FinalWin Prob.pScore
2326%108
128
374%117
108
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
134.79591.3
HOU logo HOU
114.99498.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
108
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.31 65.3%
HOU
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
24
33
73%
HOU
25
36
69%
Midrange
DAL
5
18
28%
HOU
2
6
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
17
25.5
34
50%
75%
HOU
13
19.5
45
29%
43%
Free Throws
DAL
19
24
79%
HOU
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2077%10.0 / 13
D. Harris20111%10.0 / 9
H. Barnes1346%6.5 / 14
D. Jordan1372%6.5 / 9
J. Barea1365%6.5 / 10
W. Matthews1161%5.5 / 9
D. Smith Jr.1063%5.0 / 8
M. Kleber9113%4.5 / 4
D. Finney-Smith744%3.5 / 8
D. Powell6150%3.0 / 2
S. Mejri6100%3.0 / 3
J. Brunson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2569%12.5 / 18
C. Capela1875%9.0 / 12
J. Ennis III1869%9.0 / 13
D. House1860%9.0 / 15
E. Gordon1757%8.5 / 15
P. Tucker536%2.5 / 7
I. Hartenstein583%2.5 / 3
M. Chriss2100%1.0 / 1
G. Clark0-0.0 / 5
M. Carter-Williams0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+19
-14
100
HOU
78
+20
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.31 65.3%
HOU
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
115.4
DAL 134.7 +19.8
HOU 114.9
Pace
99.1
98.0
DAL 91.3
HOU 98.0 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
DAL 15.8
HOU 14.7 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
54.2%
DAL 64.1% +10.7%
HOU 53.4%
TO %
13.6%
12.8%
DAL 13.6% +2.0%
HOU 15.6%
ORB %
22.6%
22.8%
DAL 29.4%
HOU 34.1% +4.7%
FTrt
29.1
27.9
DAL 28.2 +1.8
HOU 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
54.1%
DAL 58.7%
HOU 70.0% +11.3%
STL %
6.5%
8.6%
DAL 10.5%
HOU 10.6% +0.1%
BLK %
7.6%
8.7%
DAL 16.7% +6.9%
HOU 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.9%
DAL 65.3% +11.3%
HOU 54.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.6%
DAL 72.7% +3.3%
HOU 69.4%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.8%
DAL 27.8%
HOU 33.3% +5.5%
3P %
34.0%
35.6%
DAL 50.0% +21.1%
HOU 28.9%
FT %
74.2%
79.1%
DAL 79.2% +14.0%
HOU 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
33.9%
DAL 38.8%
HOU 41.4% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
14.2%
DAL 21.2%
HOU 6.9% +14.3%
3P Att. %
42.2%
51.9%
DAL 40.0%
HOU 51.7% +11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsDALHOU
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points128108
Rebounds3738
Assists2728
Steals1010
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)16 (2)
Fouls1726
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (9)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)24 (0)
Field Goals46-8540-87
At-the-Rim FG24-3325-36
Midrange FG5-182-6
2-Point FG29-5127-42
3-Point FG17-3413-45
Free Throws19-2415-23
Fast Break Pts820
2nd Chance Pts2521
Points in Paint5054
Pts off Turnovers2017
Bench Points6125
Biggest Lead267

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
31.1
10
63%
5
5
4
1
3
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26
29.3
13
46%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
22%
3-5
60%
#77 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 20
24.3
20
77%
6
2
1
0
4
2
2
4
5-5
100%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
23.6
13
72%
7
1
0
2
3
1
2
5
5-8
63%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
22.9
11
61%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
27.0
7
44%
3
0
3
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
18.6
6
150%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
18.0
9
113%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
17.9
13
65%
3
12
1
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
15.0
20
111%
1
4
0
2
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 32
3.8
6
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 40
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle surgery
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
65%
37
27
10
7
14
17
10
27
19-24
79%
29-51
57%
17-34
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.