FinalWin Prob.pScore
753%110
104
2247%109
113
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
107.29797.1
DAL logo DAL
117.79695.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.3%
DAL
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
25
64%
DAL
20
28
71%
Midrange
BOS
15
33
45%
DAL
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
DAL
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
Free Throws
BOS
12
13
92%
DAL
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2181%10.5 / 13
K. Irving1941%9.5 / 23
M. Smart1995%9.5 / 10
J. Brown16100%8.0 / 8
M. Morris1381%6.5 / 8
A. Horford836%4.0 / 11
T. Rozier429%2.0 / 7
A. Baynes440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes2083%10.0 / 12
J. Barea2067%10.0 / 15
W. Matthews1554%7.5 / 14
L. Dončić1563%7.5 / 12
D. Jordan1470%7.0 / 10
D. Finney-Smith938%4.5 / 12
D. Harris964%4.5 / 7
M. Kleber750%3.5 / 7
J. Brunson2100%1.0 / 1
S. Mejri2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+14
-17
94
DAL
80
+16
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.3%
DAL
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
109.2
BOS 107.2
DAL 117.7 +10.5
Pace
100.0
99.1
BOS 97.1 +1.3
DAL 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.8
BOS 14.8 +0.2
DAL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.8%
BOS 53.5%
DAL 57.5% +4.0%
TO %
12.4%
13.6%
BOS 16.4%
DAL 14.3% +2.1%
ORB %
21.7%
22.6%
BOS 23.1%
DAL 28.3% +5.2%
FTrt
21.5
29.1
BOS 15.1
DAL 24.1 +9.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
60.3%
BOS 46.3%
DAL 64.3% +18.0%
STL %
8.5%
6.5%
BOS 8.2%
DAL 12.5% +4.3%
BLK %
9.7%
7.6%
BOS 6.5% +1.3%
DAL 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.2%
BOS 55.3%
DAL 58.9% +3.6%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
BOS 64.0%
DAL 71.4% +7.4%
Mid FG%
43.1%
39.0%
BOS 45.5% +12.2%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
36.5%
34.0%
BOS 35.7%
DAL 39.0% +3.3%
FT %
80.2%
74.2%
BOS 92.3% +30.4%
DAL 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
33.8%
BOS 29.1%
DAL 32.2% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
24.0%
BOS 38.4%
DAL 20.7% +17.7%
3P Att. %
38.1%
42.2%
BOS 32.6%
DAL 47.1% +14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSDAL
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points104113
Rebounds4243
Assists1927
Steals812
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)16 (0)
Fouls2116
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals41-8642-87
At-the-Rim FG16-2520-28
Midrange FG15-336-18
2-Point FG31-5826-46
3-Point FG10-2816-41
Free Throws12-1313-21
Fast Break Pts159
2nd Chance Pts1319
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers2122
Bench Points2740
Biggest Lead116

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
36.4
21
81%
4
3
2
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
75%
3-6
50%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
34.5
19
41%
5
6
2
1
5
2
2
3
1-1
100%
9-19
47%
0-5
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
31.4
8
36%
8
1
1
0
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-6
17%
2-5
40%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 22
30.4
16
100%
5
0
1
1
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'9" 235 · 29
29.6
13
81%
5
2
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 25
25.2
19
95%
2
2
1
0
3
3
1
1
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
18.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
17.3
4
29%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
16.6
4
40%
9
1
0
0
2
2
3
6
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle soreness
#45 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two way
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two way
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
42
19
8
3
17
21
9
33
12-13
92%
31-58
53%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.