FinalWin Prob.pScore
1863%112
103
2837%107
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.1105100.4
CHI logo CHI
90.6106111.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.103
100%
96
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
CHI
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
31
55%
CHI
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIA
10
22
45%
CHI
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
CHI
7
10.5
28
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
19
31
61%
CHI
19
20
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2784%13.5 / 16
H. Whiteside1856%9.0 / 16
B. Adebayo1458%7.0 / 12
R. McGruder1042%5.0 / 12
J. Winslow1050%5.0 / 10
D. Wade1050%5.0 / 10
W. Ellington844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson319%1.5 / 8
K. Olynyk350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Holiday2784%13.5 / 16
Z. LaVine2446%12.0 / 26
J. Parker2352%11.5 / 22
R. Lopez956%4.5 / 8
W. Carter675%3.0 / 4
R. Arcidiacono536%2.5 / 7
S. Harrison213%1.0 / 8
A. Blakeney0-0.0 / 6
C. Felicio0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
91
+11
-14
102
CHI
88
+19
-18
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
CHI
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
104.9
MIA 98.1 +7.5
CHI 90.6
Pace
98.1
98.9
MIA 100.4
CHI 111.1 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.4
MIA 14.3
CHI 13.0 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.5%
MIA 48.3% +7.3%
CHI 41.0%
TO %
14.3%
13.5%
MIA 12.2% +2.7%
CHI 14.9%
ORB %
24.8%
19.4%
MIA 20.0%
CHI 24.0% +4.0%
FTrt
24.7
23.5
MIA 35.6 +14.3
CHI 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
55.0%
MIA 54.1%
CHI 65.7% +11.6%
STL %
7.8%
7.3%
MIA 9.5% +2.0%
CHI 7.5%
BLK %
10.2%
7.7%
MIA 16.7% +5.4%
CHI 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.9%
MIA 50.5% +5.2%
CHI 45.3%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.5%
MIA 54.8% +0.7%
CHI 54.1%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.8%
MIA 45.5% +17.9%
CHI 27.6%
3P %
34.9%
35.1%
MIA 29.4% +4.4%
CHI 25.0%
FT %
69.5%
78.3%
MIA 61.3%
CHI 95.0% +33.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
39.2%
MIA 35.6%
CHI 39.4% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
31.3%
MIA 25.3% +5.6%
CHI 30.9%
3P Att. %
36.8%
29.5%
MIA 39.1% +9.3%
CHI 29.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions105106
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points10396
Rebounds4852
Assists2023
Steals108
Blocks116
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (0)
Fouls2123
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)40 (3)
Field Goals37-8735-94
At-the-Rim FG17-3120-37
Midrange FG10-228-29
2-Point FG27-5328-66
3-Point FG10-347-28
Free Throws19-3119-20
Fast Break Pts1616
2nd Chance Pts815
Points in Paint4842
Pts off Turnovers2117
Bench Points3711
Biggest Lead266

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
34.0
8
44%
2
4
4
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 25
33.8
27
84%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
32.1
10
42%
1
2
1
0
1
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-6
17%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
26.6
3
19%
4
5
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
21.6
18
56%
10
1
1
4
1
3
4
6
2-7
29%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.8
10
50%
10
1
1
1
3
2
0
10
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
26.4
14
58%
13
2
0
1
2
4
5
8
8-10
80%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
24.1
10
50%
4
2
2
1
4
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
12.6
3
50%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Injury
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
51%
48
20
10
11
14
21
10
38
19-31
61%
27-53
51%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.