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All Games Friday, November 23, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Spurs
47%109
111
23
Pacers
53%110
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
109.910192.7
IND logo IND
100.0100109.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
100
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 57.2%
IND
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
22
55%
IND
26
39
67%
Midrange
SAS
20
40
50%
IND
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
IND
3
4.5
24
13%
19%
Free Throws
SAS
17
24
71%
IND
5
9
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge3361%16.5 / 27
D. DeRozan1757%8.5 / 15
P. Mills1478%7.0 / 9
B. Forbes1372%6.5 / 9
R. Gay1155%5.5 / 10
M. Belinelli744%3.5 / 8
D. Bertans770%3.5 / 5
J. Poeltl675%3.0 / 4
D. Cunningham250%1.0 / 2
D. White150%0.5 / 1
C. Metu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic2170%10.5 / 15
D. Sabonis1968%9.5 / 14
C. Joseph1869%9.0 / 13
T. Young1250%6.0 / 12
A. Holiday1139%5.5 / 14
T. Leaf1192%5.5 / 6
D. Collison425%2.0 / 8
T. Evans28%1.0 / 12
K. O'Quinn250%1.0 / 2
D. McDermott0-0.0 / 1
I. Anigbogu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+11
-15
97
IND
88
+15
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 57.2%
IND
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.8
SAS 109.9 +9.9
IND 100.0
Pace
98.6
98.2
SAS 92.7
IND 109.8 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.6
SAS 15.5
IND 13.1 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.9%
SAS 56.6% +8.6%
IND 48.0%
TO %
11.9%
13.5%
SAS 13.8%
IND 10.4% +3.4%
ORB %
20.9%
21.9%
SAS 20.9%
IND 22.9% +2.0%
FTrt
23.7
24.2
SAS 28.9 +19.8
IND 9.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
62.8%
SAS 66.7%
IND 67.4% +0.7%
STL %
6.2%
8.9%
SAS 3.0%
IND 9.0% +6.0%
BLK %
8.3%
9.2%
SAS 5.3% +2.1%
IND 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.8%
SAS 57.2% +9.1%
IND 48.1%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.4%
SAS 54.5%
IND 66.7% +12.2%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.1%
SAS 50.0% +2.8%
IND 47.2%
3P %
39.2%
37.4%
SAS 47.6% +35.1%
IND 12.5%
FT %
81.8%
75.1%
SAS 70.8% +15.2%
IND 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
38.7%
SAS 26.5%
IND 39.4% +12.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
32.2%
SAS 48.2%
IND 36.4% +11.8%
3P Att. %
28.6%
29.1%
SAS 25.3% +1.1%
IND 24.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASIND
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points111100
Rebounds4645
Assists2831
Steals39
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1922
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)34 (0)
Field Goals42-8346-99
At-the-Rim FG12-2226-39
Midrange FG20-4017-36
2-Point FG32-6243-75
3-Point FG10-213-24
Free Throws17-245-9
Fast Break Pts1719
2nd Chance Pts714
Points in Paint3868
Pts off Turnovers1018
Bench Points3542
Biggest Lead200

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
20 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
37.4
33
61%
14
3
0
2
3
2
5
9
5-6
83%
14-24
58%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
37.1
17
57%
3
6
0
1
2
2
0
3
3-6
50%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
27.3
11
55%
12
7
0
0
0
2
0
12
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
26.0
13
72%
3
2
0
0
4
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
18.4
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
29.3
14
78%
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
26.8
7
44%
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
15.4
6
75%
4
1
0
1
3
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
12.6
7
70%
1
0
1
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
7.3
1
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right ACL
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left foot soreness
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right medial meniscus tear
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
57%
46
28
3
4
15
19
9
37
17-24
71%
32-62
52%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.