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All Games Saturday, November 24, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Nuggets
39%110
105
3
Thunder
61%114
98
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
104.010191.3
OKC logo OKC
98.0100111.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
100%
98
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.96 48.2%
OKC
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
42
55%
OKC
21
46
46%
Midrange
DEN
6
23
26%
OKC
7
18
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
OKC
9
13.5
39
23%
35%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
OKC
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2258%11.0 / 19
N. Jokić1638%8.0 / 21
T. Lyles16160%8.0 / 5
J. Hernangomez1563%7.5 / 12
M. Plumlee1155%5.5 / 10
T. Craig867%4.0 / 6
P. Millsap850%4.0 / 8
M. Beasley542%2.5 / 6
M. Morris433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2450%12.0 / 24
D. Schröder1853%9.0 / 17
R. Westbrook1631%8.0 / 26
J. Grant1354%6.5 / 12
S. Adams1240%6.0 / 15
D. Burton8100%4.0 / 4
N. Noel4100%2.0 / 2
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot325%1.5 / 6
P. Patterson0-0.0 / 3
A. Abrines0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+25
-14
112
OKC
90
+24
-10
114
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.96 48.2%
OKC
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.3
DEN 104.0
OKC 98.0 +6.0
Pace
98.0
102.9
DEN 91.3
OKC 111.9 +20.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.2
DEN 15.8
OKC 12.9 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.4%
DEN 46.3% +6.0%
OKC 40.3%
TO %
13.1%
13.2%
DEN 14.6%
OKC 8.1% +6.5%
ORB %
26.6%
26.0%
DEN 30.0%
OKC 32.8% +2.8%
FTrt
23.2
26.6
DEN 25.3 +3.0
OKC 22.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
54.8%
DEN 66.7% +7.2%
OKC 59.5%
STL %
7.9%
9.0%
DEN 5.9%
OKC 9.0% +3.1%
BLK %
8.2%
9.1%
DEN 14.1% +6.4%
OKC 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.5%
DEN 48.2% +5.2%
OKC 43.0%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.6%
DEN 54.8% +9.1%
OKC 45.7%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.6%
DEN 26.1%
OKC 38.9% +12.8%
3P %
35.1%
34.8%
DEN 33.3% +10.2%
OKC 23.1%
FT %
75.5%
71.3%
DEN 70.8% +5.6%
OKC 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
38.6%
DEN 44.2%
OKC 44.7% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
26.7%
DEN 24.2%
OKC 17.5% +6.7%
3P Att. %
34.8%
34.7%
DEN 31.6%
OKC 37.9% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENOKC
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points10598
Rebounds5454
Assists2622
Steals69
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)14 (4)10 (0)
Fouls2024
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (10)19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (3)35 (4)
Field Goals39-9537-103
At-the-Rim FG23-4221-46
Midrange FG6-237-18
2-Point FG29-6528-64
3-Point FG10-309-39
Free Throws17-2415-23
Fast Break Pts107
2nd Chance Pts2122
Points in Paint5250
Pts off Turnovers1417
Bench Points3630
Biggest Lead254

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
39.7
22
58%
8
8
0
0
3
1
2
6
2-2
100%
7-17
41%
2-6
33%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
36.1
8
67%
10
1
1
2
2
2
6
4
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
35.3
15
63%
8
0
2
1
1
2
1
7
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
28.4
8
50%
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
27.2
16
38%
6
5
0
1
4
4
2
4
4-5
80%
6-13
46%
0-7
0%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
20.8
11
55%
7
2
0
4
2
4
3
4
3-6
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
20.3
4
33%
2
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
19.6
16
160%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
12.7
5
42%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Soreness
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Contract
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip/Core Muscle Surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
48%
54
26
6
9
14
20
15
39
17-24
71%
29-65
45%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.