FinalWin Prob.pScore
2716%110
116
684%124
114
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
112.6103104.0
MIL logo MIL
109.6104103.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
114
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.16 58.0%
MIL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
17
27
63%
MIL
31
36
86%
Midrange
PHX
19
37
51%
MIL
1
7
14%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
MIL
10
15.0
44
23%
34%
Free Throws
PHX
17
22
77%
MIL
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Booker2960%14.5 / 24
T. Warren1973%9.5 / 13
D. Ayton1771%8.5 / 12
T. Ariza1365%6.5 / 10
R. Holmes12100%6.0 / 6
J. Crawford1155%5.5 / 10
J. Jackson1179%5.5 / 7
M. Bridges467%2.0 / 3
I. Canaan0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3588%17.5 / 20
M. Brogdon22138%11.0 / 8
K. Middleton1575%7.5 / 10
E. Bledsoe1255%6.0 / 11
E. Ilyasova956%4.5 / 8
P. Connaughton867%4.0 / 6
B. Lopez721%3.5 / 17
T. Snell220%1.0 / 5
S. Brown233%1.0 / 3
T. Maker220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
92
+8
-11
100
MIL
90
+11
-14
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.16 58.0%
MIL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
113.9
PHX 112.6 +3.0
MIL 109.6
Pace
100.5
103.2
PHX 104.0 +1.0
MIL 103.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.9
PHX 13.8 +0.1
MIL 14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
55.0%
PHX 55.0% +1.0%
MIL 54.0%
TO %
15.0%
12.8%
PHX 9.9% +2.4%
MIL 12.3%
ORB %
20.5%
20.8%
PHX 14.3%
MIL 17.1% +2.8%
FTrt
25.9
25.5
PHX 24.4
MIL 34.5 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
60.1%
PHX 46.7%
MIL 71.4% +24.7%
STL %
8.8%
7.2%
PHX 7.8% +2.0%
MIL 5.8%
BLK %
8.8%
10.4%
PHX 9.3%
MIL 10.9% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
57.1%
PHX 58.0% +2.1%
MIL 55.9%
Rim FG%
61.0%
64.1%
PHX 63.0%
MIL 86.1% +23.1%
Mid FG%
42.0%
39.4%
PHX 51.4% +37.1%
MIL 14.3%
3P %
32.9%
35.2%
PHX 34.6% +11.9%
MIL 22.7%
FT %
77.9%
77.2%
PHX 77.3% +10.6%
MIL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
40.2%
PHX 30.0%
MIL 41.4% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
17.8%
PHX 41.1%
MIL 8.0% +33.1%
3P Att. %
33.5%
42.0%
PHX 28.9%
MIL 50.6% +21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHXMIL
Possessions103104
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points116114
Rebounds4043
Assists2130
Steals86
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2517
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)36 (3)
Field Goals45-9042-87
At-the-Rim FG17-2731-36
Midrange FG19-371-7
2-Point FG36-6432-43
3-Point FG9-2610-44
Free Throws17-2220-30
Fast Break Pts1117
2nd Chance Pts810
Points in Paint5462
Pts off Turnovers1114
Bench Points3423
Biggest Lead126

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 33
40.9
13
65%
11
3
2
0
2
3
0
11
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 22
39.3
29
60%
4
7
3
0
3
4
0
4
2-2
100%
12-21
57%
1-5
20%
#12 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25
31.3
19
73%
5
2
1
1
0
5
1
4
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
2-4
50%
#22 · C · 7'0" 252 · 20
30.8
17
71%
7
3
0
0
1
3
3
4
1-2
50%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
#25 · PG · 6'6" 209 · 22
24.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 39
23.7
11
55%
3
2
1
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
#21 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
17.2
12
100%
4
0
1
2
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#0 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 28
16.6
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22
15.8
11
79%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · PF · 7'1" 225 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#14 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
58%
40
21
8
4
11
25
6
34
17-22
77%
36-64
56%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.