FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%114
136
2241%111
105
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
138.89898.2
SAS logo SAS
108.29796.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.136
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.26 63.0%
SAS
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
22
29
76%
SAS
14
23
61%
Midrange
HOU
5
15
33%
SAS
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
22
33.0
54
41%
61%
SAS
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
Free Throws
HOU
16
20
80%
SAS
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Capela2779%13.5 / 17
E. Gordon2681%13.0 / 16
J. Harden2361%11.5 / 19
C. Paul1450%7.0 / 14
G. Green1150%5.5 / 11
P. Tucker10125%5.0 / 4
D. House880%4.0 / 5
M. Carter-Williams788%3.5 / 4
M. Chriss550%2.5 / 5
G. Clark330%1.5 / 5
J. Ennis III250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2053%10.0 / 19
D. DeRozan1853%9.0 / 17
D. White1169%5.5 / 8
B. Forbes1063%5.0 / 8
M. Belinelli1063%5.0 / 8
R. Gay956%4.5 / 8
D. Bertans880%4.0 / 5
P. Mills650%3.0 / 6
C. Metu660%3.0 / 5
J. Poeltl4200%2.0 / 1
Q. Pondexter338%1.5 / 4
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
93
+15
-5
108
SAS
84
+12
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.26 63.0%
SAS
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
112.6
HOU 138.8 +30.5
SAS 108.2
Pace
98.0
98.6
HOU 98.2 +1.4
SAS 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
HOU 14.7 +0.2
SAS 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
53.4%
HOU 61.2% +10.0%
SAS 51.2%
TO %
12.8%
11.9%
HOU 5.3% +6.8%
SAS 12.1%
ORB %
22.8%
20.9%
HOU 28.9% +8.9%
SAS 20.0%
FTrt
27.9
23.7
HOU 20.4
SAS 23.3 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
58.0%
HOU 65.3% +3.8%
SAS 61.5%
STL %
8.6%
6.2%
HOU 9.2% +5.1%
SAS 4.1%
BLK %
8.7%
8.3%
HOU 10.3% +1.2%
SAS 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
56.0%
HOU 63.0% +8.9%
SAS 54.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.7%
HOU 75.9% +15.0%
SAS 60.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
44.0%
HOU 33.3%
SAS 42.9% +9.6%
3P %
35.6%
39.2%
HOU 40.7% +5.0%
SAS 35.7%
FT %
79.1%
81.8%
HOU 80.0%
SAS 85.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
27.8%
HOU 29.6% +2.8%
SAS 26.7%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
43.7%
HOU 15.3% +25.4%
SAS 40.7%
3P Att. %
51.9%
28.6%
HOU 55.1% +22.5%
SAS 32.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points136105
Rebounds4941
Assists3224
Steals94
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)13 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)32 (5)
Field Goals49-9839-86
At-the-Rim FG22-2914-23
Midrange FG5-1515-35
2-Point FG27-4429-58
3-Point FG22-5410-28
Free Throws16-2017-20
Fast Break Pts167
2nd Chance Pts1311
Points in Paint5248
Pts off Turnovers158
Bench Points6048
Biggest Lead382

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
29.5
27
79%
12
1
1
4
0
4
8
4
3-4
75%
12-16
75%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
27.7
14
50%
5
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
27.6
23
61%
7
10
0
1
2
4
1
6
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
3-11
27%
#17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 34
24.3
10
125%
7
1
2
0
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#8 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28
12.3
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 30
25.8
26
81%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
7-11
64%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
24.5
11
50%
3
3
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 25
24.4
8
80%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
18.1
3
30%
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
13.9
5
50%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#1 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
8.8
7
88%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#9 · PF · 7'1" 210 · 23
 | Left ankle injury
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 35
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
136
63%
49
32
9
6
5
22
13
36
16-20
80%
27-44
61%
22-54
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.