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All Games Wednesday, November 28, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Spurs
38%112
89
10
Timberwolves
62%116
128
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
89.99995.8
MIN logo MIN
129.399102.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.89
0%
128
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.94 46.8%
MIN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
31
55%
MIN
26
40
65%
Midrange
SAS
9
28
32%
MIN
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
MIN
18
27.0
41
44%
66%
Free Throws
SAS
13
13
100%
MIN
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Poeltl1470%7.0 / 10
Q. Pondexter1393%6.5 / 7
M. Belinelli1150%5.5 / 11
D. DeRozan1050%5.0 / 10
L. Aldridge1045%5.0 / 11
D. White660%3.0 / 5
B. Forbes633%3.0 / 9
P. Mills643%3.0 / 7
D. Bertans643%3.0 / 7
R. Gay330%1.5 / 5
D. Cunningham233%1.0 / 3
C. Metu220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Covington2175%10.5 / 14
K. Towns1673%8.0 / 11
D. Rose16114%8.0 / 7
T. Gibson1365%6.5 / 10
J. Okogie12100%6.0 / 6
A. Wiggins1029%5.0 / 17
D. Šarić1071%5.0 / 7
G. Dieng880%4.0 / 5
J. Teague770%3.5 / 5
T. Jones750%3.5 / 7
L. Deng583%2.5 / 3
A. Tolliver375%1.5 / 2
J. Nunnally0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+14
-18
95
MIN
91
+18
-8
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.94 46.8%
MIN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.4
SAS 89.9 +39.4
MIN 129.3
Pace
98.6
100.2
SAS 95.8
MIN 102.4 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.5
SAS 15.0
MIN 14.1 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.1%
SAS 44.2%
MIN 59.6% +15.4%
TO %
11.9%
12.5%
SAS 17.2%
MIN 7.9% +9.3%
ORB %
20.9%
24.7%
SAS 25.5%
MIN 27.7% +2.2%
FTrt
23.7
26.6
SAS 15.1
MIN 15.2 +0.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
59.1%
SAS 67.6% +1.6%
MIN 66.0%
STL %
6.2%
8.3%
SAS 1.0%
MIN 12.1% +11.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.9%
SAS 13.8% +5.3%
MIN 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.9%
SAS 46.8%
MIN 59.3% +12.5%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.0%
SAS 54.8%
MIN 65.0% +10.2%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.7%
SAS 32.1%
MIN 33.3% +1.2%
3P %
39.2%
35.1%
SAS 29.6%
MIN 43.9% +14.3%
FT %
81.8%
78.7%
SAS 100.0% +33.3%
MIN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.2%
SAS 36.0%
MIN 40.4% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
32.3%
SAS 32.6%
MIN 18.2% +14.4%
3P Att. %
28.6%
31.5%
SAS 31.4%
MIN 41.4% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASMIN
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points89128
Rebounds4648
Assists2333
Steals112
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)8 (1)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals34-8650-99
At-the-Rim FG17-3126-40
Midrange FG9-286-18
2-Point FG26-5932-58
3-Point FG8-2718-41
Free Throws13-1310-15
Fast Break Pts1118
2nd Chance Pts1522
Points in Paint4256
Pts off Turnovers1126
Bench Points5461
Biggest Lead248

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
21 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
28.2
10
50%
2
2
0
4
5
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
24.5
10
45%
9
2
0
0
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PF · 6'4" 190 · 24
23.0
6
60%
2
4
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
21.4
6
33%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
19.0
3
30%
5
4
1
2
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
22.3
2
33%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
21.4
11
50%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
3-7
43%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
20.7
14
70%
8
0
0
1
2
2
5
3
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
18.2
6
43%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
17.2
6
43%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
12.0
2
20%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
12.0
13
93%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
6-6
100%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Player
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Medial Meniscus Tear
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Player
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL Tear
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
46
23
1
8
18
17
12
34
13-13
100%
26-59
44%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.