FinalWin Prob.pScore
2918%102
95
582%115
128
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
99.09691.7
BOS logo BOS
132.097101.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
128
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.01 50.5%
BOS
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
12
25
48%
BOS
23
34
68%
Midrange
CLE
11
30
37%
BOS
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
BOS
17
25.5
31
55%
82%
Free Throws
CLE
28
35
80%
BOS
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Clarkson1657%8.0 / 14
C. Sexton1539%7.5 / 19
A. Burks1554%7.5 / 14
T. Thompson1365%6.5 / 10
R. Hood1071%5.0 / 7
C. Osman744%3.5 / 8
L. Nance788%3.5 / 4
A. Harrison788%3.5 / 4
A. Zizic542%2.5 / 6
C. Frye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2997%14.5 / 15
M. Morris1583%7.5 / 9
G. Hayward1478%7.0 / 9
J. Tatum1350%6.5 / 13
M. Smart12100%6.0 / 6
A. Baynes1063%5.0 / 8
T. Rozier1056%5.0 / 9
P. Dozier770%3.5 / 5
G. Yabusele542%2.5 / 6
S. Ojeleye5125%2.5 / 2
D. Theis350%1.5 / 3
B. Wanamaker350%1.5 / 3
R. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
83
+10
-13
93
BOS
87
+14
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.01 50.5%
BOS
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.4
111.8
CLE 99.0 +33.0
BOS 132.0
Pace
96.9
100.0
CLE 91.7
BOS 101.8 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.2
CLE 15.7
BOS 14.1 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
53.4%
CLE 43.5%
BOS 62.5% +19.0%
TO %
13.0%
12.4%
CLE 12.3%
BOS 9.2% +3.1%
ORB %
23.7%
21.7%
CLE 20.5%
BOS 30.8% +10.3%
FTrt
23.6
21.5
CLE 45.5 +28.1
BOS 17.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.2%
62.4%
CLE 60.0%
BOS 61.2% +1.2%
STL %
6.7%
8.5%
CLE 5.2% +1.1%
BOS 4.1%
BLK %
4.3%
9.7%
CLE 1.6%
BOS 7.3% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
55.3%
CLE 50.5%
BOS 63.4% +12.9%
Rim FG%
57.5%
61.6%
CLE 48.0%
BOS 67.6% +19.6%
Mid FG%
39.5%
43.1%
CLE 36.7% +3.4%
BOS 33.3%
3P %
35.5%
36.5%
CLE 31.8%
BOS 54.8% +23.0%
FT %
79.2%
80.2%
CLE 80.0%
BOS 81.3% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
32.1%
CLE 32.5%
BOS 37.0% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
29.8%
CLE 39.0%
BOS 29.3% +9.6%
3P Att. %
33.2%
38.1%
CLE 28.6%
BOS 33.7% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEBOS
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points95128
Rebounds3647
Assists1830
Steals54
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2127
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals30-7749-92
At-the-Rim FG12-2523-34
Midrange FG11-309-27
2-Point FG23-5532-61
3-Point FG7-2217-31
Free Throws28-3513-16
Fast Break Pts718
2nd Chance Pts1019
Points in Paint3254
Pts off Turnovers1618
Bench Points4349
Biggest Lead333

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
34.5
7
44%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
#2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20
33.1
15
39%
4
4
0
0
3
4
0
4
3-3
100%
6-17
35%
0-1
0%
#22 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26
31.1
7
88%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
#13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 28
28.0
13
65%
12
4
0
1
1
1
6
6
5-8
63%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26
21.6
10
71%
1
2
1
0
4
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#10 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 27
26.4
15
54%
6
4
2
0
0
0
1
5
7-8
88%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 194 · 26
21.7
16
57%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-9
22%
3-5
60%
#41 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22
20.0
5
42%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#55 · PG · 6'6" 213 · 24
16.5
7
88%
2
3
1
0
1
6
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 255 · 36
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Sprain
#12 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
#15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#0 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Surgery
#5 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 33
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
36
18
5
1
13
21
9
27
28-35
80%
23-55
42%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.