FinalWin Prob.pScore
956%116
101
2144%114
106
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
103.198102.5
MIA logo MIA
108.29893.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
106
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.04 52.1%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
13
20
65%
MIA
22
29
76%
Midrange
NOP
16
34
47%
MIA
7
31
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
MIA
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
Free Throws
NOP
25
29
86%
MIA
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis4185%20.5 / 24
J. Holiday2150%10.5 / 21
N. Mirotic1575%7.5 / 10
J. Randle844%4.0 / 9
E. Moore630%3.0 / 10
T. Frazier675%3.0 / 4
S. Hill250%1.0 / 2
I. Clark225%1.0 / 4
D. Miller0-0.0 / 2
W. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
C. Diallo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2043%10.0 / 23
D. Wade1853%9.0 / 17
K. Olynyk1393%6.5 / 7
H. Whiteside1275%6.0 / 8
R. McGruder1155%5.5 / 10
J. Winslow1038%5.0 / 13
J. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
B. Adebayo880%4.0 / 5
W. Ellington638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
82
+14
-16
96
MIA
88
+19
-10
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.04 52.1%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
107.5
NOP 103.1
MIA 108.2 +5.1
Pace
103.4
98.1
NOP 102.5 +8.6
MIA 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
NOP 14.1 +1.3
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
51.5%
NOP 46.3%
MIA 48.9% +2.6%
TO %
14.0%
14.3%
NOP 14.4%
MIA 11.2% +3.2%
ORB %
24.1%
24.8%
NOP 25.0%
MIA 27.1% +2.1%
FTrt
25.4
24.7
NOP 35.4 +9.6
MIA 25.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
61.2%
NOP 71.4% +16.4%
MIA 55.0%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
NOP 4.1%
MIA 10.2% +6.1%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
NOP 13.3% +5.9%
MIA 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.9%
NOP 52.1% +2.6%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
62.1%
60.8%
NOP 65.0%
MIA 75.9% +10.9%
Mid FG%
41.1%
36.8%
NOP 47.1% +24.5%
MIA 22.6%
3P %
34.4%
34.9%
NOP 21.4%
MIA 33.3% +11.9%
FT %
76.1%
69.5%
NOP 86.2% +23.7%
MIA 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
37.3%
NOP 24.4%
MIA 31.2% +6.8%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
25.9%
NOP 41.5%
MIA 33.3% +8.1%
3P Att. %
32.4%
36.8%
NOP 34.1%
MIA 35.5% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsNOPMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points101106
Rebounds4646
Assists2522
Steals410
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (3)
Fouls2224
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)33 (1)
Field Goals35-8240-93
At-the-Rim FG13-2022-29
Midrange FG16-347-31
2-Point FG29-5429-60
3-Point FG6-2811-33
Free Throws25-2915-24
Fast Break Pts119
2nd Chance Pts1115
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers2118
Bench Points1249
Biggest Lead131

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26
41.0
41
85%
9
2
1
4
2
2
1
8
9-10
90%
13-18
72%
2-5
40%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28
40.0
21
50%
4
8
0
1
3
3
1
3
5-5
100%
8-15
53%
0-5
0%
#3 · C · 6'10" 238 · 28
29.0
15
75%
4
1
2
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
#55 · SF · 6'4" 191 · 30
25.7
6
30%
4
1
1
0
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
24.4
6
75%
6
9
0
0
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 24
26.0
8
44%
10
2
0
1
4
2
2
8
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
19.0
2
50%
6
1
0
0
2
4
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
13.8
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#33 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#34 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Finger Fracture
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
52%
46
25
4
8
16
22
11
35
25-29
86%
29-54
54%
6-28
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.