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All Games Tuesday, November 27, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Lakers
33%110
85
5
Nuggets
67%117
117
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
85.999100.7
DEN logo DEN
119.49896.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.85
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.88 43.8%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
20
34
59%
DEN
25
41
61%
Midrange
LAL
9
18
50%
DEN
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
5
7.5
35
14%
21%
DEN
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
LAL
12
18
67%
DEN
14
15
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma2175%10.5 / 14
L. James1441%7.0 / 17
B. Ingram1478%7.0 / 9
M. Beasley850%4.0 / 8
L. Ball758%3.5 / 6
L. Stephenson531%2.5 / 8
J. Hart433%2.0 / 6
T. Chandler4100%2.0 / 2
K. Caldwell-Pope325%1.5 / 6
S. Mykhailiuk325%1.5 / 6
J. McGee225%1.0 / 4
I. Zubac0-0.0 / 2
M. Wagner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2056%10.0 / 18
P. Millsap2077%10.0 / 13
M. Beasley2071%10.0 / 14
N. Jokić1450%7.0 / 14
J. Hernangomez1286%6.0 / 7
M. Plumlee1071%5.0 / 7
M. Morris744%3.5 / 8
T. Lyles525%2.5 / 10
T. Lydon5125%2.5 / 2
T. Craig233%1.0 / 3
D. Akoon-Purcell250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
87
+10
-12
97
DEN
87
+19
-11
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.88 43.8%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
112.6
LAL 85.9 +33.5
DEN 119.4
Pace
103.0
98.0
LAL 100.7 +4.4
DEN 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.7
LAL 14.3 +0.7
DEN 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.7%
LAL 42.0%
DEN 53.1% +11.1%
TO %
14.7%
13.1%
LAL 11.2%
DEN 10.4% +0.8%
ORB %
22.2%
26.6%
LAL 15.4%
DEN 34.0% +18.6%
FTrt
25.7
23.2
LAL 20.7 +5.2
DEN 15.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
65.3%
LAL 55.9%
DEN 59.6% +3.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.9%
LAL 5.1%
DEN 7.1% +2.0%
BLK %
9.2%
8.2%
LAL 11.1% +1.5%
DEN 9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.5%
LAL 43.8%
DEN 55.2% +11.4%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.6%
LAL 58.8%
DEN 61.0% +2.2%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.3%
LAL 50.0% +8.1%
DEN 41.9%
3P %
33.3%
35.1%
LAL 14.3%
DEN 36.0% +21.7%
FT %
69.9%
75.5%
LAL 66.7%
DEN 93.3% +26.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.6%
37.5%
LAL 39.1%
DEN 42.3% +3.2%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
27.7%
LAL 20.7% +11.3%
DEN 32.0%
3P Att. %
34.2%
34.8%
LAL 40.2% +14.5%
DEN 25.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsLALDEN
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points85117
Rebounds3960
Assists1928
Steals57
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1917
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)44 (1)
Field Goals34-8747-97
At-the-Rim FG20-3425-41
Midrange FG9-1813-31
2-Point FG29-5238-72
3-Point FG5-359-25
Free Throws12-1814-15
Fast Break Pts1213
2nd Chance Pts415
Points in Paint5656
Pts off Turnovers1414
Bench Points2749
Biggest Lead132

BOXSCORE

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16 Los Angeles Lakers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyle Kuzma
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 23
31.0
21
75%
3
3
0
1
2
3
1
2
2-2
100%
8-8
100%
1-7
14%
LeBron James
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 34
30.1
14
41%
7
2
2
2
4
0
0
7
4-6
67%
5-11
45%
0-4
0%
Brandon Ingram
#14 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21
29.8
14
78%
2
2
1
0
1
4
0
2
2-4
50%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
Lonzo Ball
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 21
18.1
7
58%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31
15.7
2
25%
2
1
0
4
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
23.6
3
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
Josh Hart
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24
20.9
4
33%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
Tyson Chandler
#5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 36
20.3
4
100%
5
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
#6 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28
14.1
5
31%
6
3
0
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
#11 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 30
12.9
8
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
Svi Mykhailiuk
#10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21
12.0
3
25%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
Ivica Zubac
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22
7.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Moritz Wagner
#15 · C · 6'11" 245 · 22
4.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand Injury
Alex Caruso
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Isaac Bonga
#17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 19
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Johnathan Williams
#19 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
44%
39
19
5
8
12
19
8
31
12-18
67%
29-52
56%
5-35
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.