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All Games Friday, November 23, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Magic
24%106
87
3
Nuggets
76%116
112
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
90.696100.5
DEN logo DEN
116.79691.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.87
0%
112
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.8%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
25
56%
DEN
25
43
58%
Midrange
ORL
10
22
45%
DEN
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
32
25%
38%
DEN
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
ORL
15
19
79%
DEN
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ross18113%9.0 / 8
N. Vučević1653%8.0 / 15
A. Gordon1454%7.0 / 13
J. Isaac938%4.5 / 12
M. Bamba758%3.5 / 6
I. Briscoe6100%3.0 / 3
E. Fournier528%2.5 / 9
J. Simmons563%2.5 / 4
D. Augustin433%2.0 / 6
W. Iwundu338%1.5 / 4
J. Grant0-0.0 / 3
J. Martin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lyles2269%11.0 / 16
J. Murray1647%8.0 / 17
M. Plumlee1594%7.5 / 8
P. Millsap1470%7.0 / 10
J. Hernangomez10100%5.0 / 5
G. Harris935%4.5 / 13
M. Morris857%4.0 / 7
N. Jokić650%3.0 / 6
M. Beasley583%2.5 / 3
T. Welsh5125%2.5 / 2
T. Lydon250%1.0 / 2
T. Craig0-0.0 / 4
D. Akoon-Purcell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+9
-13
92
DEN
85
+16
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.8%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
112.6
ORL 90.6 +26.0
DEN 116.7
Pace
98.4
98.0
ORL 100.5 +8.6
DEN 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.7
ORL 14.3 +1.3
DEN 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.7%
ORL 45.6%
DEN 52.2% +6.6%
TO %
12.7%
13.1%
ORL 14.7%
DEN 9.9% +4.8%
ORB %
21.9%
26.6%
ORL 9.3%
DEN 26.7% +17.4%
FTrt
21.6
23.2
ORL 24.1 +5.8
DEN 18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
65.3%
ORL 75.0%
DEN 75.0%
STL %
6.7%
7.9%
ORL 7.3%
DEN 10.4% +3.1%
BLK %
9.5%
8.2%
ORL 3.1%
DEN 10.6% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
54.5%
ORL 46.8%
DEN 55.4% +8.6%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.6%
ORL 56.0%
DEN 58.1% +2.1%
Mid FG%
40.3%
43.3%
ORL 45.5%
DEN 45.5%
3P %
35.6%
35.1%
ORL 25.0%
DEN 32.1% +7.1%
FT %
78.2%
75.5%
ORL 78.9%
DEN 88.2% +9.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
37.5%
ORL 31.6%
DEN 46.2% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
32.1%
27.7%
ORL 27.8%
DEN 23.7% +4.2%
3P Att. %
36.0%
34.8%
ORL 40.5% +10.4%
DEN 30.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points87112
Rebounds3751
Assists2433
Steals710
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)11 (0)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (5)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)39 (1)
Field Goals32-7944-93
At-the-Rim FG14-2525-43
Midrange FG10-2210-22
2-Point FG24-4735-65
3-Point FG8-329-28
Free Throws15-1915-17
Fast Break Pts813
2nd Chance Pts1123
Points in Paint3264
Pts off Turnovers1518
Bench Points4557
Biggest Lead229

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
24 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Aaron Gordon
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 23
32.3
14
54%
9
5
1
1
1
1
1
8
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
31.9
5
28%
1
5
3
0
2
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-5
0%
Nikola Vucevic
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
27.7
16
53%
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
6
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
24.1
4
33%
1
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Wes Iwundu
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
23.5
3
38%
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Terrence Ross
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
22.6
18
113%
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
Jonathan Isaac
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
21.0
9
38%
5
0
1
0
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
0-4
0%
Jerian Grant
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
18.4
0
0%
3
5
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Mo Bamba
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 21
14.8
7
58%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
#17 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 29
7.2
5
63%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Isaiah Briscoe
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
5.5
6
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 25
5.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Khem Birch
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 26
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Troy Caupain
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Amile Jefferson
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Melvin Frazier Jr.
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assigned
Timofey Mozgov
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Right Knee
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
37
24
7
2
13
19
4
33
15-19
79%
24-47
51%
8-32
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.