FinalWin Prob.pScore
1458%116
118
2442%113
131
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
116.810196.5
SAS logo SAS
131.0100104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
131
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.23 61.5%
SAS
1.38 68.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
16
25
64%
SAS
17
26
65%
Midrange
POR
17
32
53%
SAS
22
42
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
SAS
11
16.5
15
73%
110%
Free Throws
POR
16
16
100%
SAS
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard3760%18.5 / 31
C. McCollum2457%12.0 / 21
A. Aminu20111%10.0 / 9
J. Nurkić1673%8.0 / 11
M. Harkless880%4.0 / 5
M. Leonard4200%2.0 / 1
Z. Collins440%2.0 / 5
N. Stauskas350%1.5 / 3
S. Curry250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3662%18.0 / 29
L. Aldridge2976%14.5 / 19
R. Gay1890%9.0 / 10
P. Mills1583%7.5 / 9
D. Bertans1083%5.0 / 6
D. White1071%5.0 / 7
B. Forbes758%3.5 / 6
J. Poeltl6100%3.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
84
+13
-17
97
SAS
88
+6
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.23 61.5%
SAS
1.38 68.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
112.6
POR 116.8
SAS 131.0 +14.2
Pace
99.5
98.6
POR 96.5
SAS 104.9 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.0
POR 14.9
SAS 13.7 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
53.4%
POR 59.3%
SAS 66.9% +7.6%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
POR 15.4%
SAS 11.5% +3.9%
ORB %
26.6%
20.9%
POR 23.7% +7.6%
SAS 16.1%
FTrt
25.8
23.7
POR 18.6
SAS 26.5 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
58.0%
POR 55.6%
SAS 58.0% +2.4%
STL %
6.6%
6.2%
POR 5.9% +0.9%
SAS 5.0%
BLK %
8.3%
8.3%
POR 7.4% +0.4%
SAS 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
56.0%
POR 61.5%
SAS 68.9% +7.4%
Rim FG%
59.0%
62.7%
POR 64.0%
SAS 65.4% +1.4%
Mid FG%
42.5%
44.0%
POR 53.1% +0.7%
SAS 52.4%
3P %
35.9%
39.2%
POR 41.4%
SAS 73.3% +31.9%
FT %
81.4%
81.8%
POR 100.0% +9.1%
SAS 90.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
27.8%
POR 29.1%
SAS 31.3% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
43.7%
POR 37.2% +13.4%
SAS 50.6%
3P Att. %
33.9%
28.6%
POR 33.7% +15.6%
SAS 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsPORSAS
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points118131
Rebounds3534
Assists2529
Steals65
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2115
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)29 (0)
Field Goals45-8650-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2517-26
Midrange FG17-3222-42
2-Point FG33-5739-68
3-Point FG12-2911-15
Free Throws16-1620-22
Fast Break Pts817
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint3836
Pts off Turnovers1611
Bench Points1331
Biggest Lead716

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 28
41.4
37
60%
2
10
2
0
1
2
0
2
10-10
100%
9-17
53%
3-11
27%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27
38.5
24
57%
2
3
0
1
4
2
0
2
0-0
-
9-16
56%
2-6
33%
#8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28
36.4
20
111%
9
1
1
1
1
4
1
8
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
#4 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26
33.6
8
80%
7
3
1
3
3
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 24
31.1
16
73%
8
5
2
0
2
4
3
5
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
18.1
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#31 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28
16.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · PF · 7'1" 255 · 27
13.1
4
200%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#33 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21
11.4
4
40%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#24 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 19
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left achilles inflammation
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
62%
35
25
6
5
17
21
9
26
16-16
100%
33-57
58%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.