FinalWin Prob.pScore
1827%112
129
473%121
135
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
125.210396.9
MIL logo MIL
129.8104111.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.129
0%
135
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.22 60.8%
MIL
1.35 67.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
22
73%
MIL
29
38
76%
Midrange
SAS
23
49
47%
MIL
5
8
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
MIL
15
22.5
40
38%
56%
Free Throws
SAS
21
28
75%
MIL
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3465%17.0 / 26
B. Forbes1882%9.0 / 11
D. Bertans1777%8.5 / 11
L. Aldridge1558%7.5 / 13
M. Belinelli1275%6.0 / 8
R. Gay1071%5.0 / 7
P. Mills990%4.5 / 5
J. Poeltl770%3.5 / 5
D. Cunningham563%2.5 / 4
D. White233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3471%17.0 / 24
M. Brogdon2377%11.5 / 15
K. Middleton2181%10.5 / 13
E. Bledsoe2059%10.0 / 17
S. Brown11110%5.5 / 5
B. Lopez9113%4.5 / 4
T. Maker542%2.5 / 6
M. Dellavedova5125%2.5 / 2
P. Connaughton440%2.0 / 5
T. Snell375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
93
+11
-10
104
MIL
91
+9
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.22 60.8%
MIL
1.35 67.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
113.9
SAS 125.2
MIL 129.8 +4.6
Pace
98.6
103.2
SAS 96.9
MIL 111.0 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.9
SAS 14.9
MIL 13.0 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
55.0%
SAS 58.7%
MIL 65.7% +7.0%
TO %
11.9%
12.8%
SAS 8.7% +2.9%
MIL 11.6%
ORB %
20.9%
20.8%
SAS 20.5% +3.8%
MIL 16.7%
FTrt
23.7
25.5
SAS 30.4
MIL 33.7 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
60.1%
SAS 55.1%
MIL 61.2% +6.1%
STL %
6.2%
7.2%
SAS 7.8% +1.1%
MIL 6.7%
BLK %
8.3%
10.4%
SAS 6.5% +2.3%
MIL 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.1%
SAS 60.8%
MIL 67.5% +6.7%
Rim FG%
62.7%
64.1%
SAS 72.7%
MIL 76.3% +3.6%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.4%
SAS 46.9%
MIL 62.5% +15.6%
3P %
39.2%
35.2%
SAS 47.6% +10.1%
MIL 37.5%
FT %
81.8%
77.2%
SAS 75.0%
MIL 75.9% +0.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
40.2%
SAS 23.9%
MIL 44.2% +20.3%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
17.8%
SAS 53.3%
MIL 9.3% +44.0%
3P Att. %
28.6%
42.0%
SAS 22.8%
MIL 46.5% +23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions103104
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points129135
Rebounds3941
Assists2730
Steals87
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2122
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals49-9249-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2229-38
Midrange FG23-495-8
2-Point FG39-7134-46
3-Point FG10-2115-40
Free Throws21-2822-29
Fast Break Pts713
2nd Chance Pts175
Points in Paint5066
Pts off Turnovers1819
Bench Points4728
Biggest Lead1115

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
34.9
34
65%
4
7
1
0
0
0
2
2
7-10
70%
12-24
50%
1-2
50%
#33 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
30.7
5
63%
10
1
2
0
0
5
2
8
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
30.6
10
71%
4
4
2
1
4
5
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
30.6
15
58%
3
3
1
0
3
0
0
3
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
30.5
18
82%
2
1
1
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
67%
2-2
100%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
23.2
17
77%
6
1
1
0
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
22.8
9
90%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
17.1
12
75%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
14.1
7
70%
5
2
0
1
1
1
4
1
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
5.4
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn right ACL
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left foot soreness
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right medial meniscus tear
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
61%
39
27
8
3
10
21
9
30
21-28
75%
39-71
55%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.