FinalWin Prob.pScore
756%108
100
1944%106
102
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
104.29695.3
MIA logo MIA
107.49595.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
102
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
31
58%
MIA
14
25
56%
Midrange
UTA
10
25
40%
MIA
9
35
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
MIA
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
Free Throws
UTA
11
15
73%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Rubio2388%11.5 / 13
J. Crowder1959%9.5 / 16
D. Mitchell1838%9.0 / 24
R. Gobert1267%6.0 / 9
J. Ingles1142%5.5 / 13
R. O'Neale6150%3.0 / 2
D. Favors563%2.5 / 4
K. Korver325%1.5 / 6
R. Neto2100%1.0 / 1
D. Exum150%0.5 / 1
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2368%11.5 / 17
J. Richardson1644%8.0 / 18
K. Olynyk1673%8.0 / 11
D. Wade1544%7.5 / 17
W. Ellington1250%6.0 / 12
J. Johnson945%4.5 / 10
J. Winslow950%4.5 / 9
B. Adebayo250%1.0 / 2
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
83
+15
-13
98
MIA
82
+18
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
107.5
UTA 104.2
MIA 107.4 +3.2
Pace
100.5
98.1
UTA 95.3
MIA 95.7 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.0
UTA 15.1
MIA 15.0 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
51.5%
UTA 50.0% +3.3%
MIA 46.7%
TO %
14.6%
14.3%
UTA 12.8%
MIA 11.3% +1.5%
ORB %
22.9%
24.8%
UTA 21.7%
MIA 25.9% +4.2%
FTrt
29.5
24.7
UTA 16.9
MIA 26.4 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
61.2%
UTA 53.8%
MIA 55.6% +1.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.8%
UTA 8.3%
MIA 8.4% +0.1%
BLK %
9.7%
10.2%
UTA 10.0%
MIA 14.3% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
52.9%
UTA 51.0% +0.5%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
62.1%
60.8%
UTA 58.1% +2.1%
MIA 56.0%
Mid FG%
39.1%
36.8%
UTA 40.0% +14.3%
MIA 25.7%
3P %
35.6%
34.9%
UTA 33.3%
MIA 41.9% +8.6%
FT %
73.6%
69.5%
UTA 73.3% +2.5%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
37.3%
UTA 34.8% +7.4%
MIA 27.5%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
25.9%
UTA 28.1% +10.4%
MIA 38.5%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.8%
UTA 37.1% +3.0%
MIA 34.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points100102
Rebounds5050
Assists2120
Steals88
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1816
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)36 (0)
Field Goals39-8936-91
At-the-Rim FG18-3114-25
Midrange FG10-259-35
2-Point FG28-5623-60
3-Point FG11-3313-31
Free Throws11-1517-24
Fast Break Pts95
2nd Chance Pts1813
Points in Paint4642
Pts off Turnovers1622
Bench Points1742
Biggest Lead196

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 22
37.7
18
38%
5
3
1
0
2
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-17
41%
1-7
14%
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 26
37.3
12
67%
18
4
1
3
2
2
4
14
2-5
40%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 28
36.1
23
88%
5
6
1
0
3
3
0
5
3-3
100%
7-9
78%
2-4
50%
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 28
34.1
19
59%
6
2
1
0
4
3
2
4
4-4
100%
3-8
38%
3-7
43%
#2 · PF · 6'8" 220 · 31
29.2
11
42%
4
4
2
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
#23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 25
18.7
6
150%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 27
17.9
5
63%
7
0
2
2
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#26 · SG · 6'7" 212 · 38
17.4
3
25%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 35
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#25 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 27
3.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 23
1.9
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#24 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#33 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#13 · C · 6'11" 248 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#34 · PF · 6'9" 238 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#30 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
50
21
8
6
13
18
10
40
11-15
73%
28-56
50%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.