120%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
Jordan Bell
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
19.1
6
75%
6
3
1
1
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
18.4
2
50%
1
5
1
1
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
13.0
4
40%
2
0
1
0
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
12.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Marcus Derrickson
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
4.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Jacob Evans
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 21
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
Damian Jones
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pectoral Muscle Tear
Draymond Green
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Sprain
DeMarcus Cousins
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Rehab
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
67%
39
33
10
8
20
24
6
33
19-22
86%
35-58
60%
13-24
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.