FinalWin Prob.pScore
3029%109
115
2071%117
113
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
106.5108105.0
MIA logo MIA
105.6107110.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
113
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.20 59.9%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
21
36
58%
MIA
22
38
58%
Midrange
ATL
5
13
38%
MIA
5
11
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
MIA
13
19.5
38
34%
51%
Free Throws
ATL
27
32
84%
MIA
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince1869%9.0 / 13
T. Young1761%8.5 / 14
J. Collins1680%8.0 / 10
O. Spellman1478%7.0 / 9
K. Bazemore1255%6.0 / 11
A. Len964%4.5 / 7
D. Dedmon8133%4.0 / 3
K. Huerter857%4.0 / 7
J. Lin758%3.5 / 6
D. Bembry630%3.0 / 10
J. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2252%11.0 / 21
D. Wade1869%9.0 / 13
W. Ellington1563%7.5 / 12
B. Adebayo12100%6.0 / 6
H. Whiteside1161%5.5 / 9
J. Winslow1161%5.5 / 9
R. McGruder844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
K. Olynyk867%4.0 / 6
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+11
-24
95
MIA
87
+14
-20
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.20 59.9%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.5
ATL 106.5 +0.9
MIA 105.6
Pace
103.9
98.1
ATL 105.0
MIA 110.1 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
15.0
ATL 13.7
MIA 13.1 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
51.5%
ATL 55.0% +1.6%
MIA 53.4%
TO %
15.8%
14.3%
ATL 20.3%
MIA 16.6% +3.7%
ORB %
24.8%
24.8%
ATL 23.8% +0.4%
MIA 23.4%
FTrt
25.5
24.7
ATL 40.0 +5.5
MIA 34.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
61.2%
ATL 57.9% +2.9%
MIA 55.0%
STL %
7.8%
7.8%
ATL 12.0%
MIA 18.7% +6.7%
BLK %
9.2%
10.2%
ATL 14.3% +8.2%
MIA 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
52.9%
ATL 59.9% +5.6%
MIA 54.3%
Rim FG%
59.0%
60.8%
ATL 58.3% +0.4%
MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%
37.9%
36.8%
ATL 38.5%
MIA 45.5% +7.0%
3P %
35.2%
34.9%
ATL 38.7% +4.5%
MIA 34.2%
FT %
75.2%
69.5%
ATL 84.4% +17.7%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
37.3%
ATL 45.0% +1.3%
MIA 43.7%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
25.9%
ATL 16.3%
MIA 12.6% +3.6%
3P Att. %
40.3%
36.8%
ATL 38.8%
MIA 43.7% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions108107
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points115113
Rebounds4643
Assists2222
Steals1320
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)24 (0)20 (0)
Fouls2425
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals38-8040-87
At-the-Rim FG21-3622-38
Midrange FG5-135-11
2-Point FG26-4927-49
3-Point FG12-3113-38
Free Throws27-3220-30
Fast Break Pts1815
2nd Chance Pts1719
Points in Paint5054
Pts off Turnovers2622
Bench Points4849
Biggest Lead197

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
32.3
18
69%
5
1
0
1
2
4
1
4
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 20
31.3
17
61%
5
10
1
1
3
0
0
5
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
29.2
16
80%
4
2
0
1
2
2
0
4
4-4
100%
6-8
75%
0-2
0%
#14 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29
22.2
8
133%
6
4
1
1
2
4
2
4
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
#3 · SG · 6'7" 198 · 20
19.2
8
57%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 29
26.3
12
55%
5
0
2
1
5
2
0
5
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
20.6
6
30%
4
1
4
1
4
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 21
20.3
14
78%
4
0
4
0
1
1
4
0
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
18.6
7
58%
5
2
0
0
3
1
0
5
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 25
17.6
9
64%
7
0
1
1
1
5
2
5
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#5 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Coaches Decision
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
60%
46
22
13
7
24
24
10
36
27-32
84%
26-49
53%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.